National Vision Holdings, Inc. annual report, FY2017

National Vision Holdings, Inc. — Form 10-K Summary

Period: The filing is the annual report for the 52 weeks ended December 30, 2017, with comparisons to fiscal 2016 and 2015. Although the request identifies “2016 Q4,” the supplied filing covers fiscal 2017; fourth-quarter figures are included below where useful. Amounts are in millions of dollars unless noted.

Business context

National Vision is a value-focused U.S. optical retailer selling eyeglasses, contact lenses, eye exams and related services through 1,013 stores across five brands and online channels. Its reportable segments are Owned & Host (including America’s Best and Eyeglass World) and Legacy (Walmart Vision Centers operated under agreement). Walmart-related sales were 11.2% of consolidated revenue in 2017. The company completed its IPO in October 2017; KKR and Berkshire remained controlling shareholders.

Key financial results

MetricFY 2017FY 2016Change / context
Revenue$1,375.3$1,196.2Up 15.0%
Operating income$67.2$66.4Up 1.3%; operating margin declined to 4.9% from 5.5%
Net income$45.8$14.8Includes a $43.0 tax benefit from remeasuring deferred taxes after tax-law changes
Adjusted EBITDA$159.7$137.8Up 15.9%; margin was 11.6% versus 11.5%
Net cash from operations$90.3$97.6Down 7.5%
Capital expenditures$93.2$90.0Operating cash flow less capex was approximately negative $3.0
Cash and cash equivalents$4.2$4.9At fiscal year-end
Total debt$569.2$745.6At fiscal year-end; includes capital lease obligations

Costs applicable to revenue rose to 46.3% of revenue from 45.5%, reducing gross margin to approximately 53.7% from 54.5%. Management attributed the pressure mainly to a higher wholesale fulfillment mix, higher optometrist costs and a $2.3 million contact-lens inventory write-off. SG&A declined as a percentage of revenue to 43.5% from 43.8%.

For the fourth quarter ended December 30, 2017, revenue was $321.8 million versus $277.1 million a year earlier. Operating loss was $2.8 million versus $3.4 million; net income was $28.7 million versus a net loss of $9.7 million, with the reported annual tax benefit materially affecting quarterly results.

Changes, financing and liquidity

  • Revenue growth reflected comparable-store sales, store openings and AC Lens order volume. Adjusted comparable-store sales growth was 7.5%, versus 6.1% in 2016; 76 stores opened and six closed.
  • Operating income grew much more slowly than revenue, while net interest expense increased 42.1% to $55.5 million. The 2017 result also included $4.5 million of debt issuance costs and a $7.0 million antitrust litigation settlement charge.
  • IPO proceeds of approximately $375.8 million were principally used to repay $125.0 million of second-lien debt and approximately $235.0 million of first-lien debt. The company refinanced its first-lien term loans, extending maturity to 2024 and lowering stated interest margins. Year-end term-loan principal was $568.6 million.
  • The $100 million revolving facility had $88.8 million available at year-end, after $11.2 million of letters of credit. Management said operating cash flow and revolver availability should cover working capital, liquidity needs, planned capital expenditures and debt payments for at least 12 months.
  • In February 2017, the company borrowed $175 million and paid a $171.0 million recapitalization dividend to stockholders. It has no current plan to pay common-stock dividends.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • No numerical revenue or earnings guidance is provided. Management described approximately 75 annual store openings as sustainable for the foreseeable future and identified potential expansion of America’s Best and Eyeglass World to at least 1,850 stores combined. These are management plans, not guaranteed outcomes.
  • Management cited delayed tax refunds as a drag on first-quarter 2017 results; hurricane-related closures were considered immaterial for the year. Results are seasonal, with the first quarter typically strongest and the fourth quarter typically weaker.
  • The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act generated a provisional $43.0 million tax benefit and drove the unusually low reported effective tax rate. The company said its analysis was incomplete and adjustments could be recorded during 2018.
  • Internal-control weaknesses relating to contact-lens inventory and entity-level controls remained unremediated at year-end. Management concluded disclosure controls were not effective. A prior-period error understated 2016 product costs by $2.1 million and overstated net income by $1.3 million; management deemed it immaterial. Separate legacy revenue classification errors of $7.2 million in 2016 and $7.6 million in 2015 were also disclosed.
  • The company settled an online contact-lens advertising antitrust case for $7.0 million without admitting liability; preliminary court approval was pending. A separate California optometry class action was on appeal after dismissal with prejudice.
  • Key risks include substantial leverage and interest-rate exposure, long-term lease commitments, dependence on Walmart and concentrated suppliers, recruitment and retention of optometrists, healthcare and state regulatory compliance, and execution of store expansion. A 1 percentage-point increase in market rates was estimated to add about $0.7 million in annual interest expense after hedging.

Investor verification priorities

  • Separate recurring operating performance from the $43.0 million provisional tax benefit and reconcile reported net income with adjusted measures.
  • Review the reconciliation of operating cash flow, $93.2 million of capex, and working-capital changes; confirm the funding required for expansion.
  • Track debt repayment, interest costs, covenant headroom, hedge coverage and lease obligations, including the $384.0 million of disclosed future operating-lease payments.
  • Monitor remediation and testing of the material weaknesses and the company’s effectiveness conclusions for internal and disclosure controls.
  • Assess comparable-store trends, store-opening returns, optometrist availability, Walmart relationship terms and the status of the California and antitrust matters.
  • Confirm the final tax-law measurement and the effects of the 2018 revenue-recognition change and planned 2019 lease-accounting adoption.