Blue Bird Corp current report, 24 February 2015

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Blue Bird Corporation (formerly Hennessy Capital Acquisition Corp.)
Filing Date: February 24, 2015
Event: Completion of Business Combination (Reverse Merger) with School Bus Holdings Inc. (SBH).
Reporting Period: The filing details the transaction closing on February 24, 2015, and includes historical financial data for Blue Bird for the fiscal quarter ended January 3, 2015, compared to the quarter ended December 28, 2013.

Key Financial Metrics

Transaction Economics

  • Total Purchase Price: $220.0 million.
  • Cash Component: $100.0 million (funded by trust account, PIPE, and backstop proceeds).
  • Equity Component: 12,000,000 shares of common stock issued to the Seller (valued at $120.0 million).
  • Capital Raised: $50.0 million via PIPE Investment (Series A Convertible Preferred Stock) and $25.0 million via Subsequent Common Backstop Placement.
  • Redemptions: 7,494,700 shares redeemed for $74.9 million.

Blue Bird Historical Performance (Quarter Ended Jan 3, 2015)

Metric Q1 2015 Q1 2014
Net Sales $165.8 million $146.0 million
Gross Profit $19.5 million $20.5 million
Operating Profit $4.0 million $6.4 million
Net Loss $(0.6) million $4.1 million (Income)
Adjusted EBITDA $7.4 million $9.6 million
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 4.5% 6.6%

Liquidity and Debt

  • Cash and Equivalents (Jan 3, 2015): $23.5 million.
  • Debt: $235.0 million Senior Term Loan (matures 2020) and $60.0 million Revolving Credit Facility (matures 2019).
  • Interest Expense: $5.1 million for Q1 2015 (up from $0.3 million in Q1 2014 due to refinancing).
  • Stockholder Deficit: $(148.8) million as of Jan 3, 2015.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Net sales increased 13.6% year-over-year, driven by higher unit bookings (1,824 vs. 1,545) and five additional shipping days in the quarter.
  • Profitability Decline: Operating profit decreased 36.8% to $4.0 million. This was caused by a decrease in gross profit (due to product mix shifts toward lower-priced diesel units) and increased SG&A expenses.
  • Net Loss: The company reported a net loss of $0.6 million compared to net income of $4.1 million in the prior year, primarily due to a $4.9 million increase in interest expense following the June 2014 debt refinancing.
  • Corporate Structure: Transitioned from a shell SPAC (Hennessy Capital) to an operating holding company (Blue Bird Corporation) with SBH as the accounting acquirer.

Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

Management Commentary and Outlook

Management anticipates that Q2 2015 operating profit will be adversely impacted by approximately $13.6 million in expenses related to the phantom award plan payout to SBH employees. The company expects incremental annual public company costs of at least $2.0 million.

Risks and Contingencies

  • Nasdaq Delisting Risk: The company received a delisting notice from Nasdaq for failing to meet the "Minimum Holders Rule" (300 public holders) and the "400 Holder Rule" for the Global Market. An appeal is pending; failure to comply could result in trading suspension and "penny stock" classification.
  • Debt Covenants: The company must maintain specific Total Net Leverage Ratios (starting at 4.75:1.00) under its Credit Agreement. Dividends are restricted unless leverage is below 1.75:1.00.
  • Warrant Exchange: A public warrant exchange offer is ongoing, with a sponsor warrant exchange contingent on its completion.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Nasdaq Status: Verify the outcome of the Nasdaq delisting appeal scheduled for March 19, 2015, and confirm compliance with the 400 round-lot holder requirement.
  • Q2 Expense Impact: Confirm the timing and accounting treatment of the $13.6 million phantom award plan expense in the upcoming Q2 2015 earnings.
  • Debt Compliance: Monitor the Total Net Leverage Ratio to ensure compliance with the 4.75:1.00 covenant threshold.
  • Warrant Exchange Results: Track the final number of warrants tendered in the public exchange offer to determine the final share count and dilution.
  • Product Mix: Assess the long-term impact of the shift from high-margin propane/CNG units to lower-margin diesel units on future gross margins.