Quad quarterly report, Q3 FY2014

Quad/Graphics, Inc. — Q3 2014 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2014. Quad/Graphics provides commercial printing, media and logistics services, with U.S. operations representing about 91% of Q3 sales. Results include Brown Printing from its May 30 acquisition date; comparisons are also affected by other acquisitions and restructuring. Figures are in millions except per-share data.

Key financial results

MetricQ3 2014Q3 2013Nine months 2014Nine months 2013
Net sales$1,236.4$1,206.0$3,438.2$3,446.3
Operating income$53.6$44.4$65.1$38.3
Operating margin4.3%3.7%1.9%1.1%
Net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders$24.4$13.0$(7.2)$(28.2)
Diluted EPS$0.50$0.26$(0.16)$(0.62)
EBITDA and EBITDA margin (non-GAAP)$136.9; 11.1%$126.3; 10.5%$308.0; 9.0%$295.9; 8.6%

Q3 sales rose 2.5%, driven by Brown Printing and stronger services revenue, partly offset by industry volume and pricing pressure, lower paper sales and unfavorable foreign exchange. Operating income improved as restructuring-related charges fell to $14.1 from $27.8. However, management said operating income excluding those charges declined $4.5, primarily due to ongoing volume and pricing pressure. Q3 tax expense was unusually low at $3.1, mainly reflecting an $11.5 decrease in unrecognized tax benefits from statute expirations.

For the first nine months, sales were nearly flat, while operating income rose as restructuring charges decreased to $45.9 from $82.9. The company still recorded a net loss; results included $6.0 of debt-extinguishment loss and higher interest expense. Prior-year results also included favorable gains that did not recur.

Cash flow, debt and liquidity

  • Operating cash flow for the first nine months was $74.8, down from $219.4. The filing attributes the decline mainly to working-capital changes, including the prior-year benefit from normalization after the Vertis acquisition and higher seasonal receivables and inventory.
  • Capital expenditures were $113.1; defined non-GAAP free cash flow was negative $38.3, versus positive $101.8 a year earlier. Cash and equivalents were $18.8 at September 30.
  • Total debt was $1,608.0, compared with $1,393.3 at year-end 2013; debt and capital lease obligations were $1,622.3. The company reported $686.0 of unused revolving-credit capacity, net of letters of credit.
  • Management’s non-GAAP Debt Leverage Ratio was 2.81x, up from 2.44x at year-end and above its stated 2.0x–2.5x target range. Covenant leverage ratios were 2.76x total and 2.26x senior secured; the company reported compliance with all financial covenants.
  • Current assets were $1,249.6 and current liabilities $863.1. The April 2014 refinancing included a $1.6 billion senior secured facility and $300 million of 7.0% senior notes due 2022.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • No specific earnings or sales guidance is provided. Management expects seasonal strength in the third and fourth quarters to continue, reflecting back-to-school and holiday-related print demand. It estimated 2014 capital investment of $160–$175 million.
  • Management expects further restructuring and integration costs. Since 2010, the company announced 23 plant closures and reduced headcount by about 8,200; four additional plant closures were announced during the first nine months of 2014.
  • Key risks include printing-industry overcapacity and pricing pressure, digital substitution, postal-rate changes, raw-material and energy costs, contract renewals and customer credit, acquisition integration, international operations, and substantial capital needs.
  • Brown Printing was acquired for $100 million; UniGraphic was also acquired in 2014. The company said Brown’s standalone post-acquisition results could not practicably be disclosed because it was integrated into existing operations.
  • Potential obligations remain uncertain: withdrawal-liability estimates for underfunded multiemployer pension plans totaled $62.2, with final amounts subject to arbitration; bankruptcy claims could also exceed recorded estimates. Management did not expect ordinary-course litigation or environmental matters to have a material impact.
  • After quarter-end, Quad redeemed $108.8 of notes for $109.6 on October 10, using its revolver; it expects a $0.8 loss plus fees in Q4. A $0.30-per-share dividend was declared November 5.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether Brown Printing integration and cost savings offset persistent industry pricing and volume pressure.
  • Whether operating cash flow recovers from seasonal working-capital demands and negative year-to-date free cash flow.
  • Debt reduction progress, leverage relative to management’s target, covenant headroom and the effect of variable interest rates.
  • Final multiemployer pension withdrawal liabilities and resolution of World Color Press bankruptcy claims.
  • Actual restructuring costs, capital spending and dividend capacity as management continues acquisitions and integration.