Atlanticus Holdings Corp quarterly report, Q1 FY2016

Atlanticus Holdings Corporation — Q1 2016 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period

Unaudited results cover the three months ended March 31, 2016, compared with the same period in 2015; balance-sheet comparisons are with December 31, 2015. Atlanticus provides consumer credit and related services, principally through Credit and Other Investments (Fortiva point-of-sale and direct-to-consumer lending, legacy card portfolios and servicing) and Auto Finance (used-car dealer lending and floor-plan financing).

Financial performance and position

MetricQ1 2016Q1 2015 or prior date
Total interest income$18.2 million$17.5 million
Net interest income, fees and related income on earning assets$21.7 million$33.3 million
Total operating income in MD&A$24.0 million$29.0 million
Net income attributable to controlling interests$4.6 million; $0.33 per share$2.0 million; $0.14 per share
Operating cash flow$8.8 million provided$9.2 million used
Unrestricted cash$48.9 million$51.0 million at Dec. 31, 2015
Total assets / total liabilities$279.3 million / $263.7 million$280.7 million / $269.8 million at Dec. 31, 2015
Total equity$15.6 million$11.0 million at Dec. 31, 2015

Interest expense was $4.6 million versus $4.6 million; provision for loan losses on receivables at net realizable value was $4.7 million versus $3.2 million. No consolidated margin figure is clearly provided. Investing activities provided $0.6 million, down from $19.3 million; financing activities used $11.3 million, primarily reflecting net debt repayments. Unrestricted cash declined by $2.2 million during the quarter.

At March 31, debt carrying amounts included $80.8 million of notes payable, $20.0 million due to related parties, $18.1 million of structured-financing notes at fair value and $64.9 million of convertible senior notes. Management identified $49.9 million as potentially significant refinancing needs: a $20.0 million related-party term loan maturing November 2016 and a $29.9 million CAR revolver expiring October 2017. The related-party loan bears 9% interest.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Net income attributable to controlling interests increased to $4.6 million from $2.0 million, despite lower reported operating income. The filing attributes the improvement in part to lower rent-to-own depreciation and expenses, including a $5.0 million reserve reversal, as well as lower servicing costs.
  • Net interest, fees and related income fell by $11.7 million. Rental revenue declined to $4.2 million from $10.1 million as rent-to-own originations were sharply reduced; fees on credit products also fell. A $4.9 million net recovery on fair-value receivable charge-offs was lower than the $10.4 million prior-year amount.
  • Receivables and business mix shifted toward newer Fortiva products: point-of-sale and direct-to-consumer balances cited in MD&A rose to $112.3 million from $64.2 million year over year, while legacy credit card portfolios continued to liquidate. Auto Finance managed receivables were $78.4 million, up from $73.4 million.
  • Managed receivables for Credit and Other Investments were $155.4 million, versus $140.7 million a year earlier. Its 30-days-past-due rate was 9.7% versus 10.1%; combined gross charge-off ratio was 18.2% versus 23.8%. Auto Finance delinquency of 30 days or more was 10.2% versus 10.7%, while its combined gross charge-off ratio was 2.7% versus 0.5%.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management expects modest growth in managed receivables in 2016, supported by Fortiva originations, new retail partners and testing of U.S. credit card originations. It expects higher interest expense as growth requires additional borrowing.
  • Rent-to-own originations were substantially discontinued; management expects related revenue to continue declining as existing contracts run off, with no new originations expected beyond Q2 2016. Legacy credit card liquidation is also expected to weigh on fee income.
  • Management expects some increase in delinquency and charge-off ratios as newer, higher-risk products become a larger share of receivables. It cautions that profitability may remain pressured if revenues do not grow enough to cover fixed infrastructure and overhead costs.
  • Fair-value receivables and associated structured-financing liabilities rely on Level 3 cash-flow estimates, including credit losses, payment rates, yields and discount rates; changes in assumptions can create earnings volatility. Reimbursements of approximately $5.9 million benefited Q1 reported pre-tax income across multiple lines but were excluded from managed-basis portfolio statistics; management says their timing and future recurrence are uncertain.
  • A $5.0 million U.K. VAT-related liability was reversed after HMRC discontinued its review and substantially all related refunds were received. Separately, the IRS is examining amended claims that could eliminate a $7.3 million tax assessment and $2.9 million accrued interest and penalties; outcome is uncertain.
  • Unfunded commitments included $115.2 million of consumer credit lines and $9.9 million of auto floor-plan financing. The company says it can reduce or cancel consumer lines and does not expect contingent commitments to require material payments. It reported no pending material litigation and no material subsequent events requiring adjustment.
  • No formal earnings guidance is provided. Management’s forward-looking statements are subject to financing availability, credit performance, economic conditions, regulation, competition, merchant and bank relationships, and operational risks. The company reported effective disclosure controls and no material change in internal control during the quarter.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether Fortiva growth and new retail partnerships can offset declining legacy card and rent-to-own revenue while covering fixed costs.
  • Credit quality, loss provisioning and portfolio performance as newer products season, especially the direction of delinquency and charge-off ratios.
  • Availability and terms of financing, covenant compliance and repayment or refinancing of the $20.0 million related-party loan due in November 2016.
  • How sensitive Level 3 fair values and reported earnings are to management’s cash-flow assumptions, and whether reimbursements recur.
  • Resolution of the IRS claims and assessment, and the sustainability of reported earnings after the one-time VAT reserve reversal.