HERSHEY CO quarterly report, Q3 FY2012

The Hershey Company — Q3 2012 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2012; comparisons are with the corresponding 2011 periods. Hershey manufactures and sells confectionery and related products. Results are unaudited, prepared under U.S. GAAP, and subject to seasonal effects.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2012Q3 2011Nine months 2012Nine months 2011
Net sales$1,746.7 million$1,624.3 million$4,893.2 million$4,513.6 million
Gross margin42.5%41.9%43.0%42.1%
EBIT$301.7 million$321.1 million$858.5 million$826.0 million
EBIT margin17.3%19.8%17.5%18.3%
Net income$176.7 million$196.7 million$511.1 million$486.8 million
Diluted EPS, common stock$0.77$0.86$2.23$2.12

Q3 sales rose 7.5%, while net income fell 10.2%. Nine-month sales increased 8.4% and net income 5.0%. Q3 sales growth reflected net price realization of 3.9%, volume growth of 2.1%, Brookside's contribution of 2.3%, and a 0.8% adverse foreign-exchange impact. Year-to-date, price realization was 6.8%, volume growth 0.6%, Brookside contributed 1.8%, and foreign exchange reduced sales by 0.8%.

Gross margin improved in both periods, supported by pricing and supply-chain productivity, but Q3 EBIT and earnings declined as higher selling, marketing and administrative costs and business realignment charges outweighed gross-profit growth. Q3 diluted EPS included a $0.07-per-share impact from realignment charges, $0.02 from Brookside closing and integration costs, and $0.01 from higher non-service pension expense. Excluding those items, management said Q3 diluted EPS increased 3.6% year over year; nine-month adjusted EPS increased 17.4%.

Cash flow, debt and liquidity

  • Nine-month operating cash flow was $605.9 million, versus $257.2 million in 2011. Management attributed the increase principally to changes in other assets and liabilities, realignment charges and higher net income; the year-over-year change in other assets and liabilities included a $250 million hedging-related effect.
  • Investing cash outflow was $402.4 million, including $201.0 million of capital additions, $13.0 million of capitalized software and $172.9 million for Brookside. Financing cash outflow was $430.9 million, including $497.6 million of common-stock repurchases and $249.8 million of dividends, partly offset by stock-option exercise proceeds and increased short-term debt.
  • Cash declined to $466.2 million from $693.7 million at December 31, 2011. Current assets were $2,136.0 million and current liabilities $1,553.0 million; the current ratio was 1.4, down from 1.7 at year-end.
  • Short-term debt was $208.4 million and long-term debt, including its current portion, was approximately $1,767.5 million. The debt capitalization ratio was 67%, versus 68% at year-end. The company reported compliance with its credit-agreement covenants and $50 million of commercial paper outstanding.

Material changes and notable items

  • Brookside Foods was acquired in January for approximately $172.9 million; its business had approximately $90 million in annual sales at acquisition. Purchase accounting was preliminary, and the company expected to finalize it by year-end 2012.
  • Hershey acquired the remaining 49% of Godrej Hershey in September for approximately $15.9 million. It also increased its ownership of Tri-US to approximately 69% in January.
  • Q3 2012 included $20.1 million of business realignment and impairment charges in the income statement; total pre-tax charges and implementation costs recorded for the quarter were $25.8 million. The nine-month income-statement charge was $28.2 million, while total pre-tax charges were $68.4 million. The 2011 comparator included a $17 million gain on trademark licensing rights that reduced reported selling, marketing and administrative expense.
  • The Next Century supply-chain program estimate increased to $190–$200 million in total pre-tax charges and implementation costs, including $170–$180 million of charges and about $20 million of implementation and start-up costs. The increase reflected a $13.1 million non-cash pension settlement loss in Q3 and an additional settlement loss expected in Q4.
  • Q3 effective tax rate was 36.2%, versus 34.0%, reflecting Pennsylvania tax legislation, discrete tax items and jurisdictional income mix. The nine-month rate was 34.9%, versus 35.5%.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • For 2012, management expected net sales growth of about 8%–9%, including a 1.75–2.0 percentage-point Brookside contribution; full-year organic volume was expected to be positive. Reported diluted EPS guidance was $2.87–$2.92; adjusted diluted EPS guidance was raised to $3.22–$3.25, a 14%–15% increase over 2011 adjusted EPS.
  • Management expected 2012 adjusted gross-margin expansion of 120–140 basis points, advertising growth of 13%–15%, and continued higher input costs versus 2011. It forecast 2013 sales growth of 5%–7%, gross-margin expansion and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 8%–10%. These are forward-looking estimates, not guarantees.
  • Next Century was expected to incur $80–$85 million of charges in 2012, require $65–$70 million of 2012 capital spending, and generate $65–$80 million of annual efficiency savings. Management also expected $10–$15 million of program charges in 2013.
  • Risks identified include commodity and energy costs and availability, pricing elasticity, demand and competition, product quality and safety, supply-chain disruption, acquisition integration, international operations, regulatory or legal developments, pension costs, and whether expected transformation savings are achieved.
  • The company said it did not expect potential tax audit adjustments to materially affect financial position or results, and expected approximately $10.3 million of reductions in unrecognized tax benefits within 12 months. It reported no significant credit-agreement covenant issues.

Key facts for investors to verify

  • Whether sales and volume momentum persist, including the contribution and integration costs of Brookside.
  • Whether price realization and productivity continue to offset inflation, supply-chain costs and product obsolescence.
  • Actual 2012 reported and adjusted EPS versus guidance, including Next Century and pension charges; confirm the company’s non-GAAP adjustments.
  • Cash conversion and working-capital trends, especially the hedging-related contribution to operating cash flow, alongside repurchases, dividends and debt levels.
  • Progress, remaining costs, capital needs and realized savings from the Next Century program, plus any material developments in tax, regulatory or other disclosed risks.