ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2012

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. — Q3 2012 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2012; filed November 2, 2012. Arbor is an externally managed REIT focused on commercial and multifamily real-estate loans, investments, and owned properties.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ3 2012Q3 2011Nine months 2012Nine months 2011
Interest income$20.0 million$18.5 million$59.1 million$55.1 million
Net interest income$10.5 million$7.1 million$28.1 million$14.9 million
Net income (loss) attributable to Arbor$2.1 million$(2.4) million$21.8 million$(12.5) million
Diluted EPS$0.07$(0.10)$0.84$(0.50)
  • Q3 property operating income was $7.9 million versus $7.2 million; provision for loan losses, net of recoveries, was $4.8 million versus $10.2 million.
  • Nine-month provision for loan losses was $20.6 million, up from $18.3 million. The allowance was $189.3 million against 19 impaired loans with $266.8 million carrying value before reserves.
  • Nine-month operating cash flow was positive $11.5 million versus negative $4.7 million; investing cash flow was positive $6.1 million versus negative $11.2 million. Financing used $32.0 million. Cash declined $14.4 million to $40.8 million; restricted cash was $47.8 million.
  • At September 30, total assets were $1.67 billion, liabilities $1.45 billion, and total equity $212.3 million. Loans and investments, net, were $1.26 billion. Total debt facilities were approximately $1.22 billion, including $841.5 million of CDOs and $87.5 million of new CLO debt.
  • Management reported portfolio weighted-average current pay rate of 4.62% (4.91% including certain fees and costs) and funding rate of 2.93% (3.14% including financing costs).
  • The company declared cash dividends of $0.075 per share for Q1 and $0.10 for Q2. On October 31, it declared $0.11 per share for Q3, payable November 28.

Changes versus prior period

  • Net interest income rose 48% in Q3 and 89% for the nine months, reflecting higher asset yields and lower borrowing costs. Nine-month interest expense fell 23%, partly due to matured swaps and lower average debt costs.
  • Nine-month reported profit included a $30.5 million gain from repurchasing CDO debt at a discount, compared with $7.9 million in the prior-year period. Q3 included a $4.1 million gain. These gains materially contributed to the earnings improvement.
  • Nine-month results also benefited from $3.5 million of gains on property sales and $1.4 million of income from discontinued operations; prior-year nine-month results included a $1.9 million loss from discontinued operations.
  • CDO debt declined $161.2 million from year-end 2011, while the company added $87.5 million of CLO debt. The CLO, completed September 24, securitized approximately $125.1 million of loans and included a two-year replacement period.
  • The loan and investment portfolio’s net balance declined about $41 million from year-end. The allowance increased to $189.3 million from $185.4 million, while non-performing loans by carrying value increased to $85.0 million from $57.9 million.

Outlook, risks, and unusual items

  • No formal earnings guidance is provided. Management said existing funding sources should meet short- and long-term liquidity needs, while noting ongoing dependence on access to debt and equity financing.
  • Management cited uncertain economic and commercial real-estate conditions, financing availability and cost, borrower repayment capacity, collateral values, and interest-rate movements as significant risks. A 0.25% LIBOR increase was estimated to reduce annual net income and cash flow by about $0.5 million; a 0.25% decrease was estimated to increase them by about $0.9 million, assuming balances remain unchanged.
  • All three CDOs passed overcollateralization and interest-coverage tests at the October 2012 determination date. A breach could redirect cash flows to bondholders and restrict residual distributions; management cautioned it might lack liquidity to cure a breach.
  • Unfunded loan commitments were $12.5 million, with approximately $8.2 million of restricted cash and CLO III revolver capacity available for the portion tied to CDO-financed loans. Debt facilities include minimum liquidity and other covenants; the company reported compliance at September 30.
  • Derivative swaps had a fair-value liability of $41.1 million; $20.8 million of cash collateral was posted. Further adverse valuation changes could require additional collateral.
  • The Extended Stay Litigation Trust lawsuits name company affiliates among 73 defendants and seek, among other relief, at least $2.1 billion in damages plus punitive damages and return of more than $50 million. Arbor is defending the claims, has moved to dismiss, and recorded no accrual because management judged a loss not probable and not reasonably estimable.
  • After quarter-end, Arbor issued 3.5 million shares for net proceeds of approximately $19.2 million. The company is externally managed by ACM, with disclosed management and ownership ties to company executives; the base management fee was $7.5 million for the nine months, with no incentive fee earned.

Key facts for investors to verify

  • How much of earnings improvement is repeatable without CDO debt-retirement gains and property-sale/discontinued-operation items.
  • Credit quality, collateral valuations, reserve adequacy, and trends in non-performing loans and troubled restructurings.
  • Liquidity available after accounting for restricted cash, unfunded commitments, collateral calls, and near-term facility maturities.
  • CDO III’s narrow overcollateralization headroom: 105.64% against a 105.60% limit at the October test.
  • Potential exposure, procedural status, and future developments in the Extended Stay litigation, and the implications of ACM-related conflicts and fees.