Childrens Place, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2012

The Children’s Place Retail Stores, Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Period clarification: Although the request metadata says 2011 Q3, this filing reports the quarter ended October 27, 2012, and compares it with the quarter ended October 29, 2011. Year-to-date figures cover 39 weeks. The company operates children’s apparel stores and e-commerce businesses in the U.S. and Canada, with international franchise revenue beginning in fiscal 2012.

Financial performance

Metric13 weeks ended Oct. 27, 201213 weeks ended Oct. 29, 201139 weeks ended Oct. 27, 201239 weeks ended Oct. 29, 2011
Net sales$500.9 million$484.1 million$1,300.3 million$1,258.4 million
Gross profit / margin$206.2 million / 41.2%$200.1 million / 41.3%$497.2 million / 38.2%$499.3 million / 39.7%
Operating income / margin$50.2 million / 10.0%$54.4 million / 11.2%$58.7 million / 4.5%$87.4 million / 6.9%
Net income$35.0 million$33.7 million$40.6 million$53.0 million
Diluted EPS$1.44$1.33$1.66$2.05
Operating cash flowNot separately presented by quarter$143.5 million$94.7 million

Quarterly sales grew 3.5% and net income rose, while operating income declined. Year-to-date sales grew 3.3%, but gross profit, operating income and net income fell. The year-to-date effective tax rate declined to 30.6% from 38.9%, primarily after the company asserted that earnings in Asian subsidiaries would be permanently reinvested, reducing U.S. deferred tax expense.

At October 27, 2012, cash and cash equivalents were $203.1 million, inventory was $266.4 million, working capital was approximately $337.8 million, and total liabilities were $324.7 million. The company had no revolving-credit borrowings; $35.2 million of letters of credit were outstanding and $114.8 million remained available under its $150 million facility, which expires in August 2016. Cash held in foreign subsidiaries was $152.0 million, and repatriation could trigger U.S. federal and certain state taxes.

Year-to-date investing cash outflow was $71.4 million, mainly capital expenditures; financing cash outflow was $45.5 million, including $47.7 million of share repurchases. Cash increased $26.4 million from the beginning of the fiscal year.

Material changes and operating drivers

  • Comparable retail sales increased 1.1% in both the quarter and year to date. Comparable e-commerce sales grew 12.8% in the quarter and 17.5% year to date; e-commerce represented 12.6% of quarterly sales, including postage and handling, versus 11.6% a year earlier.
  • Year-to-date gross margin contracted 150 basis points. Management cited higher markdowns and distribution, production, design and occupancy cost deleverage. Canada’s year-to-date gross margin fell to 42.4% from 48.7%; U.S. margin declined to 37.6% from 38.3%.
  • Year-to-date SG&A increased to $374.3 million from $355.3 million and rose to 28.8% of sales from 28.2%. Reported comparability items included approximately $2.0 million severance, $1.1 million related to a legal settlement, and a $0.9 million write-off of store fixtures and supplies.
  • The company operated 1,102 stores at quarter end, versus 1,076 a year earlier. It opened 60 stores and closed seven year to date.
  • Share repurchases reduced weighted-average shares. The company spent $47.7 million year to date and repurchased a further $18.6 million through November 27. A new $100 million repurchase authorization was announced November 26.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • No specific sales or earnings guidance is provided. Management expected fiscal 2012 capital expenditures of approximately $85 million to $90 million and stated that cash, operating cash flow and facility availability should meet capital and other cash needs over the next 12 months.
  • Distribution-center consolidation is a significant expense: the West Coast facility exit incurred approximately $4.2 million year to date. The Northeast facility closure is expected to cost approximately $13 million in total; $5.7 million accelerated depreciation and $0.3 million severance were recorded in the quarter, with substantially all remaining costs expected in Q4 fiscal 2012.
  • Hurricane Sandy affected approximately 280 stores and the Northeast e-commerce business to varying degrees. Those locations represent approximately 31% of annual net sales; two stores remained closed as of November 27. The filing does not quantify the storm’s eventual financial impact.
  • The CFO departed effective November 26, 2012; interim finance officers were appointed, and a new CFO was announced to begin December 3.
  • Management cited fashion-trend and consumer-preference execution, competition, weak economic conditions, promotional retailing, consumer spending, weather, foreign-exchange movements and dependence on China sourcing as risks. No material changes to previously disclosed risk factors were reported. No material new legal proceedings were reported.
  • Foreign-exchange exposure is not hedged with derivatives. Management estimated that a 10% currency movement could change year-to-date net sales by approximately $17.5 million and total costs and expenses by approximately $19.0 million.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Confirm the correct reporting period: this is the 2012 third-quarter filing, not a 2011 Q3 filing.
  • Assess whether the margin and operating-income pressure persists, particularly in Canada and from markdowns and operating-cost deleverage.
  • Track the Northeast distribution-center closure costs against the approximately $13 million estimate and the stated Q4 timing.
  • Monitor Sandy-related store and e-commerce recovery and any quantified sales or earnings effects.
  • Review the use of cash for repurchases, the new authorization, foreign cash availability and credit-facility covenants.
  • Evaluate capital spending against the $85 million–$90 million fiscal-year estimate and execution of the ERP and e-commerce projects.