CREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2014

Credit Acceptance Corporation — Q1 2014 Form 10-Q

Business context and period: Unaudited results for the three months ended March 31, 2014, compared with Q1 2013; balance-sheet comparisons are with December 31, 2013. The company provides auto financing through dealers, primarily to consumers with impaired or limited credit histories.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ1 2014 / March 31, 2014Comparable period / prior year-end
Total revenue$176.9 million, up 7.4%$164.7 million
Net income$49.8 million; diluted EPS $2.12$60.6 million; diluted EPS $2.48
Income before taxes$80.0 million$95.1 million
Net cash from operations$93.5 million$80.9 million
Loans receivable, net$2,318.0 million$2,212.8 million
Total assets / shareholders’ equity$2,573.7 million / $715.0 million$2,433.4 million / $750.1 million
Total debt$1,558.2 million$1,392.4 million

Finance charges rose 6.9% to $152.8 million, mainly as the average net loan balance increased to $2,247.7 million from $1,964.3 million. Average portfolio yield declined to 27.2% from 29.1%, which partly offset balance growth. Net income as a share of revenue was approximately 28.2%, versus 36.8% in Q1 2013.

Cash and cash equivalents were $5.6 million; restricted cash was $146.6 million, largely supporting secured financings. The revolving credit line had $119.1 million available, subject to borrowing-base limits. Funded debt to equity was 2.2:1. The allowance for credit losses was $200.1 million, compared with $195.4 million at year-end.

Material changes versus Q1 2013

  • Revenue increased 7.4%, while net income declined 17.8% and diluted EPS declined 14.5%.
  • The $21.8 million debt-extinguishment loss was the main driver of lower earnings. Excluding that item, reported pretax income was still affected by higher operating and claims costs.
  • Consumer Loan assignment volume rose 14.3% by units and 16.2% by dollars; active dealers increased 16.1%, while average volume per active dealer declined 1.5%.
  • Operating expenses increased 11.9%; salaries and wages rose 16.9%, including higher stock-based compensation. Claims provision increased 22.2% to $11.0 million.
  • Operating cash flow increased to $93.5 million. Financing included $103.6 million of share repurchases, including a tender offer.
  • Purchased Loans grew to 8.3% of assigned unit volume from 5.6% a year earlier; the Portfolio Program remained the majority of assignments.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management gave no specific earnings or revenue guidance. It said operating cash flows and available financing alternatives were expected to support debt maturities and future operations, while noting that reduced access to funding could materially affect liquidity and operations.
  • Management identifies accurate collection forecasting, access to capital, and sustaining loan volume on acceptable terms as key success factors. Loan performance is generally consistent with expectations for the quarter; forecasts for 2009–2013 assignment cohorts exceed initial estimates, while 2006–2007 cohorts remain below them. Recent-vintage forecasts are less certain because less of the expected collections has been realized.
  • On January 22, the company issued $300 million of 6.125% senior notes due 2021 and used proceeds plus revolving borrowings to redeem $350 million of 9.125% notes on February 21. The redemption generated the $21.8 million pretax loss.
  • On April 16, 2014, after quarter-end, the company completed a $299 million Term ABS financing, with expected annualized cost of approximately 2.2%, to repay outstanding debt.
  • The effective tax rate was 37.8%, up from 36.3%; remeasurement from enacted state tax changes added 1.9 percentage points in Q1. The company said the changes, effective in 2015, are not expected to significantly affect its effective tax rate.
  • Key risks include collection estimates and consumer credit performance, competition, substantial debt and covenant restrictions, availability and cost of funding, interest-rate movements, regulation, and litigation. The company reported compliance with debt covenants at quarter-end. It disclosed dealer arbitrations seeking unspecified damages and warned adverse outcomes in litigation could materially affect results, liquidity, or financial position.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether subsequent collections support management’s forecasts, especially for recent loan vintages, and whether the allowance remains adequate.
  • How loan growth, higher dealer advances, and the shift toward Purchased Loans affect portfolio yield and returns.
  • Debt refinancing costs, borrowing-base availability, covenant headroom, and the effect of substantial debt on liquidity.
  • Whether the debt-redemption charge is treated as nonrecurring when assessing ongoing earnings, and the sustainability of stock repurchases.
  • Developments in dealer arbitrations, the IRS audit of the 2011 federal return, and other customer or regulatory matters.