Palomar Holdings, Inc. quarterly report, Q2 FY2022

Palomar Holdings, Inc. — Q2 2022 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and six months ended June 30, 2022; comparative periods ended June 30, 2021. Palomar is a specialty insurer focused on earthquake, hurricane, inland marine, flood and related products, and also writes fronting business.

Financial results and key metrics

MetricQ2 2022Q2 2021Six months 2022Six months 2021
Gross written premiums$218.7m$129.4m$389.6m$232.9m
Net earned premiums$80.3m$54.2m$156.3m$101.3m
Total revenue$79.7m$57.7m$157.8m$107.0m
Income before taxes$18.3m$15.5m$37.4m$35.6m
Net income$14.6m$12.3m$29.1m$29.0m
Diluted EPS$0.57$0.47$1.13$1.11
Combined ratio75.1%76.0%75.8%68.7%

Q2 underwriting income, a company-defined non-GAAP measure, increased 53.6% to $20.0m; adjusted net income rose 41.3% to $18.7m. For the first half, underwriting income increased 19.7% to $37.9m and adjusted net income rose 11.5% to $36.3m. GAAP total revenue includes investment results; it was reduced by net realized and unrealized investment losses of $4.7m in Q2 and $6.0m in the first half.

Q2 loss ratio was 17.9% versus 13.3%, while the expense ratio improved to 57.1% from 62.6%. For the first half, the loss ratio rose to 18.8% from 2.8%, and the combined ratio increased to 75.8% from 68.7%. The 2021 comparison benefited from favorable catastrophe-loss development; 2022 included higher attritional losses and adverse prior-year development.

Six-month operating cash flow was $82.8m, compared with cash used of $7.1m in 2021. Investing activities used $101.5m, primarily for net purchases of securities; financing provided $4.8m. Cash and restricted cash ended the period at $36.5m, down from $50.4m at year-end 2021.

At June 30, total assets were $1.051bn, total liabilities $673.1m and stockholders’ equity $378.1m, down from $394.2m at year-end. AOCI moved from positive $5.3m to negative $27.2m, principally reflecting unrealized fixed-maturity losses. Fixed maturities had $35.0m of gross unrealized losses, which management attributed primarily to interest rates rather than issuer credit quality; the company said it did not intend, and was not likely to be required, to sell them before recovery.

Debt included $23.0m of FHLB overnight borrowings at 1.67%; there were no borrowings under the separate $100m U.S. Bank revolving facility, which matures in 2026. The company reported compliance with debt covenants. Cash and investment securities available totaled $552.5m. Management said liquidity and expected cash sources were sufficient for the foreseeable future and liquidity requirements for at least the next 12 months and beyond.

Material changes and management commentary

  • Gross written premiums grew 69.1% in Q2 and 67.3% in the first half, driven by new business, existing-partner production, retention, expanded distribution and new partnerships. Ceded premiums grew faster, reflecting fronting and quota-share cessions and greater reinsurance costs.
  • Fronting premiums were $42.2m in Q2 and $72.0m for the first half; the fronting business launched in Q4 2021. Palomar writes the premium and cedes most of the premium and risk in exchange for a fronting fee. Management expects to continue fronting, while noting volumes can vary with partner timing.
  • Palomar stopped writing Specialty Homeowners outside Texas and converted Texas business to a fronting arrangement effective June 1, 2022. Specialty Homeowners gross written premiums fell 27.4% in Q2 year over year.
  • Investment income increased, but equity-market losses weighed on earnings. Higher interest rates also drove substantial unrealized losses on fixed-maturity securities through other comprehensive income.
  • Palomar closed a $275m earthquake catastrophe bond effective June 1, 2022, in addition to a $400m bond effective in 2021. Reported catastrophe retention was $12.5m per event, with reinsurance protection up to $2.08bn for earthquakes and $900m for hurricanes.
  • A.M. Best affirmed the subsidiaries’ “A−” financial strength ratings in June 2022. Management cited average monthly premium retention above 93% in certain earthquake and Hawaii Hurricane lines.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

The filing provides no specific earnings or premium guidance. Management cautioned that interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results. It identified catastrophe frequency and severity, reinsurance availability and collectability, reserve estimates, investment-market movements, inflation and construction costs, and business concentration in California and Texas as important risks. Reinsurance recoverables totaled $132.6m; Palomar remains primarily liable to policyholders if reinsurers fail to pay.

Management noted considerable uncertainty in loss and LAE reserves; changes to ultimate liabilities could materially affect equity. Prior-year development was adverse by $1.6m for the first half of 2022, compared with favorable development of $3.1m in the prior-year period. The company also identified pandemic-related economic and investment uncertainty, broker and program-administrator concentration, competition, and regulatory and operational risks. Ordinary-course legal proceedings were not expected to have a material adverse effect. Disclosure controls were assessed as effective, with no material change in internal control over financial reporting reported.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether premium growth, particularly fronting and E&S growth, translates into durable net earned premium and underwriting profitability after cessions and fees.
  • How loss trends and reserve development evolve, including the effect of attritional claims, catastrophe exposure and prior-year estimates.
  • Reinsurance renewal terms, counterparty credit quality, recoverable collection and the protection available relative to modeled catastrophe exposures.
  • Whether investment valuations recover or further affect earnings, AOCI, capital and liquidity; distinguish equity-security losses in earnings from fixed-maturity losses in AOCI.
  • Liquidity and capital effects of the $23m FHLB borrowing, share repurchases, and any constraints on distributions from regulated subsidiaries. The $100m repurchase program had $79.7m remaining at June 30, 2022.