Booking Holdings Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2013

Booking Holdings Inc. (then priceline.com Incorporated) — Q3 2013 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2013; unaudited, compared with the same 2012 periods unless noted. The company operated Booking.com, priceline.com, Agoda.com, rentalcars.com and, following its May 2013 acquisition, KAYAK. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2013Q3 2012Nine months 2013Nine months 2012
Revenue$2.270B$1.706B$5.252B$4.070B
Gross profit$1.989B$1.397B$4.383B$3.144B
Gross margin87.6%81.8%83.4%77.2%
Operating income$1.047B$756M$1.912B$1.455B
Net income applicable to common stockholders$833M$597M$1.515B$1.131B
Diluted EPS$15.72$11.66$29.00$22.05

Q3 revenue increased 33.0%, gross profit 42.4%, operating income 38.6%, and common-stockholder net income 39.6%. Nine-month growth was 29.0%, 39.4%, 31.3%, and 33.9%, respectively. Revenue mix shifted toward agency and other net-reported services; management identifies gross profit as a more useful growth measure than revenue because merchant Name Your Own Price transactions are reported gross.

  • Bookings: Q3 gross bookings rose 37.5% to $10.765B; nine-month bookings rose 37.3% to $30.035B. Hotel room nights grew 35.6% in Q3 and 37.1% year to date. International bookings grew 41.8% and 42.9%, respectively, while domestic bookings grew 16.7% and 12.4%.
  • Cash flow: Nine-month operating cash flow was $1.747B, versus $1.289B. Investing used $2.201B, including net investment purchases and acquisition spending; financing provided only $2M, after $883M of share repurchases and $193M to buy out rentalcars.com noncontrolling interests.
  • Liquidity: Cash and cash equivalents were $1.096B and short-term investments $5.488B at September 30, for $6.584B combined. Approximately $4.4B was held by international subsidiaries and intended to remain invested overseas. The company reported no revolving-credit borrowings and had a $1B facility.
  • Debt: Convertible-note principal totaled $2.575B, with a reported carrying value of about $2.306B including the mezzanine amount. This included $1B of 0.35% notes due 2020 issued in May 2013. The 2015 notes were classified as current; after quarter end, holders submitted early conversion notices for about $390M principal, with approximately $390M cash principal payment expected in Q4 2013.

Material changes and unusual items

  • KAYAK was acquired on May 21, 2013 for approximately $2.1B ($1.9B net of cash acquired), funded with $0.5B cash and shares and assumed options. The acquisition materially increased goodwill and intangible assets; KAYAK contributed $68.4M of Q3 advertising revenue after acquisition.
  • Advertising and other revenue was $72.6M in Q3, largely reflecting KAYAK. Online advertising expense increased 42.1% in Q3 and 44.7% year to date; management said online advertising returns on investment had declined year over year. Offline advertising rose substantially, including Booking.com’s first U.S. campaign.
  • Operating expenses also reflected acquisition-related amortization, higher staffing and stock compensation. Q3 stock-based compensation was $34.6M versus $17.6M; nine-month amounts were $91.0M versus $51.7M.
  • The company recorded a $20.5M first-quarter travel-tax accrual, principally related to Hawaii and District of Columbia rulings; the tax reserve was approximately $60M at September 30. It paid $20.1M under protest to Hawaii during the first nine months.
  • The company repurchased $804.7M of shares during Q2 and Q3 under a $1B authorization and reported $654.5M remaining under its authorizations at September 30.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • The filing provides no formal financial guidance. Management expected hotel-room-night growth rates to continue decelerating as the business scaled, while noting uncertainty from macroeconomic conditions, weaker hotel average daily rate trends in some regions, and currency movements.
  • Management described intense competition across online travel, metasearch, mobile and direct supplier channels. It cited pressure on U.S. opaque hotel bookings, rising customer-acquisition costs and the risk that lower advertising returns or expansion into lower-margin markets could constrain margins.
  • The company expected a possible Dutch payroll levy for 2013, estimated at approximately $12M before tax, subject to adoption. Booking.com’s Dutch Innovation Box tax ruling was valid through 2017; loss or reduction of the benefit could raise the effective tax rate.
  • Travel-transaction-tax litigation and audits remained significant contingencies. The company could not reasonably estimate a possible loss above its approximately $60M accrual; adverse outcomes could include taxes, interest, penalties and legal costs. The OFT was considering proposed commitments concerning Booking.com’s pricing practices; a potential fine, if the investigation proceeded adversely, was estimated at $0–$50M.
  • Other disclosed risks include foreign-exchange exposure, economic and travel disruptions, dependence on suppliers and search traffic, mobile-platform competition, cybersecurity and system availability, and challenges integrating KAYAK. Management said the company had no material off-balance-sheet arrangements.

Key facts for investors to verify

  • How much reported growth and margin expansion reflects underlying operations versus KAYAK, currency effects, and the changing mix of gross- versus net-reported revenue?
  • Whether online advertising returns, acquisition costs and growth in lower-margin markets affect future profitability.
  • The ultimate financial and operating effects of travel-tax litigation and the OFT proceedings, including whether the recorded accruals prove adequate.
  • Cash availability and potential tax consequences of repatriating the approximately $4.4B held internationally, alongside the company’s convertible-debt maturities and conversions.
  • Whether KAYAK integration, share repurchases and ongoing investment support durable growth without impairing liquidity or margins.