Factors to Watch Ahead of Celsius Holdings' Q3 Earnings Release

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Factors to Watch Ahead of Celsius Holdings' Q3 Earnings Release

Celsius Holdings, Inc. CELH is likely to witness top-line growth when it reports third-quarter 2026 earnings on Nov. 5. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $805.8 million, indicating an 11.1% increase from the year-ago reported number. 

The consensus mark for earnings has remained unchanged over the past 30 days at 34 cents a share, though it suggests a decline of 19.1% from the year-ago period’s figure. CELH has a trailing four-quarter surprise of 28.5%, on average.

Celsius Holdings Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Celsius Holdings Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Celsius Holdings Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Celsius Holdings Inc. Quote

Factors Likely to Influence CELH’s Upcoming Results

Celsius Holdings’ third-quarter results are likely to benefit from sustained consumer demand for energy drinks and continued momentum across its diversified brand portfolio. Alani Nu’s expanding distribution, strong consumer engagement and repeat purchases may have supported sales growth. On its last earnings call, management stated that it expects Alani Nu’s momentum to continue, aided by improving service levels and a robust limited-time flavor offering calendar in the second half of 2026.

Rockstar Energy’s completed integration into Celsius Holdings’ operating platform may have supported operational stability and supply-chain efficiencies. Improved assortment productivity, efforts to strengthen brand execution and investments in merchandising and sales personnel could have aided product availability and retail performance. Continued international expansion across established Nordic markets and newer European markets, supported by local partnerships and distribution initiatives, may also have contributed to revenue growth.

Celsius Holdings’ margins may have benefited from ongoing supply-chain integration, outbound freight optimization and improved procurement efficiencies. Management indicated that lower product costs from Alani Nu would increasingly flow through during the third quarter, with Rockstar-related cost benefits also expected to materialize during the period. Revenue growth management initiatives, including price-pack architecture improvements, are likely to have provided additional support to operating performance.

However, Celsius Holdings’ third-quarter performance could have faced pressure from continued SKU rationalization, limited innovation activity and distributor inventory rebalancing within the core CELSIUS brand. Management expects the brand’s third-quarter performance to broadly resemble the second quarter, reflecting ongoing assortment adjustments and challenging innovation comparisons. Elevated aluminum and fuel costs, increased promotional spending and an unfavorable distribution-channel mix may have further constrained profitability. 

Management expects third-quarter gross margins to remain in the high-40% range, broadly consistent with the second quarter.

Earnings Whispers for CELH

Our proven model doesn’t conclusively predict an earnings beat for Celsius Holdings this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is not the case here.
 
Celsius Holdings currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) and has an Earnings ESP of -4.85%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Stocks With the Favorable Combination

Here are some companies worth considering, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings this reporting cycle.

Sysco Corporation SYY currently has an Earnings ESP of +2.58% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The consensus estimate for the quarterly revenues stands at $22.2 billion, which suggests 4.9% growth from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Sysco’s upcoming quarter’s EPS is pegged at $1.17, which calls for a 1.7% increase from the year-ago period’s figure. SYY delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of nearly 1%, on average.

General Mills, Inc. GIS currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.26% and a Zacks Rank #3. The consensus estimate for quarterly revenues is pegged at $4.7 billion, which indicates a decline of 2.8% from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for General Mills’ upcoming quarter’s EPS is pegged at 96 cents, which calls for a decrease of 12.7% from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. GIS delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.6%, on average.

The Kroger Co. KR currently has an Earnings ESP of +3.43% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KR’s upcoming quarter’s revenues is pegged at $34.6 billion, suggesting a 2.1% increase from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. 

The consensus estimate for Kroger’s upcoming quarter’s EPS is pegged at $1.16 per share, implying 10.5% growth from the year-ago quarter’s earnings of 36 cents. KR delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 2.7%, on average.

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Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
General Mills, Inc. (GIS): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
The Kroger Co. (KR): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Sysco Corporation (SYY): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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