UBS Group AG current report, Q4 FY2019

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 6-K filing, dated February 28, 2020, presents the audited standalone financial statements for UBS AG for the year ended December 31, 2019. UBS AG is a regulated bank in Switzerland and a wholly-owned subsidiary of UBS Group AG. The entity operates globally across four business divisions: Global Wealth Management, Investment Bank, Group Treasury, and Corporate Center. The financial statements are prepared in accordance with Swiss GAAP (FINMA Circular 2015/1) and presented in both USD and CHF.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (USD Million) 2019 2018
Total Operating Income 11,975 12,040
Operating Profit 3,889 2,501
Net Profit 3,848 3,333
Total Assets 478,946 480,238
Total Liabilities 427,242 429,130
Total Equity 51,705 51,107
Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Capital 49,521 49,411
Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA) 287,999 292,888
Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) 137% 139%

Profitability and Margins

  • Net Interest Income: Increased significantly to $695 million from $254 million in 2018.
  • Net Fee and Commission Income: Rose to $2,643 million from $1,799 million.
  • Net Trading Income: Declined to $3,337 million from $4,443 million, driven by lower performance in the Investment Bank.
  • Operating Profit Margin: Improved to approximately 32.5% ($3,889m / $11,975m) compared to 20.8% in 2018.
  • Effective Tax Rate: The average tax rate was 5.0% in 2019, compared to a negative 27.0% in 2018 (which included a one-time tax benefit).

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Profit Growth: Net profit increased by 15.5% ($515 million) year-over-year, primarily due to a reduction in operating expenses and lower impairment charges.
  • Expense Reduction: Total operating expenses decreased by 15.2% to $8,086 million. This was driven by a $1.45 billion reduction in "Impairment of investments in subsidiaries" (from $760m to $206m) and lower general and administrative expenses.
  • Trading Income Decline: Net trading income fell by $1.1 billion, largely attributed to the Investment Bank's Investor Client Services and Corporate Client Solutions.
  • Balance Sheet Shifts: Trading portfolio assets increased by $21.2 billion to $116.8 billion, while bonds issued decreased by $28.7 billion to $55.0 billion.
  • Regulatory Capital: CET1 capital increased slightly by $110 million, while Risk-Weighted Assets decreased by $4.9 billion, improving the CET1 ratio to 17.19%.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

Management Commentary and Dividends

The Board of Directors proposed an ordinary dividend distribution of $3,848 million (total profit available for appropriation). The dividend is declared in USD but subject to a CHF cap of $7,696 million. If the CHF equivalent exceeds the cap, the USD per share amount will be reduced pro-rata.

Organizational Changes

  • Asset Management Transfer: Effective April 1, 2019, the Asset Management business in Switzerland was transferred to UBS Asset Management Switzerland AG, resulting in a $189 billion decrease in invested assets reported by UBS AG.
  • UK Merger: The merger of UBS Limited into UBS Europe SE was concluded in March 2019.

Risks and Contingencies

  • Contingent Liabilities: Net contingent liabilities stood at $11.6 billion, including $5.9 billion in guarantees to third parties related to subsidiaries.
  • Litigation Provisions: Provisions for litigation, regulatory, and similar matters totaled $867 million as of year-end.
  • Accounting Changes: UBS AG will adopt an expected credit loss (ECL) approach under Swiss GAAP starting January 1, 2021, with a transition period until 2025.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Dividend Cap Mechanics: Verify the exchange rate on the AGM date to confirm if the USD dividend will be reduced to meet the CHF 7.696 billion cap.
  • Trading Income Volatility: Assess the sustainability of the $1.1 billion decline in net trading income and its impact on future earnings.
  • Impairment Reversals: Review the $166 million in reversals of impairments recorded as extraordinary income to understand the quality of earnings.
  • Regulatory Capital Adequacy: Confirm that the CET1 ratio of 17.19% comfortably exceeds the Swiss SRB going concern requirement of 9.71% (including buffers).
  • Related Party Exposure: Note that $47.6 billion in funding received from UBS Group AG is eligible as total loss-absorbing capacity, indicating high intercompany dependency.