CULLEN quarterly report, Q2 FY2021

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. — Q2 2021 Form 10-Q

Business and period. Cullen/Frost is a Texas-based financial holding company providing commercial and consumer banking, wealth management, insurance, and related services. This unaudited filing covers the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2021; balance-sheet comparisons are with December 31, 2020. Amounts below are in millions unless otherwise stated.

Financial results and position

MetricQ2 2021Q2 2020Six months 2021Six months 2020
Net interest income$257.2$245.8$498.0$490.3
Non-interest income$91.2$77.6$184.5$290.5
Net income$118.1$93.1$234.1$147.8
Net income available to common shareholders$116.4$93.1$230.3$140.3
Diluted earnings per common share$1.80$1.47$3.57$2.21
Taxable-equivalent net interest margin2.65%3.13%2.68%3.33%
  • Management reported common-shareholder earnings rose 25.1% year over year in Q2 and 64.1% for the first half. The comparisons were materially affected by 2020 credit-loss provisions; first-half 2020 also included a $109.0 million securities gain and a $5.5 million preferred-stock redemption charge to common earnings.
  • Q2 total credit-loss expense was zero: a $4.4 million loan credit-loss benefit offset by $4.4 million expense for off-balance-sheet exposures. First-half total credit-loss expense was $0.1 million, versus $207.2 million in 2020.
  • Non-interest expense was $215.3 million in Q2, up 7.8%, and $425.4 million for the first half, up 0.4%. Q2 increases included salaries, technology, occupancy, donations, advertising and fraud losses.
  • Effective tax rates were 11.3% for Q2 and 8.9% year to date, compared with a Q2 2020 tax benefit and a 1.3% first-half 2020 rate. Tax-exempt income, stock compensation and a one-time 2020 charitable-trust tax benefit affected comparisons.

Balance sheet, funding and capital

  • Total assets were $46.7 billion, up from $42.4 billion at year-end. Cash and cash equivalents were $15.2 billion, including approximately $14.5 billion in interest-bearing deposits at the Federal Reserve.
  • Total deposits rose to $38.7 billion from $35.0 billion; non-interest-bearing deposits were $16.5 billion. Loans declined to $16.6 billion from $17.5 billion. Excluding Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans, loans declined 2.5% from year-end to $14.7 billion.
  • Shareholders’ equity was $4.4 billion. Cullen/Frost’s regulatory ratios were 13.60% CET1, 14.21% Tier 1, 16.17% total capital and 7.60% leverage; Frost Bank also exceeded regulatory “well capitalized” thresholds.
  • Funding and debt included $2.2 billion of repurchase agreements, $26.7 million of federal funds purchased, $136.4 million of junior subordinated debentures and $99.1 million of subordinated notes. The filing reports $348.6 million of operating cash flow and $762.8 million of investing cash inflow for the first half; cash and cash equivalents increased $4.9 billion, principally alongside deposit growth.
  • Liquidity sources included approximately $4.4 billion of available FHLB borrowing capacity and $7.6 billion in unencumbered securities. The $100 million repurchase program authorized in January had no repurchases in the first half. Common dividends were $0.72 per share in each 2021 quarter.

Material changes and credit quality

  • Net interest income increased, but taxable-equivalent margin contracted as lower market rates and a larger share of earning assets held in low-yielding reserve deposits weighed on asset yields. Average interest-bearing deposits made up 31.1% of Q2 average earning assets, versus 14.2% a year earlier.
  • Non-interest income increased in Q2, including higher trust fees and card transaction fees. First-half non-interest income fell 36.5%, largely because 2020 included the $109.0 million securities gain; excluding that gain, it increased 1.6%.
  • The allowance for loan losses was $255.3 million, or 1.54% of loans (1.74% excluding PPP loans), versus $263.2 million, or 1.51%, at year-end. Non-accrual loans declined to $57.3 million from $61.4 million; total past-due loans were $123.0 million.
  • Commercial real estate was 42.5% of loans. The energy portfolio was $1.0 billion, or 6.2% of total loans (7.0% excluding PPP). Management reduced energy exposure, while commercial real estate allowance allocations rose to $148.0 million.
  • COVID-19 loan deferrals remaining at quarter-end were not significant. Pandemic-related uncertainty remained, and management retained qualitative credit-loss adjustments, including for commercial real estate, energy, and vulnerable industries such as hotels, restaurants and entertainment.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • The filing provides no company-wide earnings or revenue guidance. Management said low market rates were expected to continue affecting net interest income and margin in the near term; PPP fees were expected to provide a near-term benefit.
  • For PPP loans funded through June 30, approximately $38.0 million of net deferred processing fees remained to be recognized, with about 72% expected in 2021 and the balance in 2022.
  • Management’s interest-rate model projected next-12-month net interest income 3.7% higher under a 100-basis-point rate increase and 9.0% higher under a 200-basis-point increase; a 25-basis-point decrease implied a 2.5% decline versus the flat-rate case. These are model scenarios, not guidance.
  • Texas severe weather in early 2021 was expected to affect insurance performance-related contingent payments in 2022, but the impact was not determinable. Management did not expect pending legal matters to have a material adverse financial impact. The filing reported no material change to the risk factors in the 2020 Form 10-K.
  • Principal disclosed risks include economic and pandemic conditions, borrower and credit quality, energy and commercial real estate exposures, interest rates, liquidity, competition, cybersecurity and technology, regulation, and legal or vendor-related events.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • How deposit growth and reserve balances evolve, and whether loan demand resumes without materially pressuring net interest margin.
  • Whether credit performance supports the current allowance, particularly for commercial real estate, energy, and pandemic-sensitive borrowers; monitor non-accruals, delinquencies and qualitative reserves.
  • The pace of PPP forgiveness and recognition of the remaining deferred fees, including the effect on future reported loan yields.
  • Interest-rate sensitivity assumptions, especially modeled commercial deposit pricing, and the effect of market-rate changes on actual funding costs and earnings.
  • Available liquidity and capital after dividends, potential repurchases and any changes in deposit balances or regulatory restrictions.