GREAT SOUTHERN BANCORP, INC. quarterly report, Q3 FY2012

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. — Q3 2012 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. Unaudited results for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2012. Great Southern is a regional banking company headquartered in Springfield, Missouri; banking is its primary reportable segment. The filing was signed November 9, 2012.

Key financial metrics

Amounts are in millions except per-share data, percentages, and where noted.

MetricQ3 2012Q3 2011Nine months 2012Nine months 2011
Net interest income$43.3$41.6$120.5$121.3
Provision for loan losses$8.4$8.5$36.1$25.1
Non-interest income$3.9$(1.2)$50.3$(5.1)
Non-interest expense$30.9$23.0$87.7$66.8
Net income$7.1$6.5$36.3$18.2
Net income available to common shareholders$7.0$4.4$35.8$14.6
Diluted EPS$0.51$0.33$2.62$1.08
Net interest margin4.75%5.37%4.47%5.21%
  • Balance sheet at September 30: assets $4.06 billion; net loans $2.33 billion; deposits $3.25 billion; cash and cash equivalents $485.2 million; available-for-sale securities $787.1 million; stockholders’ equity $361.8 million.
  • Borrowings and liquidity: FHLB advances were $126.3 million, structured repurchase agreements $53.1 million, and subordinated debentures $30.9 million. The filing also reports $374.9 million of available FHLB line capacity, $378.5 million of Federal Reserve line capacity, and $68.0 million of unpledged securities.
  • Cash flow, nine months: operating activities provided $137.9 million, investing activities provided $209.0 million, and financing activities used $242.0 million. Cash increased $104.9 million to $485.2 million. Investing cash included $75.3 million received in the InterBank acquisition.
  • Credit and capital: allowance for loan losses was $40.3 million; non-performing assets excluding FDIC-covered assets were $76.9 million, or 1.89% of assets. Bank Tier 1 and total risk-based capital ratios were 13.9% and 15.2%; the Bank was classified as well capitalized.
  • Shareholder returns: common dividend declared was $0.18 per share for the quarter and $0.54 per share year to date. No common shares were repurchased during the quarter.

Material changes versus comparable periods

  • Q3 net income rose 10.1%, while net income available to common shareholders increased to $7.0 million from $4.4 million. Lower income taxes and higher non-interest income and net interest income were partly offset by substantially higher operating expenses.
  • Nine-month net income nearly doubled, but results included a $31.3 million preliminary pre-tax bargain-purchase gain from the April 2012 InterBank FDIC-assisted acquisition. Net interest income was down 0.7%; loan-loss provision rose 43.6% and non-interest expense rose 31.4%.
  • Assets increased 7.0% from year-end 2011, largely due to InterBank. Net loans rose 9.8%, including $269.9 million of InterBank covered loans; excluding covered loans and mortgage loans held for sale, loans increased $38.8 million. Deposits increased $287.3 million, mainly from InterBank.
  • Net interest margin declined 62 basis points in Q3 and 74 basis points year to date. Management attributed pressure to lower asset yields and reduced accretion income on acquired loans; lower deposit costs provided some offset.
  • Year-to-date net charge-offs were $37.0 million versus $26.2 million in 2011. Non-performing loans excluding FDIC-covered loans declined $2.1 million from year-end, but foreclosed assets increased $4.6 million to $51.5 million.

Outlook, commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • Outlook: Management did not provide formal earnings guidance. It said it did not expect significant overall loan growth in the prevailing environment, anticipated the low-rate environment’s effect on future net interest margin to be fairly neutral, and expected a 10%–18% effective tax rate if investment tax-credit use continued.
  • Acquisition accounting: Acquired-loan cash flow revisions contributed $4.8 million to pre-tax income in the first nine months ($24.1 million of additional interest income partly offset by $19.3 million of reduced non-interest income). Management expected remaining 2012 impacts of about $3.5 million additional interest income and $2.9 million lower non-interest income; further revisions remain possible.
  • Planned divestitures: Subsequent to quarter-end, the company agreed to sell Great Southern Travel and Great Southern Insurance, with transfers planned for December 2012. Combined pre-tax transaction gains of approximately $6.8 million were expected in Q4; the businesses’ future revenue and expense contributions will cease after sale.
  • Credit and FDIC exposure: Troubled debt restructurings totaled $61.3 million, or 2.6% of loans. FDIC loss-sharing coverage generally reimburses 80% of eligible losses, subject to contract terms, time limits, servicing requirements, and exclusions. Acquired-loan and indemnification-asset valuations depend on management’s estimates of collections and losses.
  • Other risks: Management cited uncertain economic and real estate conditions, interest-rate and funding risks, competition, regulation, and potential additional loan-loss provisions. It expects non-performing loans, foreclosed assets, and credit-resolution expenses to remain elevated and fluctuate.
  • Unusual contingency: A pending Missouri class-action suit alleges overdraft fees violate state usury laws. Management said it could not determine the probability of a material adverse outcome or reasonably estimate potential loss.
  • Tax and operating items: Tax credits lowered the effective tax rate but also increased amortization expense. The Q3 efficiency ratio rose to 65.45% from 56.93%; the nine-month ratio improved to 51.36% from 57.48%, primarily reflecting the InterBank gain.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. How much future earnings depend on InterBank’s one-time gain, FDIC-assisted acquisition accounting, and revised acquired-loan cash flow estimates.
  2. Whether loan quality stabilizes: monitor charge-offs, non-performing assets, troubled debt restructurings, potential problem loans, and foreclosed-asset valuations.
  3. Whether margin pressure continues as acquired-loan accretion runs off, cash balances earn low yields, and loan and securities yields reset.
  4. The terms, completion, and realized gain from the Travel and Insurance sales, and the resulting reduction in recurring income and expenses.
  5. FDIC reimbursement collectability, contractual coverage limits and servicing obligations, alongside the company’s capital, liquidity, and deposit-funding position.
  6. Developments in the overdraft-fee class action and any regulatory or examination actions affecting credit reserves or capital.