Dynagas LNG Partners LP current report, Q1 FY2024

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Dynagas LNG Partners LP (NYSE: DLNG)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Foreign Private Issuer)
Reporting Period: Results for the three months and full year ended December 31, 2023.
Business Overview: A master limited partnership owning and operating a fleet of six LNG carriers employed on multi-year time charters. As of March 28, 2024, the fleet has an average remaining contract term of 6.9 years with no contractual vessel availability until 2028.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q4 2023 (3 Months) Full Year 2023 Q4 2022 (3 Months) Full Year 2022
Voyage Revenues $36.95 million $148.88 million $35.06 million $131.66 million
Net Income $10.46 million $35.87 million $11.62 million $54.01 million
Adjusted Net Income $10.31 million $25.80 million $6.98 million $30.62 million
Adjusted EBITDA $27.40 million $94.36 million $23.63 million $89.50 million
EPS (Basic & Diluted) $0.21 $0.66 $0.24 $1.15
Adjusted EPS $0.20 $0.39 $0.11 $0.52
Fleet Utilization 100% 97.8% 100% 100%
Cash & Equivalents (Dec 31, 2023) $73.75 million
Outstanding Debt (Dec 31, 2023) $419.6 million (all due within one year)

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Voyage revenues increased 5.4% in Q4 2023 compared to Q4 2022, driven by a new time charter agreement for the vessel Arctic Aurora with Equinor ASA. Full-year 2023 revenues rose 13.1% year-over-year.
  • Net Income Decline: GAAP Net Income decreased 9.5% in Q4 2023 versus Q4 2022. This was primarily due to lower interest rate swap gains and the absence of a $2.1 million gain on debt extinguishment recognized in Q4 2022.
  • Adjusted Net Income Increase: Adjusted Net Income increased 47.1% in Q4 2023 compared to the prior year, reflecting higher voyage revenues offset by increased operating expenses and interest costs.
  • Operating Expenses: Vessel operating expenses rose 7.7% in Q4 2023 due to planned maintenance costs. Daily operating expenses per vessel increased to $15,172 from $14,060 in the prior year.
  • Debt Reduction: Since December 2019, the Partnership has repaid $254.4 million in debt, reducing the net leverage ratio from 6.6 to 3.7.

Outlook, Guidance, and Risks

  • Contract Backlog: Estimated contracted revenue backlog stands at approximately $1.11 billion as of March 28, 2024, with 100% fleet coverage through 2027.
  • Refinancing: The Partnership signed a term sheet for up to $345.0 million in lease financing for four of its six vessels. Proceeds are intended to refinance existing secured debt maturing in September 2024. Closing is expected in Q2 2024.
  • Distributions: Quarterly cash distributions were declared and paid for Series A and Series B Preferred Units for the period ending February 2024.
  • Risks:
    • Sanctions: Ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine has led to sanctions; while currently not materially affecting operations, future escalation or changes in sanctions could impact counterparties or payment systems (SWIFT).
    • Market Conditions: Risks include fluctuations in charter rates, bunker prices, vessel values, and potential disruptions to shipping routes due to geopolitical events (e.g., Israel-Gaza conflict).

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Debt Maturity: Verify the execution of definitive documentation for the $345 million lease financing to ensure the September 2024 debt maturity is refinanced.
  • Revenue Backlog: Confirm the $1.11 billion backlog calculation, noting that $0.12 billion relates to variable hire rates with Yamal Trade Pte. Ltd. subject to operating cost adjustments.
  • Non-GAAP Reconciliations: Review Appendix B for reconciliations of Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA to GAAP measures, specifically regarding the treatment of derivative instrument gains/losses and deferred revenue amortization.
  • Sanctions Compliance: Monitor updates on U.S. and E.U. sanctions to ensure counterparties remain in compliance and capable of performing under time charters.