CURIS INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2014

Curis, Inc. — Q3 2014 Form 10-Q

Business context and period. Curis is an oncology-focused biotechnology company developing drug candidates, with Erivedge commercialized by Roche and Genentech. This unaudited report covers the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2014; comparisons are with the corresponding 2013 periods.

Financial performance and position

MetricThree months ended Sept. 30, 2014Three months ended Sept. 30, 2013Nine months ended Sept. 30, 2014Nine months ended Sept. 30, 2013
Total revenue$1.765 million$7.202 million$7.851 million$13.478 million
Operating loss$4.753 millionOperating income $0.130 million$11.051 million$4.933 million
Net loss$5.580 million$1.868 million$13.040 million$8.124 million
Net loss per share$0.06$0.02$0.15$0.10
Operating cash usedNot separately stated for quarterNot separately stated for quarter$12.121 million$4.027 million
  • Q3 royalty revenue was $1.783 million, up 65%; nine-month royalty revenue was $4.895 million, up 92%. The royalty increase was outweighed by lower milestone and collaboration revenue.
  • Q3 research and development expense was $3.705 million and general and administrative expense was $2.723 million. Nine-month amounts were $10.180 million and $8.475 million, respectively. No meaningful consolidated gross margin is presented; royalty revenue cost was $0.089 million for Q3 and $0.246 million for nine months.
  • At September 30, cash and cash equivalents were $7.933 million; investments were $48.147 million, including $1.482 million long-term. Restricted investments totaled approximately $0.166 million. Management cited $56.081 million of cash, cash equivalents and investments, excluding restricted investments.
  • Total assets were $68.209 million; current assets $57.108 million; current liabilities $9.835 million. Debt, net of issuance costs, was $29.062 million, of which $5.522 million was current; the filing reports approximately $29.5 million gross principal and accrued interest. The 12.25% loan is intended to be repaid from Erivedge royalties and is non-recourse to Curis.
  • Cash declined by $1.658 million during the first nine months, ending at $7.933 million. Investing activities provided $11.019 million, principally from net investment sales; financing activities used $0.557 million.

Changes, outlook and notable developments

  • Revenue declined 75% in Q3 and 42% for nine months. The principal comparison was the absence of the prior-year $6 million European Erivedge milestone in Q3 2014; nine-month 2014 also lacked the $6 million EU and $4 million Australia milestones recognized in 2013 and the $0.650 million LLS milestone recognized in 2013. Curis did receive a $3 million Genentech milestone in 2014 for an Erivedge IPF IND filing.
  • Management expected available resources at September 30 to fund current and planned operations into 2016. The company nevertheless expects continued losses and substantial funding needs; continued operations beyond that runway depend on expense control, collaboration or milestone receipts, royalties, and access to debt or equity financing. No numerical earnings or revenue guidance is provided.
  • CUDC-907: the Phase 1 trial had enrolled 40 patients. In a small DLBCL evaluable group, the company reported two confirmed partial responses and one complete response; these are preliminary clinical observations, not evidence of established efficacy. A solid-tumor study was expected to begin in Q4 2014. R&D spending on CUDC-907 increased.
  • CUDC-427: the FDA lifted a partial clinical hold in March 2014 after Curis responded to requests for information. The Phase 1 trial restarted in June under an amended once-daily schedule; dose escalation was evaluating the 300 mg cohort.
  • Debiopharm decided not to advance Debio 0932 into Phase 2 in the HALO lung cancer study and planned to discontinue Phase 1 and return the rights to Curis. Curis did not plan further NSCLC study but was exploring other indications. Roche suspended enrollment in the Erivedge IPF study pending protocol changes; the Erivedge AML/MDS monotherapy study closed after failing its prespecified efficacy threshold.
  • Erivedge royalties are pledged to service the BioPharma-II loan, subject to quarterly payment caps through 2015; management estimated repayment in 2017, but lower-than-expected royalties could extend the term. A $0.717 million nine-month gain from revaluing the warrant liability reduced reported loss; the liability was valued at zero at quarter-end.
  • Key risks include clinical and regulatory failure, reliance on Roche/Genentech and uncertain collaboration payments, financing availability, debt and royalty-collateral terms, competition, and potential dilution. The company reported no off-balance-sheet arrangements and said disclosure controls were effective.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether Erivedge sales and royalty receipts are sufficient to meet scheduled debt service and management’s estimated 2017 repayment timing.
  • Cash burn, operating milestones and whether financing or collaboration proceeds will be needed before the stated runway into 2016.
  • Subsequent clinical data, enrollment and safety for CUDC-907 and CUDC-427, including the small sample underlying reported CUDC-907 responses.
  • Formal completion of Debiopharm’s license termination and transfer of Debio 0932 rights, and any resulting development costs or plans.
  • Progress or further changes in Roche’s Erivedge programs, especially the suspended IPF study and commercial performance underlying royalty revenue.
  • Potential dilution from equity financing and outstanding warrants; 86,004,857 common shares were outstanding as of November 4, 2014.