Global Indemnity Group, LLC quarterly report, Q3 FY2019

Global Indemnity Limited — Q3 2019 Form 10-Q

Business context and period: The filing covers the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2019. Global Indemnity Limited is a specialty property and casualty insurer and reinsurer, reporting Commercial Specialty, Specialty Property, Farm, Ranch, & Stable, and Reinsurance Operations. The filing reorganized the former Personal Lines segment into Specialty Property and Farm, Ranch, & Stable; comparative 2018 segment results were recast.

Financial performance and condition

MetricQ3 2019Q3 2018Nine months 2019Nine months 2018
Gross premiums written$157.2 million$135.6 million$478.7 million$418.7 million
Net premiums earned$133.3 million$120.5 million$383.6 million$342.4 million
Total revenues$142.2 million$138.0 million$428.6 million$385.7 million
Net income$6.7 million$3.7 million$41.0 million$16.6 million
Diluted earnings per share$0.47$0.26$2.86$1.16
Combined ratio95.2%107.2%92.8%98.3%
Net investment income$11.3 million$11.8 million$32.4 million$34.1 million
  • Premium growth: Gross written premiums increased 15.9% for the quarter and 14.3% for the nine months. Management cited new Commercial Specialty programs, rate increases and agent growth in Farm, Ranch, & Stable, and Reinsurance growth, including a new casualty treaty. Reinsurance gross premiums written rose 113.5% in Q3.
  • Profitability: Q3 underwriting income was $6.6 million, versus an $8.2 million loss a year earlier. Nine-month underwriting income was $29.3 million, up from $7.1 million. Lower loss ratios and favorable prior-year reserve development contributed; the nine-month 2018 comparison also included a $12.5 million advisory fee related to a 2018 reorganization.
  • Segment variation: Q3 underwriting income was $8.7 million in Commercial Specialty and $3.8 million in Reinsurance Operations; Specialty Property lost $5.5 million and Farm, Ranch, & Stable lost $0.3 million. For the nine months, Commercial Specialty earned $21.0 million and Specialty Property $4.4 million, while Farm, Ranch, & Stable lost $1.7 million and Reinsurance earned $5.6 million.
  • Investment results: Nine-month net realized investment gains were $11.3 million, versus $7.8 million. This included $17.9 million of equity-security gains and $9.4 million of derivative losses; Q3 net realized investment losses were $2.7 million. Net unrealized investment gains helped lift nine-month comprehensive income to $87.5 million, compared with a $6.2 million comprehensive loss in 2018.
  • Cash flow: Operating cash flow was $45.9 million, essentially unchanged year over year. Investing used $67.7 million and financing provided $0.5 million, resulting in a $21.3 million decrease in cash to $78.2 million.
  • Balance sheet and debt: At September 30, total assets were $2.08 billion, liabilities $1.38 billion, and shareholders’ equity $707.4 million. Investments totaled $1.54 billion. Debt was $297.3 million, up from $288.6 million at year-end 2018, including $74.4 million drawn on the margin borrowing facility. Cash plus investments totaled approximately $1.62 billion; this does not represent unrestricted holding-company liquidity.
  • Insurance reserves: Gross unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses were $633.3 million and net reserves $554.4 million. The company released $7.0 million of prior-accident-year reserves in Q3 and $23.0 million in the first nine months, versus releases of $12.0 million and $27.5 million in the comparable 2018 periods.

Material changes, outlook, and risks

  • Management attributed favorable reserve development to lower-than-expected claims severity across several prior accident years and wildfire subrogation recoveries. Reinsurance Operations had adverse prior-year development, including a $7.6 million increase associated with Typhoon Jebi in the 2018 accident year.
  • Farm, Ranch, & Stable’s Q3 combined ratio was 101.8%; Specialty Property’s was 117.4%. The consolidated ratio improved, but segment performance was uneven.
  • The filing provides no quantified earnings or premium guidance. Management said Reinsurance Operations should have sufficient liquidity and solvency to pay dividends in 2019; U.S. insurance subsidiaries paid no dividends in the first nine months, and their distributions are subject to regulatory limits.
  • The company had $43.2 million of unfunded investment commitments at September 30, including distressed-debt and non-performing-loan funds. In October 2019, it entered an additional $10 million commitment for mortgage loans and other real-estate-related investments. Two distressed-investment VIEs had combined maximum reported loss exposure of $83.2 million, including future funding commitments.
  • Investment and market risks include equity-price, interest-rate, credit, and derivative exposure. The interest-rate swap had a $12.4 million fair-value liability; newly used futures contracts require daily cash variation-margin settlement. Management reported an A+ average rating for its investment-grade fixed-income portfolio and a 3.7-year duration.
  • Other stated risks include uncertainty in loss-reserve estimates, reinsurer collectability and disputes—especially with reinsurers in runoff—and the availability and cost of insurance and reinsurance coverage. Management said pending litigation was not expected to have a material adverse effect and that risk factors had not materially changed.
  • Fox Paine entities held approximately 80% of voting power and had the right to appoint seven of eight directors. The company paid Fox Paine $1.5 million in management fees in the first nine months; a separate $2.0 million fee for a 2018 investment divestiture was paid in May 2019.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether premium growth—particularly in the new casualty treaty and catastrophe-exposed business—can be sustained without weakening underwriting discipline.
  • How much earnings improvement depends on favorable reserve releases, and whether current-year loss frequency and severity remain consistent with recorded estimates.
  • Whether segment-level profitability improves in Specialty Property and Farm, Ranch, & Stable, given their Q3 combined ratios above 100%.
  • The quality, liquidity, and downside sensitivity of equity securities, derivatives, distressed investments, and outstanding investment commitments.
  • Holding-company access to subsidiary cash and the effect of debt service, margin requirements, regulatory dividend restrictions, and the stated commitments on liquidity.
  • The sensitivity of reported earnings to investment gains and losses, tax provisions, and reserve-estimate revisions.