Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2020

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: TCG BDC, Inc. (formerly Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.)
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Quarterly Report)
Period Ended: September 30, 2020
Business Overview: TCG BDC is an externally managed, non-diversified closed-end management investment company regulated as a Business Development Company (BDC). Its investment objective is to generate current income and capital appreciation primarily through debt investments in U.S. middle-market companies. The portfolio consists mainly of first and second lien senior secured loans, with a significant portion invested in the Middle Market Credit Fund, LLC (Credit Fund).

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q3 2020 (Three Months) YTD 2020 (Nine Months) YTD 2019 (Nine Months)
Total Investment Income $42.8 million $138.6 million $167.8 million
Net Investment Income $21.2 million $66.9 million $82.3 million
Net Realized Gain (Loss) ($0.2 million) ($49.7 million) ($17.7 million)
Net Change in Unrealized Appreciation (Depreciation) $15.0 million ($48.3 million) ($30.5 million)
Net Increase (Decrease) in Net Assets from Operations $33.6 million ($31.3 million) $34.5 million
Net Assets (Total) $895.2 million $895.2 million $978.6 million
Net Asset Value (NAV) per Common Share $15.01 $15.01 $16.58
Weighted Average Interest Rate (Debt) 2.70% 3.30% 4.55%
Asset Coverage Ratio 174.96% 174.96% 181.16%

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Investment Income Decline: Total investment income decreased by approximately 23% for the nine months ended September 30, 2020, compared to the prior year. This was primarily driven by a decrease in LIBOR, a lower average principal outstanding, and loans placed on non-accrual status.
  • Net Loss for the Period: The Company reported a net decrease in net assets from operations of $31.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2020, compared to a net increase of $34.5 million in the prior year. This reversal was driven by significant net realized losses of $49.7 million and net unrealized depreciation of $48.3 million, largely attributed to unrealized losses on certain positions and higher market yields related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Interest Expense Reduction: Interest expense decreased significantly due to lower LIBOR rates, partially offset by higher average principal balances outstanding in the nine-month period.
  • Portfolio Composition: The portfolio fair value decreased to $1.95 billion from $2.12 billion at year-end 2019. The weighted average yield on first and second lien debt decreased from 8.22% to 7.44% on an amortized cost basis.
  • Non-Accrual Status: The fair value of loans on non-accrual status increased to $67.4 million (3.46% of total investments) from $52.4 million (2.47%) at December 31, 2019.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Management Commentary: Management notes that while economic activity improved in Q3 2020, uncertainty remains regarding the pace of recovery due to the COVID-19 pandemic, stimulus negotiations, and political factors. The Company is monitoring liquidity and balance sheet flexibility closely.
  • Capital Actions:
    • Preferred Stock: Issued 2 million shares of Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock in May 2020 for $50 million in proceeds.
    • Stock Repurchases: Repurchased 1.46 million shares of common stock for $16.0 million during the nine-month period. The Board expanded the repurchase authorization to $150 million in November 2020.
    • Dividends: Declared a regular quarterly common dividend of $0.32 per share and a special dividend of $0.05 per share for Q3 2020. A subsequent dividend of $0.32 regular plus $0.04 special was declared in November 2020.
  • Strategic Transaction: In November 2020, the Company formed a joint venture (Middle Market Credit Fund II, LLC) and contributed approximately $250 million of senior secured debt investments in exchange for 84% equity ownership and $170 million in gross cash proceeds to enhance balance sheet flexibility.
  • Risks: Key risks include the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on portfolio companies, fluctuations in interest rates (LIBOR), valuation uncertainty of illiquid investments, and the ability to access capital markets. The Company relies on borrowings under credit facilities, and a decline in collateral values could reduce borrowing availability.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Valuation Methodology: Verify the assumptions used in Level 3 fair value measurements, particularly discount rates and EBITDA multiples, given the significant unrealized depreciation.
  • Non-Accrual Loans: Review the specific portfolio companies on non-accrual status and the Company's recovery expectations for these assets.
  • Liquidity Position: Confirm the availability under the SPV Credit Facility and Credit Facility ($244.9 million available as of Sept 30, 2020) relative to unfunded commitments ($125.3 million).
  • Preferred Stock Terms: Understand the conversion and redemption terms of the newly issued Preferred Stock and its impact on common shareholder dilution.
  • Interest Rate Sensitivity: Assess the impact of potential LIBOR changes on net investment income, noting that 99.1% of debt investments are floating rate.