Dynagas LNG Partners LP current report, Q1 FY2021

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Dynagas LNG Partners LP (NYSE: DLNG)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Foreign Private Issuer)
Reporting Period: Three months and full year ended December 31, 2020
Filing Date: March 17, 2021
Business Overview: The Partnership owns and operates a fleet of six liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers employed on long-term time charters. As of the reporting date, the fleet operates at 100% utilization with an average remaining contract term of 7.5 years.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (in thousands, except per unit) Q4 2020 Q4 2019 Full Year 2020 Full Year 2019
Voyage Revenues $34,435 $34,317 $137,165 $130,901
Net Income $10,643 $5,529 $34,052 $3,613
Adjusted Net Income $10,656 $5,637 $37,817 $10,914
Adjusted EBITDA $24,360 $23,991 $96,451 $90,357
Operating Income $16,246 $15,953 $64,264 $59,916
Net Cash from Operating Activities $14,180 $13,472 $68,603 $43,177
Earnings per Common Unit (GAAP) $0.22 $0.07 $0.63 $(0.22)
Adjusted EPS (Non-GAAP) $0.22 $0.08 $0.74 $(0.02)

Liquidity and Debt:

  • Cash and Restricted Cash: $75.0 million as of December 31, 2020 (includes $50.0 million restricted).
  • Outstanding Indebtedness: $615.0 million under a $675.0 million credit facility.
  • Revolving Credit Facility: $30.0 million interest-free facility with the Sponsor, fully available until November 2023.
  • Revenue Backlog: Approximately $1.1 billion.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Profitability Surge: Net income for Q4 2020 increased 92.7% year-over-year to $10.6 million, driven primarily by a 45.2% reduction in interest and finance costs ($5.7 million vs. $10.4 million) due to lower weighted average interest rates and reduced debt levels.
  • Revenue Stability: Voyage revenues remained relatively flat, increasing slightly by 0.3% in Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019. Average daily hire gross of commissions increased marginally to $62,700 per vessel.
  • Cost Control: Vessel operating expenses were stable at $7.1 million for the quarter. Management fees were reduced effective January 1, 2021, following a new master management agreement.
  • Full Year Turnaround: The full year 2020 resulted in a Net Income of $34.1 million, a significant improvement from the $3.6 million net income in 2019.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

Management Commentary:

  • Outlook: Management expects the short-term LNG shipping market to improve in the second half of 2021 driven by seasonal demand, despite current challenges.
  • Strategy: The Partnership intends to use cash flow generation to deleverage the balance sheet and reinforce liquidity to build equity value.
  • Contract Coverage: As of March 16, 2021, the fleet has 90% time charter coverage for the remainder of 2021 and 83% for 2022. The earliest re-delivery date is Q3 2021.

Risks and Contingencies:

  • Market Conditions: Fluctuations in charter rates, vessel values, and supply/demand for LNG capacity.
  • Operational Risks: Impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, bunker price volatility, dry-docking costs, and potential vessel breakdowns.
  • Regulatory/Financial: Changes in governmental laws, availability of financing, and the expected discontinuance of LIBOR after 2021.

Unusual Items:

  • Management Fee Reduction: A new agreement reduced technical management fees by 13% (approx. $417 per vessel per day) effective January 1, 2021.
  • ATM Sales: Sold $0.83 million of common units in March 2021 under an At-The-Market program.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Debt Maturity Profile: Verify the specific repayment schedule for the $48.0 million of debt repayable within one year and the terms of the $675 million credit facility.
  • LIBOR Transition: Assess the impact of the discontinuance of LIBOR on the Partnership's interest-bearing debt and refinancing costs.
  • Contract Renewals: Monitor the re-chartering status of the Arctic Aurora, which is the first vessel scheduled for re-delivery in Q3 2021.
  • Non-GAAP Reconciliations: Review Appendix B for the reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income to GAAP measures to understand the impact of non-cash items and derivative gains/losses.
  • Preferred Unit Distributions: Confirm the sustainability of distributions on Series A and Series B Preferred Units given the current cash flow generation.