Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS), also known as Gas Transporter of the South Inc.
Filing Type: Form 20-F (Annual Report)
Reporting Period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2014
Accounting Standards: International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)
Business Overview: TGS is the largest natural gas transporter in Argentina, operating a 5,675-mile pipeline system. The company operates two primary segments: Natural Gas Transportation (regulated) and Liquids Production and Commercialization (non-regulated, extracting ethane, LPG, and natural gasoline). It also provides midstream and telecommunications services.
Key Financial Metrics (Year Ended Dec 31, 2014)
| Metric | 2014 (Millions of Ps.) | 2013 (Millions of Ps.) |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues from Sales | 4,304.0 | 2,865.0 |
| Gross Profit | 1,738.4 | 1,269.7 |
| Operating Profit | 932.5 | 706.6 |
| Net Financial Results (Expense) | (765.5) | (532.7) |
| Total Comprehensive Income | 105.0 | 107.5 |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1,019.0 | 871.0 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents (End of Period) | 789.4 | 893.8 |
Debt Profile: As of December 31, 2014, total financial debt denominated in U.S. dollars was approximately US$285.0 million (Ps. 2,437.4 million). The company maintains a net monetary liability position of US$229.0 million.
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue Growth: Total revenues increased by 50.2% (Ps. 1,439.0 million) compared to 2013. This was primarily driven by the Liquids Production and Commercialization segment, which saw a 57.0% revenue increase due to peso devaluation and favorable weather conditions increasing volumes.
- Segment Performance Divergence:
- Liquids Segment: Operating profit increased by 26.3% to Ps. 816.9 million.
- Gas Transportation Segment: Recorded an operating loss of Ps. 42.4 million in 2014, compared to an operating profit of Ps. 29.5 million in 2013. This marks the first annual operating deficit for this segment, caused by rising costs (labor and maintenance) that were not fully offset by a partial tariff increase implemented in April 2014.
- Financial Expenses: Net financial expenses increased by 43.7% (Ps. 232.9 million) due to foreign exchange losses (Ps. 90.6 million) and higher interest expenses resulting from the devaluation of the Argentine peso against the U.S. dollar.
- Dividends: The Board approved a cash dividend of Ps. 260.5 million in November 2014. However, payment to ADS holders was pending as of the report date due to Central Bank (BCRA) authorization requirements for accessing the foreign exchange market.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
Management Commentary & Outlook:
- Tariff Renegotiation: The company is engaged in a prolonged renegotiation process with UNIREN regarding its natural gas transportation license. While a 20% tariff increase was authorized in April 2014 (Resolution I-2852), it is insufficient to cover historical cost increases. The company is seeking retroactive application of this increase dating back to September 2008.
- Liquids Market: The outlook for the Liquids segment is challenged by declining international prices for LPG and natural gasoline, which began in late 2014. Management notes that if prices do not recover, operating results will be adversely affected.
- Capital Expenditures: Projected capital expenditures for 2015-2017 total approximately US$104.4 million, primarily for reliability and maintenance.
- Regulatory & Tariff Risk: The "Public Emergency Law" has frozen tariff adjustments for over a decade. The company faces significant risk if the government fails to approve further tariff increases or retroactive adjustments, threatening the viability of the transportation segment.
- Foreign Exchange Risk: The company has a significant net liability position in U.S. dollars while a portion of revenues (32.5% in 2014) is peso-denominated. Further peso devaluation increases financial expenses and reduces the peso value of dollar-denominated assets.
- Legal Proceedings:
- Gas Charge Resolutions: TGS obtained a preliminary injunction (extended to September 2015) blocking a significant increase in the natural gas processing charge. If lost, this could result in an estimated Ps. 182.8 million net expense for 2014.
- Tax Claims: Ongoing disputes regarding turnover tax exemptions and assessments totaling provisions of Ps. 120.8 million.
- Supply Constraints: Declining natural gas production in the Neuquina basin and government-mandated redirection of gas to residential users can interrupt supply to the Cerri Complex, reducing Liquids production.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Tariff Renegotiation Status: Verify the current status of the UNIREN renegotiation and the likelihood of receiving retroactive tariff adjustments for the period 2008-2014.
- Dividend Repatriation: Confirm whether the BCRA has authorized the transfer of foreign currency to pay the declared dividends to ADS holders.
- Gas Charge Injunction: Monitor the status of the legal injunction regarding the natural gas processing charge; a loss could materially impact future profitability.
- Commodity Price Exposure: Assess the impact of sustained low international prices for LPG and natural gasoline on the Liquids segment margins.
- Debt Covenants: Review compliance with debt covenants (coverage ratio and debt ratio) given the operating loss in the transportation segment and rising financial costs.