ST JOE Co quarterly report, Q1 FY2014

The St. Joe Company — Q1 2014 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2014. St. Joe is a Florida real estate development and operating company with assets concentrated in Northwest Florida. Its results were transformed by the March 5 sale of approximately 380,000 acres to AgReserves. The filing reports four segments: residential real estate, commercial real estate, resorts, leisure and leasing, and forestry.

Financial performance

MetricQ1 2014Q1 2013
Total revenue$594.1 million$26.8 million
Operating income (loss)$509.5 million$(2.2) million
Net income (loss) attributable to St. Joe$403.0 million; $4.37 per share$(2.5) million; $(0.03) per share
Cash provided by operating activities$352.1 million$2.3 million
Cash and cash equivalents at quarter-end$237.4 million$168.7 million

The AgReserves transaction accounted for $569.7 million of real estate sales revenue and $511.1 million of pretax income. As a result, headline revenue, earnings and operating cash flow are not representative of recurring operations. Income tax expense was $106.9 million (an approximately 21% effective rate); the company used federal and state net operating losses and reversed $89.3 million of valuation allowance.

At March 31, available-for-sale investments were $281.8 million, in addition to cash; investment balances include securities held through the company’s investment account. Total reported debt was $49.4 million, including $26.1 million of defeased debt and $16.8 million of Pier Park North joint-venture debt. Total assets were $1.17 billion, total liabilities $199.3 million, and total equity $969.7 million. Operating cash flow included the effects of the land sale and related transaction accounting; investing activities used $146.9 million, and financing activities provided $10.3 million.

Material changes and operating trends

  • Compared with Q1 2013, the AgReserves sale drove the swing from a net loss to substantial profit. The sale consideration was $358.5 million cash, a $200 million 15-year Timber Note and a letter of credit. The related buyer-sponsored entity was consolidated at quarter-end.
  • Following the sale, St. Joe expects timber and rural-land sales and forestry revenue to fall substantially; the RockTenn supply agreement transferred to AgReserves. Management expects greater dependence on the cyclical real estate industry.
  • Excluding the AgReserves transaction, residential and commercial real estate sales were broadly flat together. Resorts, leisure and leasing revenue fell 9% to $8.2 million; gross margin declined to 1.2% from 7.8%. Timber sales fell 16% to $8.1 million, while reported timber gross margin increased to 51.9% from 38.2%.
  • On April 2, 2014, St. Joe sold the RiverTown community for $24.0 million cash, a $19.6 million note, assumption of approximately $11.0 million of CDD obligations and potential impact-fee proceeds. The company expects to record approximately $26 million of pretax earnings in Q2; estimated impact-fee proceeds of $20–$26 million over five years are contingent on development and fee rates.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • No formal earnings guidance was provided. Management said it expects available liquidity and anticipated cash flows to meet working capital, capital expenditure and debt-service needs for the next 12 months. It estimated a further $58 million of 2014 capital expenditures, some discretionary, and expects approximately $70 million of federal income tax payments for 2014.
  • In April, a wholly owned special-purpose entity monetized the Timber Note by issuing $180 million of 4.75% senior secured notes due 2029. St. Joe received $165 million net of $15 million in costs and expects $20 million at Timber Note maturity, after payment of the notes and other entity liabilities. St. Joe expects to consolidate this entity and the notes in Q2; the notes are payable solely from the entity’s assets and are non-recourse to St. Joe.
  • St. Joe expects pension-plan termination in late 2014 or 2015, subject to regulatory approval. It anticipates receiving $17–$21 million in cash and recognizing estimated pretax losses of $19–$23 million at settlement.
  • Risk factors include concentrated Florida real estate exposure, real estate market cyclicality, development and permitting risks, investment-market losses and concentrated holdings in non-investment-grade corporate debt. The company disclosed an ongoing SEC investigation concerning, among other things, impairment practices, reporting obligations, internal controls and financial reporting; it has not accrued a liability because loss probability and amount cannot currently be determined.
  • Other exposures include environmental matters, with $0.5 million accrued, and Pier Park North loan guarantees and covenants, including a 33% limit on the principal repayment guarantee and a $25 million minimum-liquidity covenant. Management reported disclosure controls were effective and no material change in internal controls during the quarter.

Investor verification priorities

  1. Reconcile the AgReserves sale proceeds, transaction gain, taxes and Q1 cash flow, and assess the recurring earnings base after the land sale.
  2. Review the Timber Note securitization, Q2 consolidation and cash received, including the entity’s asset coverage and the non-recourse terms.
  3. Track RiverTown note repayment, assumed CDD obligations, and whether anticipated impact-fee proceeds materialize.
  4. Monitor the investment portfolio’s issuer and credit concentration, including the April 21 increase in the permitted single-issuer limit from 10% to 15% with committee approval.
  5. Follow the SEC investigation, environmental contingencies and pension-plan settlement timing and costs.