CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC annual report, FY2016

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. — FY 2016 Form 10-K

Business context and period: Casella is a vertically integrated solid-waste services company operating primarily in six Northeastern states. This filing reports the fiscal year ended December 31, 2016; FY 2015 is the comparable 12-month period. The filing also provides unaudited fourth-quarter results.

Financial performance

MetricFY 2016FY 2015Change
Revenue$565.0 million$546.5 million+3.4%
Operating income$44.9 million$31.9 million+41.0%
Operating margin8.0%5.8%+2.2 percentage points
Net loss attributable to common stockholders$(6.8) million; $(0.17) per share$(13.0) million; $(0.32) per shareLoss narrowed
Cash from operations$80.4 million$70.5 million+14.1%
Capital expenditures$54.2 million$50.0 million+$4.2 million
Cash less capital expendituresApproximately $26.2 millionApproximately $20.5 millionImproved
Net interest expense$38.7 million$40.1 millionDown $1.4 million

Cost of operations fell to 67.6% of revenue from 70.0%. Revenue growth reflected stronger collection pricing and recycling commodity prices, partly offset by lower solid-waste volumes, particularly Western-region disposal and transportation volumes associated with reduced drill-cutting activity. Collection pricing increased 4.9%; overall landfill pricing increased 2.1%.

At the segment level, operating income improved in Eastern ($9.7 million versus $7.4 million), Western ($30.6 million versus $26.0 million), Recycling ($2.5 million versus a $2.4 million loss), and Other ($2.1 million versus $0.9 million).

Fourth quarter: Revenue was $143.8 million versus $140.0 million a year earlier; operating income was $10.0 million versus $4.7 million. The company reported a net loss of $12.0 million versus $7.0 million. The annual filing attributes $13.7 million of FY 2016 expense to debt extinguishment; the quarterly table does not clearly state the portion attributable specifically to Q4.

Debt, liquidity and balance sheet

  • Year-end principal debt and capital leases were $525.6 million, compared with $525.0 million; cash was $2.5 million. Stockholders’ deficit was $24.6 million.
  • In October 2016, Casella refinanced its prior facilities and redeemed its remaining 7.75% notes with a $350 million Term Loan B and a $160 million revolving facility. Management expected approximately $11 million of annual cash-interest savings and extended maturities.
  • At year-end, $62.6 million was drawn on the revolver; $72.1 million remained available after letters of credit. The credit facility’s maximum net leverage covenant was 5.375x; the reported ratio was 4.22x. Interest coverage was 3.75x against a 2.50x minimum. The company reported compliance with its covenants.
  • Operating cash flow exceeded capital expenditures by approximately $26.2 million. The company stated that excess cash flow would primarily be used to repay debt. It does not anticipate paying cash dividends in the foreseeable future.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • No numerical FY 2017 revenue, earnings or cash-flow guidance is provided. Management said it would continue focusing on landfill returns, collection profitability, resource solutions, and balance-sheet improvement.
  • Management cited tightening disposal capacity in its markets, including estimated permanent closures representing over 20% of market capacity across certain Northeastern states over recent and coming years. Further capacity closures and permit outcomes may affect volumes and pricing.
  • Southbridge landfill groundwater investigations and potential claims remain material uncertainties. Casella had incurred over $2.5 million in response costs, said potential losses were reasonably possible but not estimable, and described an agreement in principle for the company to share up to $5 million of a municipal-waterline project. The landfill expansion’s economics and permitting remain under review; closure is a possible outcome.
  • The Potsdam remediation liability was $5.9 million at year-end, after a $0.9 million estimate-related charge. Casella is jointly and severally liable with other parties, and actual costs could exceed estimates.
  • Other key risks include substantial debt and variable-rate exposure, competition, commodity-price volatility, fuel costs, environmental regulation and permitting, weather and seasonality, regional concentration, and landfill closure and post-closure obligations. A 100-basis-point increase in variable borrowing rates was estimated to raise annual interest expense by up to $4.2 million.
  • FY 2016 included a $13.7 million debt-extinguishment loss and a $0.9 million environmental remediation charge. The independent auditor gave an unqualified opinion and reported effective internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether collection pricing and recycling commodity improvements can offset continuing weakness in Western-region volumes and disposal activity.
  • Actual interest savings, refinancing costs, variable-rate exposure, revolver availability, and covenant headroom after the refinancing.
  • Updates on Southbridge groundwater findings, potential litigation, insurance recovery, waterline cost-sharing, and landfill expansion or closure decisions.
  • Changes in the Potsdam remediation estimate and the timing and amount of future environmental expenditures.
  • Permits, remaining landfill capacity, closure obligations, and the assumptions used to include expansion airspace in landfill accounting.