Primerica, Inc. quarterly report, Q2 FY2010

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Primerica, Inc.
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Quarterly Report)
Period Ended: June 30, 2010
Business Overview: Primerica is a leading distributor of financial products to middle-income households in North America, primarily offering term life insurance (underwritten) and mutual funds/variable annuities (distributed).
Material Event: The reporting period was significantly impacted by a corporate reorganization completed on April 1, 2010, which separated the company from Citigroup Inc. (Citi). This included an Initial Public Offering (IPO), a private equity transaction with Warburg Pincus, and major reinsurance agreements ceding 80-90% of the term life insurance risk to Citi affiliates.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Six Months Ended June 30, 2010 Six Months Ended June 30, 2009
Total Revenues $841.2 million $1,090.4 million
Net Income $165.3 million $244.7 million
Diluted EPS $2.18 $2.18 (Pro forma)
Net Investment Income $110.6 million $172.1 million
Total Assets $9.12 billion $13.23 billion
Total Liabilities $7.80 billion $8.28 billion
Stockholders' Equity $1.32 billion $4.94 billion
Cash and Cash Equivalents $210.5 million $625.3 million
Debt (Note Payable) $300.0 million $0

Material Changes Versus Prior Period

  • Revenue Decline: Total revenues decreased 23% year-over-year. This was primarily driven by a 35% drop in net premiums due to the ceding of 80-90% of term life insurance premiums to Citi reinsurers, and a 36% decline in net investment income due to the transfer of approximately $4.0 billion in assets to support reinsurance liabilities.
  • Profitability: Net income decreased 32% to $165.3 million. While operating expenses decreased significantly due to reinsurance, this was partially offset by one-time costs associated with the IPO and reorganization, including interest expense on a new $300 million note payable to Citi and significant share-based compensation charges.
  • Balance Sheet Contraction: Total assets decreased by approximately $4.1 billion (31%) and stockholders' equity decreased by $3.6 billion (73%). These reductions reflect the transfer of assets and liabilities to Citi affiliates as part of the reinsurance and reorganization transactions.
  • Investment Portfolio: The invested asset portfolio shrank from $6.47 billion to $2.07 billion. The portfolio composition shifted, with fixed-maturity securities comprising 97% of the remaining portfolio.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

Management Commentary: Management states that the reorganization and reinsurance transactions favorably position the company with the growth profile of a newly formed holding company. While the transactions reduced the size of the in-force book and near-term cash flows, the company retains its operating platform and expects growth from new business issued post-reorganization.

Outlook:

  • Term Life: Sales of term life policies declined modestly (112,851 policies issued in H1 2010 vs. 115,225 in H1 2009), consistent with a decline in the sales force. Persistency has improved but remains below historical norms.
  • Investment Products: Sales of investment and savings products increased significantly (up 30% to $1.90 billion) driven by improved market conditions and increased emphasis on these products.
  • Pro Forma Results: On a pro forma basis (assuming transactions occurred Jan 1, 2010), net income for the six months ended June 30, 2010, would have been $81.2 million, compared to $44.4 million for the same period in 2009.

Risks and Contingencies:

  • Reinsurance Concentration: The company relies heavily on Citi affiliates for reinsurance. Failure of reinsurers to perform could have a material adverse effect.
  • Regulatory Changes: The Dodd-Frank Act and potential changes to fiduciary standards for broker-dealers could impact the business model and compensation of sales representatives.
  • Market Risk: Exposure to interest rate fluctuations (a 100 basis point increase could reduce fixed-maturity portfolio value by ~$60.9 million) and Canadian currency exchange rates.
  • Liquidity: Cash balances were significantly reduced due to distributions to Citi. The company expects to meet liquidity needs through operating cash flows but may seek additional capital sources.

Key Facts for Investor Verification

  • Reinsurance Impact: Verify the long-term sustainability of the reinsurance agreements with Citi affiliates and the specific terms regarding recapture rights and capital maintenance.
  • Debt Obligations: Confirm the terms of the $300 million note payable to Citi (5.5% interest, matures March 2015) and the company's ability to refinance or repay it as required by covenants.
  • Share-Based Compensation: Assess the ongoing impact of the $3.1 million per quarter estimated expense related to equity awards granted during the IPO, which will affect future earnings.
  • Pro Forma Comparability: Recognize that historical 2009 results are not directly comparable to 2010 results due to the structural changes; rely on pro forma data for trend analysis.
  • Canadian Operations: Monitor the impact of the Canadian dollar exchange rate, as Canadian operations contributed 16% of revenues and 21% of pre-tax income in the first half of 2010.