ASCENT INDUSTRIES CO. quarterly report, Q3 FY2019

Business context and reporting period

Synalloy Corporation’s unaudited Form 10-Q covers the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2019. Its businesses are reported in Metals and Specialty Chemicals. The filing includes American Stainless Tubing (ASTI), acquired January 1, 2019; year-to-date comparisons also reflect the 2018 MUSA-Galvanized acquisition for the first six months of 2019. Acquisition-inclusive growth therefore differs from underlying performance.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2019Q3 2018Nine months 2019Nine months 2018
Net sales$73.6m$77.8m$237.2m$208.2m
Gross profit$7.3m$14.0m$23.8m$41.0m
Gross margin9.9%18.0%10.0%19.7%
Operating income$0.1m$7.5m$0.1m$17.7m
Net income (loss)($1.0m)$5.0m($2.1m)$12.5m
Diluted EPS($0.11)$0.56($0.24)$1.42
  • Sales and earnings: Q3 sales decreased 5.3%; excluding ASTI, management reported a 16.2% decrease. Nine-month sales rose 14.0%, but fell 5.0% excluding ASTI and MUSA-Galvanized. Net results deteriorated sharply in both comparisons.
  • Segments: Q3 Metals sales were $60.1m and operating income was $0.45m, versus $61.0m and $8.0m. Specialty Chemicals sales were $13.5m and operating income was $0.85m, versus $16.8m and $1.35m.
  • Cash flow: Nine-month operating cash flow was $17.9m, compared with cash used of $14.3m in 2018. Investing used $24.0m, including $21.9m for ASTI; financing provided $4.1m. Capital expenditures were $2.8m. Cash declined to $0.25m from $2.22m at year-end.
  • Debt and liquidity: Borrowings from the lender totaled $83.1m at September 30; $16.9m remained available under the line of credit. The company reported compliance with debt covenants. Current assets were $160.8m and current liabilities $46.1m.
  • Balance sheet changes: Total assets rose to $272.1m from $228.4m, reflecting the acquisition and adoption of lease accounting. Operating lease liabilities were $37.5m; operating right-of-use assets were $36.1m. Shareholders’ equity was $107.0m.

Material changes, outlook, and risks

  • Management attributed Metals’ profit decline to unfavorable metal-price timing, lower selling prices, and weaker profitability in welded stainless and galvanized operations. Q3 inventory price changes were a $0.6m pretax loss versus a $1.6m gain in the prior-year quarter; nine-month results included a $5.7m loss versus a $5.1m gain.
  • Reported pretax effects of other significant Q3 items totaled about $1.6m, including $0.7m of long-term incentive plan expense, more than $0.6m of medical stop-loss claims, and $0.3m of heavy-wall press outage impact. Management anticipated a further $0.4m outage impact in Q4 and had filed an insurance claim.
  • Management expected recent surcharge increases to improve order-book pricing, with most benefit anticipated in Q1 2020 because of shipment timing. It expected energy-market sales to remain low for the rest of 2019 and slightly lower general-industrial sales in Q4 due to seasonal patterns. No formal earnings or revenue guidance was provided.
  • Specialty Chemicals sales were affected by nonrecurring 2018 asphalt-additive volume and lower raw-material costs that reduced customer pricing. The company also cited competition and pricing, demand, raw-material availability and costs, acquisition integration, interest-rate and financing risks, and covenant compliance among forward-looking risks.
  • Earn-out fair-value changes reduced operating expense by $1.6m for the first nine months, but the filing notes that valuation changes may create significant earnings volatility. The ASTI earn-out was contingent on revenue and remained part of the company’s liabilities.
  • Management reported effective disclosure controls and no material change in internal control over financial reporting. It said ordinary-course legal matters were not expected to have a material adverse effect; no material risk-factor changes were reported.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether underlying Metals pricing, margins, and shipment volumes stabilize, and whether the forecast surcharge benefit materializes in Q1 2020.
  2. Whether cash generation and the low cash balance remain adequate given debt service, lease payments, and acquisition-related earn-outs.
  3. The sustainability of covenant compliance and availability under the asset-based credit line.
  4. The actual Q4 cost and timing of the heavy-wall press outage, including any insurance recovery.
  5. How ASTI performs against acquisition expectations and how contingent earn-out valuations affect reported results.
  6. The effects of the lease-accounting transition and other nonrecurring items when comparing periods.