AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION INC quarterly report, Q1 FY2020

American Public Education, Inc. — Q1 2020 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2020. APEI provides online and campus-based postsecondary education through American Public University System (APUS) and Hondros College of Nursing (HCN), serving approximately 84,400 students. Comparisons below are with Q1 2019 unless noted.

Financial performance

MetricQ1 2020Q1 2019
Revenue$74.6 million$73.4 million
Operating income$2.7 million$1.4 million
Operating margin3.6%1.8%
Net income$2.4 million$1.0 million
Diluted EPS$0.16$0.06
Operating cash flow$11.5 million$7.9 million
Capital expenditures$1.9 million$1.6 million

Revenue increased 1.6%. Costs and expenses were $71.9 million, down 0.2%; the prior-year quarter included a $5.9 million non-cash HCN goodwill impairment. Q1 2020 expenses included higher advertising and compensation costs and approximately $0.9 million of IT-system costs. Interest income declined to $0.7 million from $1.1 million, reflecting lower interest rates and average invested cash balances.

APEI segment revenue rose 2.1% to $67.1 million, while operating income fell to $3.6 million from $7.5 million, primarily due to compensation, advertising and technology costs. APUS net course registrations increased approximately 0.6% to 84,800. HCN revenue declined 2.7% to $7.5 million; enrollment fell 9.3% to approximately 1,600, although new student enrollment increased 31% to 444. HCN’s operating loss narrowed to $0.9 million from $6.1 million, largely because Q1 2019 included the goodwill impairment.

Financial position and liquidity

At March 31, 2020, cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash were $196.8 million, versus $202.7 million at December 31, 2019. The balance includes $1.6 million of restricted cash. Total assets were $345.3 million and stockholders’ equity was $285.3 million. The filing’s balance sheet reports no borrowings; operating lease liabilities totaled $11.2 million, including $2.3 million current.

Cash declined $5.9 million during the quarter: $11.5 million generated from operations and $1.9 million used for capital expenditures were more than offset by $15.6 million used in financing, including share repurchases. APEI repurchased 547,563 shares for approximately $13.6 million; $8.4 million remained under the authorization. Management said existing cash and operating cash flows should fund operations and planned capital expenditures for the foreseeable future.

Outlook, risks and notable developments

  • No specific earnings or revenue guidance was provided. Management expected increased operating expenditures as it modernizes IT systems and expands marketing. It anticipated $6 million to $8 million of 2020 spending on specified IT projects.
  • Management said COVID-19 did not materially affect Q1 results, but future effects were uncertain. HCN closed its campuses in March and moved instruction online; the company also shifted nearly all employees to remote work. Potential effects include delivery costs and disruption, student outcomes and enrollment, receivable collectability, and possible impairment.
  • HCN’s ADN program did not meet Ohio’s NCLEX pass-rate standard for a seventh consecutive year and remained on provisional approval. Accreditation-related retention requirements also applied to certain HCN programs. HCN reported meeting the 70% retention threshold at each campus as of March 31, but future compliance is not assured.
  • ED’s CARES Act allocation table indicated $3.1 million for HCN and no allocation for wholly online APUS. HCN had taken steps to receive its allocation; at least half must be used for emergency student grants, subject to applicable terms.
  • APUS announced a $20 million scholarship initiative in April 2020; management said its impact on revenue, margins and income could not yet be predicted. HCN also began classes at its Indianapolis campus in April.
  • There were no material legal proceedings pending. Management reported effective disclosure controls and no material changes in internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether APUS enrollment and HCN’s improved new-student intake translate into sustained enrollment, revenue and operating performance.
  • COVID-19’s effects on HCN’s online instruction, student outcomes, costs, campus operations and the company’s liquidity.
  • HCN’s progress on NCLEX pass rates, program retention requirements, accreditation and Indiana campus approvals.
  • Actual 2020 IT and marketing spending compared with management’s expectations, and the effect of the scholarship initiative and HEERF funds.
  • Whether cash generation remains adequate as interest income declines and share repurchases and planned investments continue.