FIFTH THIRD BANCORP annual report, FY2016

Fifth Third Bancorp — 2016 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period. Fifth Third Bancorp is a U.S. bank holding company operating primarily in the Midwest and Southeast. This filing covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2016; it also reports fourth-quarter results. Unless noted, financial amounts below are in U.S. dollars and millions. Net interest income and related ratios identified as FTE are non-GAAP measures.

Financial performance and condition

Metric20162015
Net interest income, GAAP$3,615$3,533
Net interest income, FTE$3,640$3,554
Total revenue, FTE basis$6,336$6,557
Provision for loan and lease losses$343$396
Noninterest expense$3,903$3,775
Net income available to common shareholders$1,489$1,637
Diluted EPS$1.93$2.01
Net interest margin, FTE2.88%2.88%
Efficiency ratio, FTE61.6%57.6%
Net charge-offs / average portfolio loans and leases0.39%0.48%
Nonperforming portfolio assets / loans and leases plus OREO0.80%0.70%

Total assets were $142.2 billion at year-end, versus $141.0 billion in 2015. Portfolio loans and leases were $92.1 billion, down from $92.6 billion; total deposits were $103.8 billion, up from $103.2 billion. Cash and due from banks ended the year at $2.4 billion. Net cash provided by operating activities was $2.1 billion, compared with $2.4 billion in 2015; investing activities used $2.9 billion and financing activities provided $625 million.

Long-term debt was $14.4 billion, down from $15.8 billion, while total borrowings were $18.1 billion, up from $17.5 billion. The Bank issued $3.8 billion of unsecured notes during 2016; repayments and maturities contributed to lower year-end long-term debt. Basel III transitional capital ratios were 10.39% CET1, 11.50% Tier 1 risk-based, 15.02% total risk-based and 9.90% Tier 1 leverage. The modified liquidity coverage ratio was 128%.

Material changes versus 2015

  • Common net income fell $148 million and diluted EPS declined $0.08. FTE net interest income rose, but total revenue fell as noninterest income declined $307 million; noninterest expense increased $128 million.
  • 2015 included a $331 million gain on Vantiv shares and other sizable Vantiv warrant and transaction gains. In 2016, Vantiv-related TRA income included a $280 million termination-and-settlement gain and the Bancorp recognized other TRA-related gains. These items make reported noninterest income comparisons notably transaction-dependent.
  • The provision for credit losses declined $53 million and net charge-offs fell $84 million. However, nonperforming portfolio assets increased to $738 million from $647 million; commercial nonaccrual loans and leases rose, primarily reflecting energy exposure.
  • Average loans grew modestly, led by commercial lending and residential mortgages, while year-end loans declined. Auto and home-equity balances contracted as payoffs exceeded new production.
  • Capital strengthened on reported ratios and tangible common equity; the transitional CET1 ratio rose from 9.82% to 10.39%. The annual common dividend declared increased from $0.52 to $0.53 per share.

Outlook, management commentary, risks and unusual items

Outlook and strategy: The three-year NorthStar Strategy, launched in 2016, targets by the end of 2019 a 12%–14% return on average tangible common equity, 1.1%–1.3% return on average assets and an efficiency ratio below 60%. These are strategic targets, not a specific 2017 earnings forecast. Management cited customer experience, technology and product investment, automation, growth in selected commercial businesses, and risk and operational excellence as priorities. The filing describes improving economic conditions, while noting uncertainty in credit, interest rates and markets.

Credit and market risks: Energy-related criticized commercial credits stabilized with signs of improvement in the second half of 2016, but reserve-based energy nonaccruals increased. Management estimated that a one-grade downgrade of 10% of commercial loans in each risk category could raise the commercial allowance by about $190 million; a 10% increase in estimated consumer and residential mortgage loss rates could raise their allowance by about $31 million. These are sensitivities, not forecasts. Rate exposure is assumption-sensitive: the bank modeled a 69% deposit beta and approximately $2.5 billion of additional noninterest-bearing deposit runoff for each 100-basis-point short-rate increase.

Unusual items and contingencies: The 2016 Visa/Mastercard merchant interchange settlement was overturned on appeal, leaving the litigation outcome uncertain; the Bancorp reported a $91 million Visa swap liability and estimated up to $43 million of reasonably possible legal and regulatory losses above accruals, while noting outcomes could differ. Mortgage representation-and-warranty reserves were $13 million, with reasonably possible additional losses estimated at up to $21 million. The Bank’s CRA rating was “Needs to Improve,” which limits certain new activities and merger or acquisition activity; a further examination began in the fourth quarter of 2016.

Management concluded disclosure controls and procedures were not effective because of deficiencies involving registration of, and prospectus delivery for, employee benefit plan shares. Management and the auditor concluded internal control over financial reporting was effective as of December 31, 2016; the financial statement audit opinion was unqualified. The Bancorp planned rescission offers to address the share-registration and prospectus-delivery failures and did not expect a material financial impact.

Other significant items include planned consolidation or sale of 64 branches and 35 undeveloped parcels at year-end, with approximately $72 million of estimated annual operating expense savings upon completion. The Bancorp expected $60 million of those savings from branches already closed. Management cautions that forward-looking statements are subject to economic, credit, interest-rate, regulatory, competitive, technology, funding, liquidity and reputational risks.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Review the quality and sustainability of earnings excluding Vantiv TRA, warrant and other transaction-related gains, and compare the non-GAAP FTE and efficiency measures with GAAP results.
  • Track commercial energy exposure, nonperforming assets, criticized loans, allowance adequacy and the potential impact of the expected-credit-loss standard, which the Bancorp anticipated could increase the allowance at adoption.
  • Assess whether NorthStar’s 2019 return and efficiency targets are being met, and whether branch consolidation savings are realized on schedule.
  • Monitor the CRA examination and resulting restrictions, the Visa interchange litigation and Visa swap valuation, mortgage repurchase exposure, and other legal and regulatory proceedings.
  • Confirm continued capital and liquidity strength, deposit stability, funding costs and the effect of rate changes and proposed liquidity rules; also follow remediation of the employee-plan disclosure-control deficiency.