Cars.Com Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2018

Cars.com Inc. — Q3 2018 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2018. Figures are unaudited and in millions of dollars unless noted. Comparisons require care: 2018 includes Dealer Inspire and Launch Digital Marketing after their February 21 acquisition, and 2017 included pre-separation combined results.

Key financial results

MetricQ3 2018Q3 20179M 20189M 2017
Revenue$169.3$159.9$497.8$469.7
Operating income$28.3$39.4$60.1$95.4
Operating margin16.7%24.6%12.1%20.3%
Net income$15.8$21.0$29.5$72.7
Diluted EPS$0.23$0.29$0.41$1.01
Operating cash flowNot stated for quarterNot stated for quarter$121.1$147.2

Q3 revenue grew 6%, while operating income fell 28% and net income fell 25%. For the nine months, revenue rose 6%, but operating income declined 37% and net income declined 59%. Higher operating expenses and interest expense weighed on earnings. Nine-month capital expenditures were $10.0 million; operating cash flow less capital expenditures was approximately $111.1 million, versus $119.6 million in 2017.

Q3 retail revenue increased 28% to $151.6 million, while wholesale revenue fell 57% to $17.7 million. Direct revenue rose 45%, reflecting acquired businesses and affiliate-market conversions; excluding those impacts, direct revenue declined, mainly due to fewer dealer customers. National advertising fell 12%, with OEM display spending cited as a factor. Traffic increased 12% in Q3, while average vehicle listings declined 4%.

Balance sheet, liquidity and capital allocation

  • At September 30, cash was $17.8 million; current assets were $146.7 million and current liabilities $113.9 million.
  • Balance-sheet debt was $702.4 million, including $24.0 million current and $678.4 million long-term. Management reported term-loan principal of $421.9 million at 3.9% and revolving borrowings of $285.0 million at 3.8%. The company had $165.0 million of additional revolver capacity and a net leverage ratio of 2.9x; it reported compliance with debt covenants.
  • During the first nine months, the company paid $19.5 million of interest, repurchased and retired 3.0 million shares for $77.2 million, and ended with 68.9 million shares issued and outstanding. The board-authorized repurchase program totals up to $200 million.
  • Cash declined $2.8 million during the nine months. Investing cash outflow was $167.1 million, principally reflecting the $157.2 million net acquisition payment; financing cash inflow was $43.3 million.

Material changes, outlook and risks

  • Acquisition: DI and LDM were acquired for total consideration of $160.8 million, including $2.2 million estimated contingent consideration. The company recorded $96.2 million of goodwill. Acquired businesses contributed $36.0 million of revenue and a $10.1 million net loss for the post-acquisition period through September 30. Acquisition costs, acquired-award settlements and incremental amortization affected reported results.
  • Affiliate conversions: McClatchy, tronc and Washington Post markets moved to direct sales, shifting revenue classification from wholesale to retail. The company said 84% of dealer customers were served through its direct sales force after completing the remaining McClatchy conversions on October 1, 2018. Conversion-related support fees increased affiliate revenue-share expense.
  • Management commentary: Management cited the beginning of a cyclical U.S. auto-market downturn affecting new-car sales and OEM and dealer spending. It also anticipated near-term margin pressure from public-company infrastructure and costs, and said it would focus on efficiency, growth and free cash flow. The filing provides no quantified financial guidance.
  • Unusual costs: General and administrative expense included $7.8 million of activist-settlement consulting and other costs for the nine months; Q3 included $2.9 million. The filing also cites acquisition costs, higher public-company costs, and increased interest expense.
  • Other risks and contingencies: The company described ordinary-course legal and administrative proceedings but did not give a clear quantified exposure. Key disclosed risks include automotive-market cyclicality, competition, dealer customer retention, advertising demand, technology and cybersecurity, acquisitions, debt restrictions and variable-rate interest exposure. Management reported no material change in risk factors from the 2017 Form 10-K and no material off-balance-sheet arrangements.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • How much of reported revenue growth and direct-channel growth is organic, versus acquisition contributions and affiliate conversions?
  • Whether dealer-customer declines, lower vehicle listings and weaker OEM advertising spending persist, and whether traffic growth converts into revenue.
  • Whether acquired businesses improve profitability and cash generation, including the effects of amortization, contingent consideration and performance-based awards.
  • Debt repayment capacity, variable-rate exposure, covenant headroom and remaining share-repurchase spending, given cash of $17.8 million and debt of $702.4 million.
  • Whether operating margins recover as activist, acquisition and public-company costs change, and how the auto-market downturn affects the outlook.