Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corp quarterly report, Q2 FY2016

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation — Q2 2016 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period

Quarter ended June 30, 2016; comparisons are with Q2 2015 unless noted. Cherry Hill is an externally managed residential mortgage REIT investing in agency mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), excess mortgage servicing rights (Excess MSRs), and mortgage servicing rights (MSRs). Financial amounts below are in millions of dollars unless stated otherwise.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ2 2016Q2 2015Six months 2016Six months 2015
Interest income$7.135$8.088$12.323$13.915
Interest expense$1.885$1.346$3.542$2.581
Net interest income$5.250$6.742$8.781$11.334
Net servicing income$1.073$0.062$2.166$0.062
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders$0.283$11.205$(6.780)$8.793
EPS, basic and diluted$0.04$1.49$(0.90)$1.17
  • Q2 total income as reported was $1.806 million, versus $12.562 million a year earlier; six-month total income was a loss of $4.448 million, versus income of $11.560 million. Results include material fair-value changes in derivatives and servicing assets.
  • Q2 period-end average net interest rate spread was 1.77%, compared with 1.67% at June 30, 2015. RMBS net interest spread was 1.72% at June 30, 2016, versus 1.46% at December 31, 2015.
  • At June 30, total assets were $655.4 million, including $522.2 million of RMBS and $97.3 million of servicing-related assets. Total liabilities were $505.2 million; stockholders’ equity was $150.2 million.
  • Debt comprised $456.1 million of repurchase agreements and $22.9 million under a term loan. Repurchase borrowing rates averaged 0.74%, versus 0.56% at year-end 2015; the term loan’s weighted average rate was 5.57%. The company had no FHLB advances at quarter-end.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $9.8 million and restricted cash was $15.9 million. Six-month operating cash flow was $18.4 million, investing cash flow was $(12.7) million, and financing cash flow was $(6.5) million; cash declined $0.8 million.

Material changes versus comparable periods

  • Q2 common-stockholder earnings fell to $0.283 million from $11.205 million. Six-month results shifted to a $6.780 million loss from $8.793 million of income.
  • Derivative and servicing-asset marks were a major drag: six-month unrealized derivative losses were $6.426 million, and servicing-related asset fair-value losses were $7.764 million. Servicing-asset losses were attributed primarily to modeled prepayment-speed changes; derivative losses were attributed to falling interest rates.
  • RMBS fair-value gains recorded in other comprehensive income were $11.827 million for the first half, bringing accumulated other comprehensive income to $11.630 million. The filing attributes Q2 RMBS gains of about $4.5 million to a 29-basis-point decline in the 10-year Treasury rate.
  • Servicing income expanded following Aurora’s MSR business growth: MSR unpaid principal balance was $3.6 billion at June 30, compared with $2.0 billion at year-end 2015. Q2 servicing fees rose to $1.574 million from $0.156 million.
  • Repurchase agreements increased to $456.1 million from $385.6 million at year-end. FHLB advances were fully repaid; regulatory changes prevent the captive insurance subsidiary from taking new advances or renewing existing ones.

Outlook, risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • No formal earnings or dividend guidance was provided. Management said its long-term view of target assets was unchanged, but current asset pricing had reduced available returns. It plans to broaden investments to seek a more diversified and stable revenue profile; execution requires capital, and there is no assurance when or whether it can be raised.
  • Management expected rising rates to reduce recapture activity, while lower voluntary prepayments could keep overall prepayment rates roughly stable. Servicing-related assets are not hedged against fair-value changes and are sensitive to prepayments, discount rates, servicing costs, and other model assumptions.
  • Management stated that available liquidity was sufficient for short-term recourse liabilities and expected cash and operating flows to meet anticipated needs over the next 12 months. Repo financing is short-term and uncommitted, exposes the company to refinancing and margin-call risk, and is collateralized; weighted-average haircut was about 5%.
  • The company relies on Freedom Mortgage for servicing and has related-party management and servicing arrangements. If the servicer fails or is terminated, Excess MSR value could be lost and MSRs could be affected. A Ginnie Mae acknowledgment agreement could require the company to cover certain payments if Freedom Mortgage fails; management assessed material-loss risk as remote and recorded no liability.
  • Aurora’s Ginnie Mae change-of-control approval remained unresolved; the filing says approval is not assured. No legal proceedings were reported, and management said there were no material changes to previously disclosed risk factors.
  • The company declared common dividends of $0.98 per share during the first half. Dividend decisions depend on board authorization, liquidity, taxable income, debt service, and other factors; GAAP earnings and taxable earnings may differ.
  • Core earnings attributable to common stockholders, a non-GAAP measure, were $3.982 million ($0.53 per share) for Q2 and $8.014 million ($1.07 per share) for the first half. These differed substantially from GAAP results and exclude specified realized and unrealized items.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Reconcile core earnings to GAAP results and assess how much reported performance depends on exclusions and fair-value estimates.
  • Review assumptions and sensitivities for Level 3 MSRs and Excess MSRs, especially prepayment speeds, discount rates, servicing costs, and uncollected payments.
  • Monitor repo maturities, financing costs, collateral requirements, margin-call capacity, and replacement funding after loss of FHLB access.
  • Track Ginnie Mae change-of-control approval and Freedom Mortgage’s servicing performance, financial condition, and related contingent exposure.
  • Compare dividends with taxable earnings and cash generation, and assess related-party fees and the company’s ability to fund its planned diversification.