Simply Good Foods Co annual report, FY2018

Business context and reporting period

The Simply Good Foods Company develops and sells branded nutritional snacks, primarily Atkins products, with SimplyProtein and other brands. This Form 10-K covers the 52 weeks ended August 25, 2018; fiscal Q4 was the 13 weeks ended that date. Because the July 2017 business combination created a new accounting basis, the company’s reported successor and predecessor periods are not directly comparable. Full-year comparisons below use the filing’s unaudited pro forma 2017 figures where indicated.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricFY 2018Comparable FY 2017
Net sales$431.4 million$396.2 million, pro forma
Gross profit / margin$207.6 million / 48.1%$186.2 million / 47.0%, pro forma
Operating income / margin$64.7 million / 15.0%$58.5 million / 14.8%, pro forma
Net income$70.5 million$28.7 million, pro forma
Adjusted EBITDA$78.6 million / 18.2% of sales$72.5 million / 18.3%, pro forma
Operating cash flow$61.0 millionNot clearly provided on a comparable pro forma basis

Sales increased 8.9% year over year, primarily from 8.3% organic growth and the SimplyProtein acquisition. Gross margin improved 110 basis points, reflecting favorable trade allowances and supply-chain costs. Operating expenses rose 11.9%, including higher G&A, marketing and distribution costs. Adjusted EBITDA increased 8.4%.

Q4 net sales were $108.3 million, gross profit $53.3 million, operating income $14.9 million and net income $11.7 million. The filing does not provide a clear comparable prior-year Q4 figure on the same accounting basis.

At year-end, cash and cash equivalents were $112.0 million; current assets were $185.7 million and current liabilities $30.6 million. Term-loan principal was $198.5 million, with no borrowings under the $75 million revolver. The company reported compliance with debt covenants and said available liquidity should fund operations and strategy for at least 12 months. A 1% increase in variable rates would have increased annual interest expense by approximately $2.0 million.

Material changes, outlook and risks

  • Net income included a provisional $31.0 million tax benefit from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act; the company had not completed its accounting for the law. The reported effective tax rate was negative 32.7%, so earnings growth was substantially affected by a tax item rather than operating performance alone.
  • The company changed revenue recognition to recognize sales when customers receive products, rather than when products ship. It deferred $7.8 million of in-transit sales in Q4; it also disclosed $8.2 million of Q3 sales, with $4.0 million of gross profit, that should have been recognized in Q4. Management said the errors were not material and that it remediated a revenue-recognition material weakness during Q4.
  • Management emphasized continued brand and product innovation, expansion of SimplyProtein in the U.S., distribution growth (including e-commerce and other channels), and disciplined acquisitions. No specific financial guidance was provided.
  • Key risks include Walmart concentration (about 43% of FY 2018 sales), intense competition, changing consumer preferences, ingredient-cost volatility, dependence on contract manufacturers and a single U.S. distribution center, variable-rate debt, and the Tax Receivable Agreement. The company does not expect to pay dividends in the foreseeable future.
  • No material litigation was reported. After year-end, public warrant exercises generated approximately $113.5 million of gross proceeds in the subsequent-events note; another passage reports approximately $113.7 million. Remaining public warrants were scheduled for redemption, with future exercises required to be cashless.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. How much of reported FY 2018 net income reflects the provisional tax benefit, and what are normalized earnings and cash taxes?
  2. Whether the revised customer-receipt revenue cutoff controls remain effective and whether any further revenue adjustments are needed.
  3. How sales, margins and cash generation develop without the favorable tax item, including whether Adjusted EBITDA growth converts into operating cash flow.
  4. Walmart’s purchasing and shelf-space decisions, and progress diversifying customers and distribution channels.
  5. The final public-warrant exercise proceeds and resulting share dilution, given the differing proceeds figures in the filing.