Alto Ingredients, Inc. quarterly report, Q2 FY2017

Business context and reporting period

This is Pacific Ethanol, Inc.’s unaudited Form 10-Q for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2017. The request identifies Alto Ingredients, Inc., but the filing itself names Pacific Ethanol, Inc.; confirm the intended issuer. The company produces and markets ethanol, specialty alcohols, and related co-products. Its results exclude Illinois Corn Processing, LLC (ICP), acquired on July 3, 2017, after quarter-end.

Financial performance and position

Amounts below are in millions of dollars except per-share data and percentages. Comparisons are with the corresponding 2016 period.

MetricQ2 2017Q2 2016Six months 2017Six months 2016
Net sales$405.2$422.9$791.5$765.2
Gross profit (loss)$1.7$17.7$(4.1)$18.8
Gross margin0.4%4.2%(0.5)%2.5%
Operating income (loss)$(7.1)$11.6$(18.3)$4.3
Net income (loss) attributable to Pacific Ethanol$(8.8)$5.1$(21.5)$(8.1)
Loss available to common stockholders$(9.2)$4.7$(22.1)$(8.8)
Basic and diluted earnings (loss) per share$(0.22)$0.11$(0.52)$(0.21)
Net interest expense$2.7$6.5$5.3$12.8
  • Revenue and margins: Q2 sales fell 4.2%, principally from lower average selling prices. First-half sales rose 3.4%, mainly from higher third-party marketing volumes. Weaker commodity margins drove the sharp decline in gross profit; production and marketing both contributed to the first-half deterioration.
  • Operating metrics: Total gallons sold increased 1.1% in Q2 and 5.0% for the first half. Production capacity utilization was 95% in Q2 and 93% for the first half, versus 94% and 90%, respectively, in 2016. Co-product sales volumes increased, but lower co-product prices reduced revenue.
  • Cash flow: First-half operating cash flow was $15.1 million, compared with $1.1 million in 2016; investing cash outflow was $6.2 million versus $3.5 million; financing cash inflow was $14.0 million versus an outflow of $18.7 million. Cash rose $22.9 million to $91.5 million. Management attributed much of the operating cash flow improvement to working-capital timing, especially lower receivables; it should not be read as equivalent to improved earnings.
  • Liquidity: At June 30, cash was $91.5 million, working capital $152.8 million, and the current ratio 3.25. Current assets were $220.8 million and current liabilities $68.0 million. Kinergy had $8.5 million of borrowing availability under its line at quarter-end; Pacific Aurora had $30.0 million available.
  • Debt: Debt carrying value was $216.6 million before unamortized discounts and fees, including $14.0 million current and $199.6 million long-term debt reported net of adjustments. Debt increased from $201.9 million at year-end 2016, including $13.9 million of additional senior notes issued in June. The company stated that all $213.6 million of long-term debt was variable-rate; a 100-basis-point rate increase was estimated to reduce first-half pretax income by about $1.1 million.

Material changes, outlook, and risks

  • ICP acquisition: Closed July 3 for approximately $76.9 million: $30.0 million cash and $46.9 million in secured seller notes due January 2019. ICP adds 90 million gallons of annual capacity and premium beverage and industrial alcohol production. Management expected about $4.5 million of annual cost savings and described the deal as immediately earnings-accretive; these are expectations, not reported results, and the purchase-price allocation remained preliminary.
  • Industry outlook: Management said margins improved in Q2 versus Q1 but remained compressed by elevated industry production and inventories and seasonally weaker demand. It reported better ethanol-corn spreads and production margins early in Q3, with stronger seasonal gasoline demand and falling ethanol inventories. No quantified earnings or revenue guidance was provided.
  • Capital plans and projects: The company planned to defer $20 million of its initial $46 million 2017 capital budget because of weak industry margins and a conservative operating approach. Management cited potential annual savings of up to $4 million from Stockton cogeneration, approximately $350,000 from the Madera membrane system, and over $1 million from a planned Madera solar project. These are estimates, not realized savings.
  • Covenant and financing developments: PE Pekin was below its $20 million working-capital covenant at June 30; the lender waived the violation on August 7. The amendment raised the interest rate by 25 basis points to 30-day LIBOR plus 4.00% and set a $17.5 million minimum through year-end 2017, returning to $20 million from January 2018. Kinergy’s line was increased from $85 million to $100 million on August 2. Separately, the filing reports Kinergy’s fixed-charge coverage ratio as 1.97 against a 2.00 requirement, but says the covenant did not apply because excess availability remained above its trigger.
  • Key risks: Results are highly exposed to volatile ethanol, corn, natural gas, and co-product prices; supply-demand shifts; federal and state renewable-fuel policy; plant operating and transportation disruptions; customer concentration; variable-rate debt and covenant requirements; and integration and realization of expected benefits from ICP. About $271.1 million of subsidiary net assets were restricted from transfer to the parent by credit agreements. Ordinary-course litigation was disclosed; management did not expect pending matters to have a material impact. A $3.9 million settlement received in Q1 produced a $3.6 million net gain recorded in SG&A.
  • Controls: Management concluded disclosure controls were effective at a reasonable-assurance level as of June 30, 2017 and reported no material quarterly change in internal control over financial reporting.

Investor verification priorities

  1. Confirm issuer identity: the supplied filing is for Pacific Ethanol, Inc., not Alto Ingredients, Inc.
  2. Review subsequent-period results to assess whether Q3 margin improvement persisted and whether positive operating cash flow depended on temporary working-capital movements.
  3. Verify ICP integration, final purchase-price allocation, financing costs, and whether projected synergies and earnings accretion were achieved.
  4. Monitor PE Pekin covenant compliance, available borrowing capacity, debt maturities, and interest expense under variable rates.
  5. Assess the sensitivity of margins and liquidity to ethanol, corn, natural gas, and co-product prices, as well as regulatory changes to renewable-fuel mandates.