L’indice de confiance des consommateurs aux États-Unis du Conference Board aux États-Unis

Pays: États-Unis, USD
Importance: Plus Haut
Secteur: Consommateur
Dernière version
Réel
Prévision
81.5
Précédent
Prochaine version
Réel
À venir dans 19 jours
Prévision
91.5
Précédent
91.7
Date (GMT)
Référence
Réel
Prévision
févr. 2025
98.3
98.3
janv. 2025
105.2
déc. 2024
115.9
nov. 2024
109.3
oct. 2024
98.9
sept. 2024
101.8
août 2024
104.2
juil. 2024
108.0
juin 2024
107.5
mai 2024
76.3
avr. 2024
139.7
mars 2024
107.2
févr. 2024
108.0
janv. 2024
102.4
déc. 2023
102.3
nov. 2023
102.7
oct. 2023
104.5
sept. 2023
111.5
août 2023
113.4
juil. 2023
106.0

L’indice de confiance des consommateurs affiche le niveau de confiance des consommateurs dans la stabilité de l’économie du pays. Il est basé sur les données de l’enquête mensuelle auprès de plus de 5000 ménages et est conçu pour évaluer la condition financière relative, le pouvoir d’achat et la confiance d’un consommateur moyen. L’enquête se compose de cinq questions, dont deux sont associées des conditions économiques actuelles, tandis que trois portent sur les prévisions. Vu que 60% de l’enquête concerne les prévisions, l’indicateur est considéré comme un indicateur de premier plan du marché. La croissance de l’indicateur suppose une hausse des dépenses de consommation.

Nouvelles

Frequently asked questions about the Economic Calendar

What does this economic indicator show?

This indicator reflects key macroeconomic trends in the United States and belongs to the Consommateur sector. Its market importance is rated as plus haut. The release provides market participants with objective information about the state of the economy. Depending on how far the actual value deviates from analysts' consensus forecasts, the report may affect the national currency and related financial instruments.

When were the latest data released?

The latest official statistics were released on 27 oct. 2026. After publication, market participants compare the actual figures with forecasts and historical values. This analysis helps assess the current economic cycle and shape expectations about future monetary policy decisions, which can directly affect asset prices.

When is the next report due?

The next release is scheduled for 24 nov. 2026. Market volatility often increases around important macroeconomic releases. Traders and investors can mark the date in their calendars in advance to adjust risk management strategies, review open positions, or prepare pending orders before the official release.

What do "Actual", "Forecast", and "Previous" mean?

"Previous" is the result from the preceding reporting period. "Forecast" is the consensus estimate before publication. "Actual" is the officially confirmed released value. Market reactions are largely driven by the difference between the forecast and the actual result. A significant positive or negative surprise relative to expectations can become a major driver of short-term price movements.

What were the results of the latest release?

In the latest report, the actual value was 91.7. Analysts had forecast 81.5, while the previous reading was 84.2. Comparing these three figures helps determine whether market expectations were met and whether the economic trend is accelerating or slowing relative to the previous period.

What are the expectations for the next release?

The analysts' consensus forecast for the upcoming release is 91.5. The previous recorded value was 91.7. The direction and strength of the market reaction will largely depend on how the future actual result differs from this forecast. If the data match expectations, volatility is likely to remain moderate.

Why is this indicator important for traders?

The indicator has an importance level of plus haut, which reflects its potential impact on liquidity and volatility. High-importance events can contribute to sustained medium-term trends, while lower-importance indicators more often cause localized fluctuations. Understanding the significance of a release helps traders prioritize events when planning their trading activity.

How does this indicator affect the forex market?

The impact is driven by changes in fundamental expectations. If actual data in the United States significantly exceed forecasts or fall well below them, the market may reassess the outlook for the national currency. This can lead to changes in capital flows and market prices. The degree of impact also depends on overall market conditions and other events occurring at the same time.

Should I open trades before the release?

Trading immediately before important data releases involves increased risk. Spreads may widen sharply, slippage can occur, and volatility can become unpredictable when the report is published. Many professional market participants prefer to close speculative positions or reduce exposure before a release, resuming activity only after a clearer price direction emerges.

How can I use this indicator in trading?

Macroeconomic data should be treated as part of a broader analysis rather than as an isolated signal. An effective approach combines assessment of the fundamental environment with technical analysis and risk management. The indicator can help confirm or challenge a trend hypothesis, but trade entries should be based on multiple factors and clearly defined risk management rules.

Why does the market sometimes not react to a release?

A limited market reaction often means that the data matched expectations and had already been priced in — an effect sometimes described as "buy the rumor, sell the fact." The impact may also be overshadowed by more important simultaneous events or broader market sentiment. In such cases, even significant indicators may be released without causing substantial price movements.

How should I interpret a deviation from the forecast?

The key factor is often the size of the surprise rather than the absolute value. The larger the gap between the actual result and the forecast, the stronger the potential market reaction. A positive surprise typically supports the currency, while a negative one can weaken it. However, context matters: the market may disregard a deviation if it is viewed as temporary or insignificant for long-term central bank policy.

Can historical releases be used for analysis?

Historical data are useful for identifying cyclical patterns and assessing the persistence of trends. The latest release on 27 oct. 2026 provides a reference point. Comparing current readings with several previous periods can help distinguish short-term noise from structural changes in the economy and improve the quality of economic analysis.

Which markets can react to this indicator?

In addition to the national currency, the indicator may affect government bonds and stock indices in the United States, as well as related commodities. The degree of impact depends on the type of data released, overall market conditions, and the sensitivity of specific assets to macroeconomic factors.

How can I track the next release?

Use 24 nov. 2026 as the key date for the next publication. You can add the event to your personal calendar and set a reminder. Preparation may include reviewing consensus forecasts, identifying support and resistance levels, and planning scenarios for different release outcomes, helping reduce emotional decision-making during periods of high volatility.