Siriuspoint Ltd quarterly report, Q2 FY2015

Business context and reporting period

The supplied filing is Third Point Reinsurance Ltd.’s unaudited Form 10-Q for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2015—not a filing under the name SiriusPoint Ltd. Investors should verify the issuer and period before relying on this summary. Third Point Re provides global specialty property and casualty reinsurance, with investments managed by Third Point LLC. U.S. reinsurance operations began in February 2015.

Financial results and position

Amounts below are in U.S. dollars; financial statement amounts are rounded to millions.

MetricQ2 2015Q2 2014Six months 2015Six months 2014
Net premiums earned$120.6m$78.8m$259.7m$152.0m
Total revenues$159.2m$119.2m$363.2m$242.5m
Net investment income$38.6m$40.5m$103.5m$90.5m
Net income$15.7m$31.3m$66.1m$71.1m
Diluted EPS$0.15$0.29$0.62$0.66
P&C reinsurance combined ratio107.8%102.7%105.1%104.9%
  • Q2 P&C underwriting loss was $9.4m, versus $2.1m; first-half underwriting loss was $13.2m, versus $7.2m. Ratios above 100% indicate underwriting expenses and losses exceeded earned premiums.
  • Net investment return on assets managed by Third Point LLC was 1.7% in Q2 and 4.8% for the first half, compared with 2.3% and 5.5%, respectively.
  • First-half operating cash flow was $130.5m, versus $25.3m. Investing cash flow was negative $156.4m, financing cash flow was positive $44.0m, and cash and cash equivalents ended at $46.8m.
  • At June 30, total assets were $3.637bn, total liabilities $2.081bn, and shareholders’ equity $1.556bn. Restricted cash was $589.2m; it is pledged for reinsurance obligations and letters of credit and is not freely available cash.
  • The company issued $115m of 7.0% senior notes due 2025; the balance-sheet carrying amount, net of issuance costs, was $113.3m. Letter-of-credit facilities totaled $500m, of which $286.2m was utilized.

Material changes versus comparable periods

Premium growth lifted earned premiums and total revenue, but earnings declined: Q2 net income fell about 50% year over year and first-half net income fell about 7%. Underwriting performance weakened, with the Q2 combined ratio rising 5.1 percentage points. First-half gross premiums written increased 78.6% to $397.7m, driven by new and renewed contracts, U.S. expansion, and higher premium estimates on prior-year contracts. First-half net investment income rose despite a lower investment return, reflecting a larger average investment base, including debt proceeds.

Balance-sheet investments in securities and commodities increased to $2.207bn from $1.831bn at year-end 2014. Total liabilities increased to $2.081bn from $1.301bn, including the new notes, higher reinsurance reserves and broker balances. Restricted cash rose $171.9m, mainly as new reinsurance contracts required trust collateral.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management said underwriting pricing remained adequate for its target business but warned that abundant capacity made market conditions challenging and could worsen. Property catastrophe pricing faced particular pressure; the company stopped accepting Catastrophe Fund investments, ceased new Catastrophe Reinsurer business and is running off the fund. Catastrophe Fund NAV declined to $26.5m from $119.7m at year-end; the company reported no recourse beyond its $13.2m investment.
  • No numerical earnings or revenue guidance was provided. Management expected cash, operating cash flow and investment income to cover projected requirements and debt service for at least the next 12 months, while noting financing availability is not assured.
  • Q2 underwriting included $3.2m of losses from Texas windstorms and other weather. First-half reserve estimates showed $7.0m favorable development on prior-year losses, offset by higher acquisition costs and other effects; the net impact of reserve re-estimation and premium changes increased underwriting loss by $3.0m. First-half paid losses included $63.5m on two commuted contracts.
  • Management identified premium estimates, loss reserves and investment fair values as significant estimates. A 10% increase in ultimate losses on selected in-force contracts was estimated to reduce equity by 1.7%; a 10% decrease was estimated to increase equity by 1.0%.
  • Investment risks include market volatility, leverage and short positions, counterparty exposure, and illiquidity or valuation uncertainty in securities. About 49% of ABS holdings were subprime RMBS; the filing notes credit, interest-rate and liquidity risks. Derivative and written-option exposures can magnify losses; maximum payout on written puts was approximately $851.8m, although assets received on settlement could offset payouts.
  • Related-party investment fees included a 2% annual management fee and a 20% performance fee, subject to a loss carryforward. A $25.1m performance fee payable was recorded at June 30. The filing reported no material ongoing litigation and no material changes to previously disclosed risk factors. Disclosure controls were assessed as effective.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Confirm the filing identity: the document is Third Point Reinsurance Ltd. (TPRE), not SiriusPoint Ltd., and covers Q2 2015.
  2. Assess whether premium growth can produce underwriting profitability given combined ratios above 100%, pricing pressure and dependence on large contracts and premium estimates.
  3. Review reserve adequacy, including the Texas storm losses, prior-year development, commuted claims and the disclosed sensitivity to ultimate loss assumptions.
  4. Evaluate the liquidity actually available after restricted cash, collateral needs, broker balances and letter-of-credit requirements; verify the ability to meet claims and debt service.
  5. Examine investment performance and risk concentration, including Third Point LLC’s related-party fees, subprime and other ABS exposures, derivatives, short positions and fair-value estimates.
  6. Monitor the U.S. business’s development, the Catastrophe Fund runoff, and any changes in debt covenants, regulatory dividend capacity or access to financing.