TREX CO INC quarterly report, Q2 FY2021

Trex Company, Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

Trex manufactures composite wood-alternative decking, residential railing and outdoor-living products, as well as commercial railing and staging systems. The filing covers the three and six months ended June 30, 2021, compared with the corresponding 2020 periods. The company reports Trex Residential and Trex Commercial segments.

Key Financial Metrics

MetricQ2 2021Q2 2020Six Months 2021Six Months 2020
Net sales$311.6 million$220.6 million$557.1 million$421.0 million
Gross profit$118.3 million$92.4 million$214.1 million$182.1 million
Gross margin38.0%41.9%38.4%43.3%
Income from operations$82.4 million$63.4 million$146.8 million$118.5 million
Net income$61.4 million$47.2 million$109.9 million$89.6 million
Diluted EPS$0.53$0.41$0.95$0.77
EBITDA$91.6 million$67.5 million$162.5 million$126.4 million

Q2 net sales increased 41.2%, net income increased 30.0%, and EBITDA increased 35.8%. Six-month net sales increased 32.3%, net income increased 22.6%, and EBITDA increased 28.6%. Trex Residential generated 95.8% of six-month sales, while Trex Commercial sales were essentially flat year over year.

Six-month cash flow from operations was negative $18.2 million, compared with negative $32.3 million in 2020. Capital expenditures were $94.8 million, including $44.8 million for residential capacity expansion and $28.6 million for plant cost reductions and production improvements.

At June 30, 2021, cash and cash equivalents were $5.5 million, accounts receivable were $263.9 million, inventories were $77.2 million, and total assets were $898.8 million. Outstanding revolver borrowings were $49.5 million, with reported remaining borrowing capacity of $300.5 million. The company was in compliance with all debt covenants.

Material Changes Versus the Prior Comparable Period

  • Trex Residential sales increased 43.0% in Q2 and 34.4% for the six-month period, driven primarily by volume growth, sustained outdoor-living demand and market-share gains from wood.
  • A January 1, 2021 price increase partially offset inflation in raw materials and transportation.
  • Gross margin declined 390 basis points in Q2 and 490 basis points for the six-month period. Management attributed the decline primarily to raw-material and transportation inflation, capacity-expansion start-up costs, higher depreciation and, for the six-month period, reduced overhead absorption related to the Virginia facility fire.
  • Capacity expansion was fully operational at the end of May 2021 and increased Trex Residential production capacity approximately 70% versus 2019 levels. Labor shortages limited the extent of growth.
  • Accounts receivable increased to $263.9 million from $106.7 million at December 31, 2020, reflecting higher sales and seasonal working-capital requirements.
  • Property, plant and equipment increased to $405.0 million from $336.5 million at year-end 2020. Cash declined by $116.2 million during the first six months, primarily because of capital expenditures and working-capital investment.
  • The company repurchased $54.8 million of common stock during the six-month period and had repurchased approximately 3.3 million shares under its authorized repurchase program as of June 30, 2021.

Guidance, Outlook, Risks and Unusual Items

  • 2021 capital expenditure guidance was $130 million to $150 million. Management expects cash on hand, operating cash flow and revolver availability to fund planned capital expenditures, warranty payments and other requirements.
  • Management reported no material COVID-19-related disruption to operations, production, supply chain or demand as of the filing date, but noted that the pandemic and macroeconomic recovery remained uncertain.
  • An electrical fire occurred at a Virginia manufacturing building on March 13, 2021. No injuries were reported; the building was temporarily offline. The company expects insurance coverage for repairs, incremental customer-service costs and lost operating income, but the filing does not provide a quantified recovery.
  • Key risks include raw-material availability and costs, transportation costs, labor shortages and wage inflation, production capacity and throughput, seasonality and weather, channel inventory levels, competition, product quality and warranty claims, economic conditions, cybersecurity and future pandemic effects.
  • The surface-flaking warranty reserve was $19.8 million at June 30, 2021, within a total residential product warranty reserve of $29.5 million. A 10% change in expected remaining claims or settlement cost could change the surface-flaking reserve by approximately $2.0 million.
  • Surface-flaking claims received declined to 523 from 782 in the prior-year period, while average cost per claim increased to $3,610 from $3,263. Management stated that the reserve was sufficient but noted that future estimates remain uncertain.
  • Commercial revenue remaining on contracts with original durations greater than one year was $49.4 million at June 30, 2021, expected to be recognized within the next 24 months.

Important Facts for Investors to Verify

  • Whether raw-material, transportation and labor inflation continues to pressure gross margins despite pricing actions.
  • Whether the expanded Virginia and Nevada capacity reaches targeted utilization and whether labor availability constrains output.
  • The timing and amount of insurance recoveries related to the Virginia facility fire.
  • Collection of the unusually high accounts-receivable balance and the resulting second-half operating cash flow.
  • Actual 2021 capital expenditures versus the $130 million to $150 million guidance range and the company’s resulting borrowing needs.
  • Future surface-flaking warranty claims, average settlement costs and any third-quarter reserve revision.
  • Demand sustainability, channel inventory levels and the effect of seasonality or adverse weather on residential sales.