PORTLAND GENERAL ELECTRIC CO quarterly report, Q2 FY2011

Portland General Electric Company — Q2 2011 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2011. PGE is a vertically integrated Oregon electric utility, serving 824,526 retail customers at quarter-end. Interim results are unaudited and subject to seasonal variability.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ2 2011Q2 2010First half 2011First half 2010
Revenue$411 million$415 million$895 million$864 million
Operating income$57 million$57 million$172 million$118 million
Net income$22 million$24 million$91 million$51 million
Diluted EPS$0.29$0.32$1.21$0.68
Gross margin59%55%59%53%
Operating cash flow—$279 million$246 million

Gross margin is a non-GAAP measure defined as revenue less purchased power and fuel expense. Q2 revenue fell 1% and net income fell 8%; first-half revenue rose 4% and net income rose 78%. First-half retail deliveries increased 6% (2.6% weather-adjusted), while average variable power cost declined 13%. Q2 retail deliveries rose 3%; wholesale revenue declined 43% as sales volume and average prices fell.

At June 30, 2011, cash was $72 million, total assets $5.503 billion, total liabilities $3.855 billion, and long-term debt $1.798 billion. There was no short-term debt or current debt maturity outstanding. The company reported a 52.2% debt-to-capital ratio under credit-facility covenants and a 47.8% common equity ratio. Credit facilities had $474 million of unused capacity; PGE had $126 million of letters of credit outstanding. Six-month capital expenditures were $138 million. Dividends declared were $0.265 per share for Q2.

Changes and operating drivers

  • First-half net income increased $40 million year over year, mainly on lower power costs, increased retail deliveries, and the January 2011 general rate increase. Q2 net income declined $2 million, with lower costs and higher retail sales largely offset by power-cost adjustment refunds, tax-related regulatory effects, decoupling, and higher operating costs.
  • Favorable hydro conditions and lower wholesale prices reduced power costs; hydro energy exceeded normal by 18% in the first half. Thermal generation was economically displaced by lower-cost purchased power and increased hydro and wind generation.
  • More extensive planned plant maintenance, higher incentive compensation, employee benefits, delivery-system expenses, and taxes partly offset improved power economics. Plant availability was about 88% for PGE-operated plants in the first half, versus 92% a year earlier; Colstrip availability was 74%, versus 96%.
  • Cash from operations increased $33 million. Investing cash use fell to $139 million from $245 million, primarily because of lower capital spending after Biglow Canyon Phase III was completed. Financing used $72 million, including dividends, debt repayments, and commercial-paper repayment.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management projected 2011 weather-adjusted retail deliveries about 1.8% above 2010, or approximately 1% higher excluding certain paper-production customers. It expected 2011 capital expenditures of about $330 million, funded from operating cash flow, with no long-term debt or equity issuance anticipated for 2011.
  • A July 2011 forecast indicated an approximately 1.0% decrease in customer prices for 2012 power costs; the forecast remained subject to updates and OPUC approval. New Boardman depreciation-related prices took effect July 1, 2011, with about $8 million incremental revenue requirement for the second half of 2011.
  • Longer-term resource plans include competitive bids for flexible and peaking capacity, renewable resources, and baseload energy. Cascade Crossing is estimated at $800 million to $1.0 billion, with a potential in-service date in late 2016 or 2017; project costs beyond 2011 were excluded from the stated capital plan.
  • A preliminary settlement of the Boardman environmental lawsuit would impose sulfur-dioxide limits, permit coal operation through 2020, and require PGE and co-owners to fund $2.5 million in environmental projects and $1 million in plaintiffs’ legal expenses. Court approval remained pending; PGE accrued about $2 million as its share.
  • The EPA’s separate Boardman notice of violation has no estimated liability; management cited a maximum potential penalty of about $60 million and said the matter could materially affect future results or cash flows. Other unresolved matters include Trojan investment recovery and customer claims, Pacific Northwest wholesale-market refunds, Portland Harbor and Harbor Oil environmental investigations, and recovery of revenue bonds held by Lehman Brothers. Potential losses were not estimable for several proceedings.
  • Commodity-price and counterparty exposures include $306 million of derivative liabilities and $10 million of derivative assets at fair value; regulatory accounting defers certain gains and losses. A downgrade below investment grade could prompt additional collateral requests: estimated at about $119 million after a single-agency downgrade or $240 million after a dual-agency downgrade as of June 30.
  • Management cited regulatory and environmental changes, weather, generation outages, wholesale energy prices, capital-market access, customer demand, and project execution among key risks. Disclosure controls were assessed as effective; a new financial system was implemented during the quarter and related controls will continue to be monitored.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the $12 million estimated PCAM customer refund and expected below-baseline power costs change as 2011 results and the regulated earnings test are finalized.
  • Actual 2011 capital spending and operating cash flow, including the effect of the $14 million postretirement-benefit trust contribution made in July.
  • Final OPUC action on 2012 power costs and the ongoing revenue recovery for Boardman’s shortened operating life and emissions controls.
  • Court approval and implementation of the Boardman settlement, and developments in the separate EPA notice of violation and other material contingencies.
  • Collateral requirements and liquidity if credit ratings or commodity prices change, along with progress, cost, and financing plans for proposed resource and transmission projects.