Ardmore Shipping Corp current report, Q3 FY2018

Ardmore Shipping Corp. Form 6-K Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

This report covers Ardmore Shipping Corporation (NYSE: ASC) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018. Ardmore owns and operates a fleet of 28 MR (Medium Range) product and chemical tankers, ranging from 25,000 to 50,000 deadweight tonnes (Dwt). The company focuses on modern, fuel-efficient vessels and operates commercially independently, marketing services directly to oil majors, traders, and chemical companies.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric 9 Months Ended Sep 30, 2018 9 Months Ended Sep 30, 2017 3 Months Ended Sep 30, 2018 3 Months Ended Sep 30, 2017
Revenue $151.8 million $148.2 million $48.9 million $48.7 million
Net Loss $(26.0) million $(8.7) million $(12.2) million $(4.6) million
Operating Loss $(7.6) million $7.1 million (Profit) $(6.0) million $0.7 million (Profit)
Operating Cash Flow $7.5 million $12.0 million $(2.4) million $2.2 million
Cash and Equivalents $33.3 million $39.5 million (Dec 31, 2017) N/A
Total Debt (Net) $351.3 million $404.4 million (Dec 31, 2017) N/A
Average TCE Rate $11,816/day $12,751/day $10,261/day $12,376/day

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Profitability Decline: The company reported a net loss of $26.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2018, compared to a net loss of $8.7 million in the same period in 2017. Operating results shifted from a profit of $7.1 million in 2017 to a loss of $7.6 million in 2018.
  • Revenue Mix Shift: Revenue increased slightly by 2% year-over-year. This was driven by a significant increase in spot market revenue days (6,213 days in 2018 vs. 4,987 in 2017), which added $28.9 million in revenue. However, this was partially offset by a decrease in pool arrangement revenue days (1,179 days in 2018 vs. 2,315 in 2017), reducing revenue by $15.0 million.
  • Rate Pressure: The average Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) rate decreased to $11,816 per day for the nine-month period, down from $12,751 per day in 2017, primarily due to lower spot rates.
  • Expense Increases: Commissions and voyage-related costs rose by 23% to $68.0 million due to higher spot market activity. Interest expense increased by 16% to $18.7 million, attributed to higher LIBOR rates and changes in debt structure.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Subsequent Financing: In October 2018, the company executed sale and leaseback transactions for four vessels (Ardmore Dauntless, Defender, Explorer, and Encounter). These transactions generated net cash proceeds of $19.7 million after fees and debt prepayments.
  • Liquidity Position: As of September 30, 2018, cash and cash equivalents were $33.3 million. The company maintains compliance with all financial covenants, including a minimum cash balance requirement of $22.2 million.
  • Market Risks: The company faces exposure to fluctuations in charter rates, vessel values, bunker prices, and interest rates (LIBOR). A hypothetical 100 basis-point increase in variable interest rates would increase interest expense by $3.4 million for the nine-month period.
  • Accounting Changes: The company adopted ASC 842 (Leases) on January 1, 2018, requiring the recognition of right-of-use assets and lease liabilities on the balance sheet.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Debt Structure: Verify the impact of the October 2018 sale and leaseback transactions on the balance sheet and future cash flow obligations.
  • Spot Market Exposure: Assess the sustainability of the shift from pool arrangements to spot charters, given the volatility in spot rates and the resulting decline in TCE.
  • Covenant Compliance: Confirm continued adherence to financial covenants, specifically the minimum cash balance and solvency ratios, given the recent net losses.
  • Drydocking Schedule: Review the upcoming drydocking schedule (10 vessels in 2018, 8 in 2019) to evaluate future capital expenditure requirements.
  • Interest Rate Sensitivity: Monitor LIBOR trends and the company's hedging strategies, as interest expense is a significant cost driver.