TREX CO INC quarterly report, Q1 FY2017

Trex Company, Inc. — 2017 Q1 Form 10-Q Summary

Business context and reporting period

Trex manufactures and distributes wood-alternative composite decking, railing, and related outdoor-living products under the Trex brand. The company operates as a single reportable segment. This filing covers the unaudited three months ended March 31, 2017, compared with the three months ended March 31, 2016.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ1 2017Q1 2016Change
Net sales$144.8 million$131.7 million10.0% increase
Gross profit$65.2 million$57.6 million13.1% increase
Gross margin45.0%43.8%Increase of 120 basis points
Income from operations$41.9 million$37.0 million13.2% increase
Operating margin28.9%28.1%Increase of approximately 80 basis points
Net income$27.9 million$23.7 million17.9% increase
Diluted earnings per share$0.95$0.79Increase of $0.16
Net cash used in operating activities$(86.4) million$(84.1) millionHigher use of $2.3 million

Net margin was approximately 19.3% in Q1 2017 versus 18.0% in Q1 2016. Gross-margin improvement was attributed primarily to improved capacity utilization, cost-reduction initiatives, and lower raw-material costs. Selling, general and administrative expense increased 12.9% to $23.3 million, including higher branding and advertising spending and research and development costs.

Cash and cash equivalents were $1.8 million at March 31, 2017, compared with $18.7 million at December 31, 2016. Accounts receivable increased to $171.3 million from $48.0 million, principally reflecting seasonal distributor and dealer incentive programs and higher sales. Inventory was $30.1 million.

The company had $77.0 million outstanding under its revolving credit facility and $173.0 million of remaining borrowing capacity at March 31, 2017. The facility permits aggregate borrowings of up to $250 million from January 1 through June 30 and $200 million from July 1 through December 31, and matures January 12, 2021. The company was in compliance with all debt covenants.

Capital expenditures were $4.3 million in Q1 2017, compared with $2.4 million in Q1 2016. Financing activities provided $73.9 million, primarily from net revolving-credit borrowings. The company repurchased $3.2 million of common stock during the quarter, primarily through shares withheld for employee tax obligations; no repurchases had been made under the February 2017 repurchase authorization as of the filing date.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Sales increased $13.1 million, driven by core Trex decking and railing volume, remodeling-sector strength, market-growth initiatives, favorable weather and economic conditions, and customers participating in pre-season sales programs.
  • Gross margin expanded 120 basis points to 45.0%.
  • SG&A increased $2.7 million, including approximately $1.2 million of additional branding and advertising spending and $0.8 million of additional research and development expense.
  • Net interest expense declined $0.4 million to $0.2 million because average borrowings were lower than in Q1 2016.
  • The effective tax rate declined to 33.0% from 35.0%, primarily because excess tax benefits from stock-based awards were higher. The 2016 comparative tax provision and earnings figures were adjusted for the adoption of ASU 2016-09.
  • Operating cash flow remained substantially negative because the seasonal increase in accounts receivable more than offset net income and other working-capital benefits.

Guidance, outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management estimated 2017 capital expenditures of approximately $15 million to $20 million. Capital allocation priorities include internal growth, strategically suitable acquisitions, and shareholder returns.
  • Results are seasonal. Adverse weather can defer home-improvement and construction activity, while distributor and dealer incentive programs can shift sales, receivables, and inventory into the first quarter ahead of the peak decking season.
  • The company expects cash on hand, operating cash flow, and available revolver capacity to fund planned capital expenditures, debt service, warranty payments, and other cash needs; however, actual funding requirements may vary with product demand and market opportunities.
  • Warranty claims continue for pre-2007 products manufactured at the Nevada facility that exhibited surface flaking. Claims received declined year over year, but average settlement cost per claim increased and exceeded management’s expectations. The surface-flaking reserve was $32.7 million at March 31, 2017, within total accrued warranty liabilities of $36.7 million.
  • Management considered the warranty reserve sufficient, but stated that continued elevated settlement costs or changes in claim volumes could require additional reserves and materially affect earnings, liquidity, or cash flow. A 10% change in estimated remaining claims or settlement cost could change the reserve by approximately $3.3 million.
  • Other principal risks include raw-material availability and pricing, transportation costs, product quality, product replacement and consumer-relations costs, competition, general economic conditions, weather, and market acceptance of current and new products.
  • Routine lawsuits and claims were not expected to have a material effect on consolidated financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, or competitive position.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the large seasonal accounts-receivable balance converts to cash as expected during the peak selling season.
  • Whether gross-margin gains from utilization, cost initiatives, and raw materials are sustained.
  • Revolver borrowings, liquidity, covenant compliance, and the effect of seasonal working-capital requirements.
  • Actual 2017 capital expenditures versus the $15 million to $20 million estimate.
  • Trends in surface-flaking warranty claims, average settlement costs, and reserve adequacy.
  • Whether distributor inventory and incentive-program activity reflect end-user demand or could pull future sales forward.
  • The impact of stock-based compensation and related excess tax benefits on reported earnings and the effective tax rate.