CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD annual report, FY2023

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CPKC) — 2023 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2023. Unless noted otherwise, amounts are Canadian dollars. CPKC operates an approximately 20,000-mile freight rail network across Canada, the United States and Mexico. It assumed control of Kansas City Southern (KCS) on April 14, 2023; KCS is consolidated only from that date in 2023, so year-over-year results are not fully comparable.

Key financial results

Metric20232022
Total revenue$12.555 billion$8.814 billion
Operating income$4.388 billion$3.329 billion
Operating ratio65.0%62.2%
Net income$3.923 billion$3.517 billion
Diluted EPS$4.21$3.77
Cash from operations$4.137 billion$4.142 billion
Cash capital expenditures$2.468 billion$1.557 billion
Cash and cash equivalents at year-end$464 million$451 million
Long-term debt, including current maturities$22.494 billion$19.651 billion
  • Freight revenue was $12.281 billion, up 42%; total revenue growth primarily reflected KCS consolidation, higher freight revenue per revenue ton-mile and increased volumes. KCS contributed $3.467 billion of revenue and $682 million of net income from the Control Date through year-end.
  • Reported operating ratio worsened by 280 basis points. The company’s non-GAAP Core adjusted combined operating ratio was 62.0%, versus 61.7% in 2022. Core adjusted combined diluted EPS was $3.84, up 2% from $3.77. These non-GAAP measures adjust for acquisition effects, significant items and KCS purchase accounting.
  • Reported net income and EPS include substantial acquisition-accounting tax effects: a $7.175 billion KCS remeasurement loss and a $6.976 billion income-tax recovery, including a $7.832 billion deferred tax recovery from derecognizing the deferred tax liability on the KCS investment. Reported GAAP results therefore do not directly indicate underlying operating trends.
  • Cash from operations was nearly unchanged despite the acquisition; management cited higher cash-generating income, offset by working-capital outflows and tax payments. Investing activities used $2.162 billion. Dividends paid were $707 million.
  • Debt increased following the acquisition. At year-end, CPKC had $464 million cash, an undrawn U.S. $2.2 billion revolving credit facility, and U.S. $800 million of commercial paper outstanding. Long-term debt ratings were BBB+ / Baa2, both with stable outlooks; the company reported compliance with its credit-facility covenant.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • The acquisition materially expanded the network and consolidated results, increasing reported revenue, expenses, assets, debt and employee count. 2022 figures largely reflect legacy CP, with KCS represented through equity earnings rather than consolidated operations.
  • Operating expenses rose 49% to $8.167 billion, including higher depreciation and amortization, compensation, purchased services and fuel, substantially reflecting KCS and acquisition accounting. Fuel efficiency worsened 7% to 1.026 U.S. gallons per 1,000 gross ton-miles, partly reflecting lighter average trains on the combined network.
  • Capital expenditures rose 59% to $2.468 billion, mainly due to KCS and increased infrastructure investment. The company repaid several debt maturities while increasing commercial-paper borrowing.
  • Safety measures were mixed: reportable personal-injury frequency increased 15% to 1.16 and train-accident frequency increased 14% to 1.06 versus legacy CP’s 2022 rates.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management expects approximately $2.75 billion of capital investment in 2024, primarily for track and roadway, financed from operating cash flow. It expects a 2024 Core adjusted effective tax rate of 25.0%–25.5%. The filing does not provide clear consolidated revenue or EPS guidance.
  • Management says cash, operating cash flow and available borrowing capacity are adequate for short- and long-term requirements and reports no known material liquidity deficiency. It is focused on debt repayment to return to its long-term leverage ratio after the acquisition.
  • Key risks include successful KCS integration and realization of anticipated benefits; acquisition-related leverage and refinancing access; STB merger conditions and seven-year oversight; competition, labor negotiations, fuel costs, severe weather, cyber incidents, hazardous-material accidents, environmental regulation and exposure to Mexican political, regulatory, currency and trade developments.
  • Contingencies include an EPA/DOJ inquiry and notices alleging potential Clean Air Act violations involving locomotives; the filing says no final violation list or penalty assessment had been issued. CPKC is appealing an Alberta judgment whose damages were estimated at approximately $217 million, with the company’s share undetermined. A Mexican 2014 tax assessment was reported at Ps.6.068 billion (about $475 million) and is in litigation. The company also disclosed appeals in Lac-Mégantic-related proceedings; an adverse outcome remains uncertain.
  • Environmental remediation provisions were $220 million at year-end, up from $83 million, including amounts recognized with KCS. The company expects about $20 million of environmental cash payments in 2024 and notes estimates may change as acquired-site assessments proceed.
  • The preliminary KCS purchase-price allocation remains subject to measurement-period review. CPKC recorded $17.729 billion of goodwill, and acquired assets and liabilities rely on significant valuation estimates. Management and the auditor excluded KCS from their 2023 internal-control assessment; KCS is expected to be included in the 2024 assessment.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • How the combined railway’s operating performance, service quality and productivity develop once acquisition effects and purchase-accounting adjustments are separated from reported results.
  • Progress integrating KCS, realizing synergies, reducing leverage and managing 2024 capital spending and debt maturities.
  • Resolution and potential financial exposure from the locomotive emissions inquiry, Remington appeal, Mexican tax litigation and Lac-Mégantic proceedings.
  • Updates to the provisional acquisition valuation, goodwill, acquired environmental liabilities and remediation estimates.
  • Whether the 2024 tax-rate and capital-investment expectations, liquidity assumptions and planned operating-cash-flow funding remain achievable.