FIFTH THIRD BANCORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2019

Fifth Third Bancorp — Q3 2019 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. This unaudited filing covers the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019. Fifth Third is a diversified bank headquartered in Cincinnati, operating across ten Midwestern and Southeastern states and reporting four segments: Commercial Banking, Branch Banking, Consumer Lending, and Wealth and Asset Management. Results include MB Financial, acquired on March 22, 2019, so year-over-year comparisons reflect the acquisition as well as underlying changes.

Key financial results

MetricQ3 2019Q3 2018First nine months 2019First nine months 2018
Net interest income, GAAP$1.242B$1.043B$3.569B$3.059B
Total revenue$1.986B$1.610B$6.083B$5.286B
Provision for credit losses$134M$84M$310M$111M
Noninterest expense$1.159B$972M$3.499B$2.984B
Net income attributable to Bancorp$549M$436M$1.778B$1.737B
Net income available to common shareholders$530M$421M$1.718B$1.685B
Diluted EPS$0.71$0.61$2.37$2.41
Net interest margin, FTE3.32%3.23%3.32%3.20%
Efficiency ratio, FTE58.4%60.4%57.5%56.4%

FTE (fully taxable equivalent) figures are non-GAAP. Total revenue increased 23% in Q3 and 15% for the nine-month period. Common net income rose 26% in Q3 and 2% for the nine months; nine-month diluted EPS fell 2%. The nine-month comparisons include significant gains from Worldpay transactions.

Balance sheet, funding, cash flow, and capital

  • Assets and loans: Total assets were $171.1B at September 30, 2019, up from $146.1B at year-end 2018. Portfolio loans and leases were $109.4B, versus $95.3B at year-end; MB Financial added approximately $13.4B of loans at acquisition.
  • Deposits and borrowings: Deposits were $125.3B, up 15% from year-end, including $14.5B assumed in the acquisition. Total borrowings were $19.4B, up from $16.9B; long-term debt was $14.5B. The company reported $3.3B in cash and due from banks, approximately $46.1B of available secured borrowing capacity at the Bank, and $19.3B available under its bank note program.
  • Cash flow: For the first nine months, operating activities provided $445M, investing activities used $1.327B, and financing activities provided $1.462B. Cash and due from banks increased $580M to $3.261B. These figures reflect bank balance-sheet and funding activity and should not be interpreted like industrial-company free cash flow.
  • Credit quality: Q3 net charge-offs were $99M, or 0.36% of average portfolio loans and leases, versus $72M and 0.30% a year earlier. Nonperforming assets were $532M, up from $411M at year-end; nonperforming portfolio assets were 0.47% of portfolio loans, leases, and OREO versus 0.41%. The allowance for loan and lease losses was $1.143B, or 1.04% of portfolio loans, down from 1.16% at year-end, partly because acquired loans are recorded at fair value without carrying over the acquired allowance.
  • Capital and liquidity: September 30 regulatory ratios were CET1 9.56%, Tier 1 risk-based 10.81%, total risk-based 13.68%, and Tier 1 leverage 9.36%; the company said ratios exceeded well-capitalized guidelines. Modified LCR was 116%. Final rules effective December 31, 2019 remove Fifth Third, as a Category IV institution, from LCR and NSFR requirements.

Material changes and unusual items

  • MB Financial acquisition: Completed for approximately $3.6B, expanding Fifth Third’s Chicago presence and deposit base. The acquisition added $1.815B of preliminary goodwill and $195M of core deposit intangible assets. Acquisition fair values remained subject to refinement for up to one year after closing.
  • Worldpay: Fifth Third sold its remaining Worldpay shares in Q1 and recorded a $562M gain in the first nine months of 2019, compared with a $205M Worldpay share-sale gain in the comparable 2018 period. 2018 also included a $414M gain related to Vantiv’s acquisition of Worldpay Group. These items make reported noninterest income and period comparisons less indicative of recurring performance.
  • Merger costs and operating expenses: MB Financial-related merger expenses were $28M in Q3 and $213M in the first nine months. Nine-month noninterest expense increased 17%, reflecting merger costs, acquired operations, technology investment, and other costs. The nine-month efficiency ratio worsened to 57.5% from 56.4%, although the Q3 ratio improved year over year.
  • Interest income and mortgage banking: Loan growth and higher loan yields supported net interest income; rising deposit and wholesale funding costs partly offset that benefit. Lower mortgage rates boosted originations and loan-sale gains, while higher expected prepayments reduced mortgage servicing right values. The MSR portfolio was valued at $910M at quarter-end, and the company’s economic hedges partly offset valuation movements.
  • Capital returns and funding transactions: Common dividends declared were $0.24 per share in Q3, versus $0.18 a year earlier. The company repurchased shares during the period and issued $242M net proceeds from 4.95% Series K preferred stock. It also issued $1.5B of 3.65% five-year senior notes, $300M of floating-rate bank notes, and securitized automobile loans.

Outlook, commentary, and risks

  • The filing provides no specific earnings or revenue guidance. Management described U.S. economic conditions as generally stable but noted indicators of possible softening, including manufacturing contraction, slowing global growth, trade-tariff uncertainty, and weaker freight trends; low unemployment and consumer confidence were supportive.
  • Management’s interest-rate sensitivity model showed near-neutral first-year net interest income under a rising-rate scenario and a benefit in year two. A 100-basis-point decline was estimated to reduce NII by 3.11% over the first 12 months and 8.74% over months 13–24. These are model estimates dependent on deposit and other assumptions, not forecasts.
  • The company expected to adopt CECL on January 1, 2020 and estimated an increase in the allowance for loan and lease losses of 40%–55% relative to the June 2019 allowance; for the legacy portfolio excluding MB Financial loans, the estimated increase was 30%–40%. Management cautioned the actual impact could differ materially with economic conditions, portfolio composition, model refinements, and assumptions.
  • LIBOR replacement after 2021 presents contract, operational, market-liquidity, and systems risks; Fifth Third reported substantial LIBOR exposure and was preparing for the transition. Other stated risks include credit deterioration, concentration, funding and liquidity, interest-rate changes, cyber and third-party risks, regulation, integration, litigation, and model and valuation uncertainty.
  • Legal and contingent matters: The merchant interchange settlement remained subject to final approval; more than 25% of the class opted out, resulting in $700M of proposed settlement funds being returned to defendants. The Early Access litigation was remanded for further proceedings, with claimed damages exceeding $280M. The company estimated reasonably possible aggregate legal and regulatory losses of up to approximately $27M above accruals for matters where it could estimate a range; other matters could not be estimated. Mortgage representation-and-warranty losses of up to approximately $11M above the $7M reserve were considered reasonably possible. The Visa-related swap liability was $146M; the filing said it was not probable that Visa litigation exposure exceeded the value supporting the swap, and disclosed a $12M cash payment made after quarter-end.
  • After quarter-end, Fifth Third announced a $300M accelerated share repurchase and issued $750M of 2.375% senior notes due 2025. The bank also expected to convert to a national charter on or about November 14, 2019. Management reported disclosure controls were effective; integration of MB Financial into financial-reporting controls was ongoing.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • How much of revenue and earnings growth is recurring versus attributable to MB Financial, Worldpay gains, purchase-accounting accretion, and merger costs.
  • Whether criticized commercial assets, nonperforming assets, and consumer net charge-offs continue to rise, and how credit costs evolve after CECL adoption.
  • The actual CECL opening allowance and capital impact compared with the preliminary 40%–55% estimate.
  • Deposit pricing, deposit retention, funding mix, and net interest income performance as rates change, including sensitivity to deposit beta assumptions and LIBOR transition execution.
  • MB Financial integration progress, realization of expected benefits, and any revisions to preliminary acquisition fair values or goodwill.
  • Final outcomes and potential financial exposure from the merchant interchange, Early Access, Visa-related, and other legal or regulatory matters.
  • Capital and liquidity levels after buybacks, dividends, debt issuance, and the announced regulatory changes; confirm the impact of the post-quarter transactions in subsequent filings.