Permianville Royalty Trust annual report, Q4 FY2017

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Enduro Royalty Trust (Note: Input metadata referenced "Permianville," but the filing text identifies the registrant as Enduro Royalty Trust).

Reporting Period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2017.

Business Model: The Trust is a passive Delaware statutory trust holding an 80% Net Profits Interest in oil and natural gas properties (the "Underlying Properties") located in Texas, Louisiana, and New Mexico. The Trust has no employees; administrative functions are performed by The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A. The Trust receives 80% of the net profits from the sale of production from these properties, less direct operating and development expenses.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric 2017 2016
Distributable Income $44,744,073 $8,486,280
Distributable Income Per Unit $1.355881 $0.257160
Income from Net Profits Interest (Operating) $7,643,960 $9,216,320
Income from Sale of Net Profits Interest $37,950,165 $0
Trust Corpus (Net Assets) $94,099,933 $107,324,542
Cash and Cash Equivalents $366,773 $184,331
Units Outstanding 33,000,000 33,000,000

Production Volumes (Underlying Properties): Total sales volumes were 1,152,845 Boe in 2017 compared to 1,545,954 Boe in 2016. Average realized oil price was $46.29/Bbl in 2017 versus $38.40/Bbl in 2016.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Divestiture Proceeds: The significant increase in 2017 Distributable Income was driven by a one-time special distribution of $37,950,165 ($1.150005 per unit) resulting from the sale of certain Permian Basin properties in September 2017. The Trust released its Net Profits Interest in these properties in exchange for 80% of the net proceeds.
  • Operating Income Decline: Income from the Net Profits Interest (excluding divestiture) decreased by approximately 17% to $7.64 million in 2017 from $9.22 million in 2016. This was primarily due to lower sales volumes (22% decrease in oil, 29% decrease in natural gas) partially offset by higher realized commodity prices.
  • Production Shortfalls: In November and December 2017, direct operating and development expenses exceeded revenues, resulting in negative net profits for those months. Consequently, no distributions were paid for these two months, and the shortfall was carried forward to be deducted from future net profits.
  • Reserve Revisions: Proved reserves attributable to the Trust increased to 4,269 MBoe at year-end 2017 from 3,464 MBoe in 2016, largely due to price revisions (higher oil prices) and extensions/discoveries in the Haynesville Shale and Pecos Valley field.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Asset Sale Process: On January 12, 2018, Enduro Resource Partners LLC (the sponsor) launched a process to sell all its oil and natural gas assets, including the Underlying Properties. The sale is subject to the Trust's 80% Net Profits Interest. There is no assurance the sale will be successful or that a new owner will perform obligations comparably to Enduro.
  • Capital Expenditures: Enduro anticipated 2018 capital expenditures attributable to the Trust's interest to range from $3 million to $5 million (net to the Trust).
  • Commodity Price Risk: The Trust is unhedged. Distributions are highly sensitive to fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices. Lower prices could reduce production volumes and net profits.
  • Third-Party Operator Risk: Substantially all wells are operated by third parties. The Trust has no control over development timing, costs, or production rates. Operator bankruptcy or failure to maintain operations could materially reduce distributions.
  • Depletion: The assets are depleting. The Trust cannot acquire new properties to replace production. Distributions are expected to decline over time as reserves are produced.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Divestiture Impact: Verify the extent to which the 2017 income was driven by the one-time property sale versus recurring operational cash flow.
  • Asset Sale Status: Monitor the progress of Enduro's January 2018 asset sale process and the identity of potential buyers.
  • Production Deficit: Confirm how the negative net profits from November and December 2017 are being recouped from future distributions.
  • Operator Performance: Assess the financial health and operational plans of the third-party operators controlling the Underlying Properties.
  • Reserve Estimates: Review the independent reserve report (Cawley, Gillespie & Associates) for assumptions regarding future commodity prices and production decline rates.