Yum China Holdings, Inc. quarterly report, Q2 FY2023

Yum China Holdings, Inc. — Q2 2023 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2023. Financial amounts are in US$ millions unless otherwise noted. Yum China operates primarily in China, with KFC and Pizza Hut as its reportable segments; it had 13,602 restaurants at quarter-end.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricQ2 2023Q2 2022YTD 2023YTD 2022
Total revenue$2,654$2,128$5,571$4,796
Operating profit$257$81$673$272
Net income attributable to Yum China$197$83$486$183
Diluted EPS$0.47$0.20$1.15$0.43
Restaurant margin16.1%12.1%18.3%13.0%
Operating cash flowNot stated separately for the quarter$924$609
  • Q2 revenue increased 25% reported and 32% excluding foreign-exchange effects; same-store sales rose 15% and system sales rose 32% excluding FX. YTD same-store sales increased 11% and system sales 24% excluding FX.
  • Q2 operating profit rose 216% reported (228% excluding FX). Management attributed the improvement chiefly to sales growth and cost-structure rebasing, partly offset by promotions, wage inflation and lapping prior-year austerity measures.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $1,189 at June 30, 2023; short-term investments were $1,762 and long-term bank deposits and notes were $1,179. Total current assets were $3,687 versus current liabilities of $2,152.
  • Total liabilities were $4,458. Lease liabilities totaled $2,223; bank borrowings were $2 million. The filing reports no outstanding franchisee guarantees. Credit facilities totaled approximately $634 million, reduced by $30 million of outstanding bank guarantees.
  • YTD investing cash outflow was $598, including net purchases of investments and deposits; financing cash outflow was $230. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash increased $59 to $1,189.

Material changes and unusual items

  • Company restaurant sales rose 24% reported in Q2 and 16% YTD; excluding FX, increases were 32% and 24%, respectively. Restaurant margins improved 4.0 percentage points in Q2 and 5.3 points YTD.
  • KFC and Pizza Hut both reported higher sales and operating profit. Q2 same-store sales grew 15% at KFC and 13% at Pizza Hut; restaurant margins were 17.3% and 12.4%, respectively.
  • YTD net income included a $28 million investment loss, primarily reflecting fair-value changes in Meituan shares; Q2 included an $11 million investment loss. The company also recorded $17 million of closure and impairment expenses in Q2 and $17 million YTD.
  • Foreign-currency translation adjustments were a $259 million loss in Q2, leaving comprehensive loss attributable to Yum China of $28 million despite positive net income.
  • Share repurchases were $124 million for the first half, versus $400 million in the prior-year period; approximately $1.0 billion remained under the $2.4 billion authorization at June 30. The company paid $108 million in dividends YTD and declared a further $0.13-per-share dividend after quarter-end.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management expects fiscal 2023 capital expenditures of approximately $700–$900 million and believes cash, operating cash flow and available facilities will fund operations and anticipated capex for the next 12 months. No quantified sales or earnings guidance is provided in the filing text.
  • Management cited uncertain macroeconomic conditions, wage inflation in coming quarters and possible phase-out of VAT deductions. The reduced additional VAT deduction policy is extended through December 31, 2023; continuation thereafter is uncertain.
  • A Chinese transfer-pricing audit covering 2006–2015 remains ongoing, focused on the franchise arrangement with Yum! Brands. Significant developments are possible within 12 months, but potential exposure cannot currently be estimated; an adverse assessment, including interest and penalties, could materially affect results and cash flows.
  • A potential Chinese indirect-transfer tax associated with the 2016 separation could result in a significant indemnification payment under the tax matters agreement; the obligation was not considered probable or estimable. The company is also subject to ordinary-course legal matters, which it does not expect to be material.
  • Management estimates a 10% weakening of the RMB against the U.S. dollar would reduce operating profit by approximately $25 million for Q2 and $64 million YTD, assuming no other changes. Other risks include China-related regulatory and political developments, food and labor costs, competition, supply disruptions, and market volatility in its Meituan investment.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the sales recovery, same-store growth and margin expansion continue as post-pandemic comparisons normalize.
  • Progress and any potential assessment in the Chinese transfer-pricing audit, and developments relating to possible indirect-transfer tax indemnification.
  • Cash generation and planned $700–$900 million of 2023 capital expenditures, alongside dividends and share repurchases.
  • Effects of RMB movements, wage inflation, macroeconomic conditions and the expiration or adjustment of VAT benefits.
  • Meituan investment valuation changes and the distinction between GAAP results and management’s non-GAAP adjusted measures.