THOR INDUSTRIES INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2013

Business context and reporting period

Thor Industries, Inc. filed this unaudited Form 10-Q for the quarter and nine months ended April 30, 2013. The company manufactures towable and motorized recreation vehicles (RVs) and small- and mid-size buses. Amounts below are in millions of dollars unless otherwise noted; the filing presents financial statements in thousands. RV results are seasonal, and year-to-date results are not necessarily indicative of the full fiscal year.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricThree months ended April 30, 2013Prior-year quarterNine months ended April 30, 2013Prior-year period
Net sales$1,049.2$926.5$2,666.4$2,196.4
Gross profit$133.8$109.5$307.8$243.8
Gross margin12.8%11.8%11.5%11.1%
Income before income taxes$62.6$61.2$135.8$117.4
Net income$43.8$41.3$94.6$77.4
Diluted EPS$0.82$0.78$1.78$1.43
  • Quarterly sales increased 13.2%; gross profit grew 22.2%. Net income rose 5.8%, with results including $11.5 million of non-cash goodwill and intangible-asset impairment charges.
  • For the nine months, sales increased 21.4%, gross profit 26.2%, and net income 22.3%. The effective tax rate fell to 30.3% from 34.1%, helped by settlements of uncertain tax positions and reinstated tax credits.
  • Operating cash flow was $44.7 million for the nine months, compared with $37.3 million a year earlier. Capital expenditures were $14.7 million; investing cash outflow was $17.4 million. Receivables and inventory absorbed cash, with the inventory increase associated with higher backlog.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $137.5 million at April 30, down from $218.6 million at July 31, 2012. Working capital was $376.1 million, versus $373.8 million. Current assets were $751.5 million and current liabilities $375.4 million.
  • The balance sheet does not list interest-bearing debt; reported interest expense was $0.1 million for the quarter and $0.3 million year to date. Total liabilities were $450.7 million at April 30.

Material changes versus comparable periods

  • RVs drove growth: quarterly RV sales rose 15.2%, while bus sales were essentially flat. For the nine months, RV sales rose 24.5% and bus sales 3.7%.
  • Quarterly motorized RV sales increased 47.8%, supported by 34.2% more units and higher average net selling prices. Towable RV sales grew 9.1%; bus sales increased 0.1% despite 1.6% fewer units.
  • Year-to-date motorized RV sales increased 72.0%, and towable sales 17.3%. Bus gross margin weakened to 6.9% from 8.2%; the segment reported a $2.7 million pretax loss, including the impairment charge.
  • Quarterly SG&A rose 23.2% to $57.8 million; year-to-date SG&A rose 27.8% to $155.5 million. Higher corporate costs included increased product-liability insurance, compensation and management-related costs.
  • Thor paid a $1.50-per-share special dividend in December 2012 and regular dividends of $0.18 per share in each of the first three fiscal quarters. Total dividends paid in the nine-month period were $108.1 million.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management reported RV backlog of $649.6 million at April 30, up 44.9% year over year; bus backlog was $199.6 million, down 7.2%. RV dealer inventory of Thor products rose 14.4% to 64,899 units.
  • Management cited improving RV demand and expected the ability to increase production as demand rises, but noted continued near-term discounting and dependence on consumer confidence, disposable income, interest rates and credit availability. This is commentary, not formal company earnings guidance.
  • Limited availability of certain motorized RV chassis had constrained production increases and was expected to continue through fall 2013. Raw-material cost increases could pressure margins if not offset by pricing.
  • Thor sold the ambulance product-line assets on April 30 for $12.3 million, subject to adjustments; proceeds were recorded as a receivable and expected to be realized in fiscal Q4. The sale had no gain or loss. The related bus reporting unit recorded $4.7 million of intangible-asset impairment and $6.8 million of goodwill impairment, primarily reflecting lower forecast margins and higher working-capital needs.
  • Thor acquired Krystal and Federal Coach bus assets for $3.9 million and $6.8 million, respectively, to expand its bus business and pursue cost efficiencies.
  • Dealer concentration is material: FreedomRoads represented 16% of consolidated RV sales and 15% of trade receivables for the nine months; two dealers accounted for 22% of bus sales. Standby repurchase obligations on dealer inventory financing totaled $1,153.9 million, generally for terms up to 18 months; the recorded repurchase and guarantee reserve was $4.3 million.
  • Other sensitivities include warranty and self-insurance estimates, goodwill valuation assumptions, uncertain tax positions and ordinary-course litigation. Management said the settled FEMA trailer litigation was funded and no company-related appeals were taken. The filing identifies no material change to previously disclosed risk factors, while noting upcoming conflict-minerals disclosure and compliance costs.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether RV backlog converts to shipments and cash without excessive dealer inventory buildup, discounting or working-capital strain.
  • Whether motorized RV chassis availability improves as anticipated and supports planned production growth.
  • Bus-segment performance after the ambulance divestiture, impairment charges and integration of the Krystal and Federal Coach businesses.
  • The adequacy of warranty, insurance and dealer-repurchase reserves, and the credit condition of concentrated dealers, particularly FreedomRoads.
  • Cash generation and liquidity after substantial dividends, planned fiscal-2013 capital expenditures of approximately $9 million more, and any future capital returns or acquisitions.
  • Whether assumptions used in impairment testing, tax settlements and other significant estimates change materially.