GILEAD SCIENCES, INC. quarterly report, Q1 FY2019

Gilead Sciences, Inc. — Q1 2019 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2019; comparative period is Q1 2018. Gilead is a research-based biopharmaceutical company focused primarily on HIV/AIDS, liver diseases, hematology/oncology, and inflammation/respiratory diseases. Financial amounts are in U.S. dollars.

Financial performance

MetricQ1 2019Q1 2018Change
Total revenue$5.281 billion$5.088 billion+4%
Product sales$5.200 billion$5.001 billion+4%
Income from operations$2.237 billion$2.153 billion+4%
Net income attributable to Gilead$1.975 billion$1.538 billion+28%
Diluted EPS$1.54$1.17+32%
Operating cash flow$1.444 billion$2.270 billion−$826 million
  • Product gross margin increased to 82% from 80%. Operating income was about 42% of revenue in both periods.
  • HIV sales rose 14% to $3.618 billion, led by Biktarvy, which recorded $793 million in sales versus $35 million a year earlier. HCV sales fell 24% to $790 million, reflecting fewer patient starts, competition, and lower U.S. Medicare net prices.
  • Yescarta sales increased to $96 million from $40 million. Ranexa sales declined following U.S. generic entry; U.S. generic competition for Letairis was expected to begin in Q2 2019.
  • R&D expense rose 13% to $1.057 billion, primarily due to collaboration costs and cell-therapy investment. SG&A increased 3% to $1.030 billion.
  • Other income, net, was $367 million versus $170 million, primarily reflecting $197 million in unrealized gains on equity securities in Q1 2019. The effective tax rate fell to 16.3% from 24.3%, including a $119 million benefit from settlements with tax authorities.

Liquidity, cash flow, and debt

  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable debt securities totaled $30.125 billion at March 31, 2019, down from $31.512 billion at year-end 2018. Working capital was $24.627 billion, versus $25.231 billion.
  • Cash from operations was $1.444 billion, down from $2.270 billion, primarily due to changes in operating assets and liabilities, including rebate accruals and a prior-year BMS receivable collection; lower tax payments partly offset the decline.
  • Debt carrying value was $26.578 billion, including $2.498 billion current and $24.080 billion long-term. Gilead repaid $750 million of notes in March and reported no covenant violations or borrowings under its $2.5 billion revolving facility. It repaid a further $500 million at maturity in April 2019.
  • Q1 financing included $817 million of cash dividends and $834 million of share repurchases; 12 million shares were repurchased and retired. $4.3 billion remained authorized under the repurchase program at quarter-end.

Material developments, outlook, and risks

  • Management stated that it expects HCV sales to decline further in 2019 and HIV products to account for a higher share of product sales than in 2018. No numerical full-year financial guidance is provided in the supplied filing text.
  • Gilead reported that STELLAR-3, a Phase 3 selonsertib study in NASH, failed its prespecified primary endpoint. Filgotinib Phase 3 studies FINCH 1 and FINCH 3 met their reported primary endpoints. The company also announced research collaborations and expanded cell-therapy manufacturing plans.
  • Q1 collaboration arrangements involved $165 million of cash payments, including $126 million expensed upfront in R&D. Additional milestone and royalty payments may become payable if specified future events occur.
  • Key business risks include reliance on HIV sales, continuing HCV declines, generic competition and pricing/reimbursement pressure, drug-development and regulatory uncertainty, and manufacturing or supply-chain disruption. Generic competition for Letairis was expected in Q2 2019; Teva was scheduled to launch generic Truvada and Atripla combinations in the U.S. on September 30, 2020 under a settlement.
  • Significant litigation and investigations include patent disputes involving sofosbuvir, Yescarta, and Biktarvy; product-liability claims alleging kidney or bone injuries from certain HIV medicines; and government inquiries into patient assistance, reimbursement, and promotional practices. Gilead reported no accrual for the described matters because it did not consider losses probable; outcomes and potential exposure generally could not be estimated. Merck reimbursed Gilead under an agreement in March 2019, closing that matter.
  • Gilead adopted the new lease standard on January 1, 2019, recording $441 million in right-of-use assets and $490 million in lease liabilities at adoption, with no material income-statement or cash-flow effect. The company said it expects no material impact from the new credit-loss standard, which becomes effective in 2020.

Investor verification priorities

  1. Track whether Biktarvy and broader HIV growth can offset continued HCV, legacy HIV, and generic-driven product declines.
  2. Reconcile earnings growth with lower operating cash flow, and monitor rebate, receivable, and other working-capital movements.
  3. Assess the sustainability of Q1’s favorable tax rate and unrealized equity-security gains when evaluating normalized earnings.
  4. Review debt maturities, planned capital returns, and the impact of litigation, patent outcomes, and generic launches on future cash flows.
  5. Monitor pipeline execution and commercialization risks, particularly the NASH setback, filgotinib regulatory path, and Yescarta uptake and reimbursement.