GERON CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2015

Geron Corporation — Q1 2015 Form 10-Q

Period: Three months ended March 31, 2015; unaudited. Geron is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company whose sole product candidate is imetelstat. The quarter’s business was centered on the worldwide development and commercialization collaboration with Janssen.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricQ1 2015Q1 2014 or comparator
Revenue$0.54 million$0.47 million
Research and development expense$4.99 million$5.21 million
Restructuring charges$0.41 millionNone reported
General and administrative expense$4.60 million$3.99 million
Operating loss$9.46 million$8.73 million
Net loss$9.32 million; $0.06 per share$8.44 million; $0.06 per share
Cash used in operating activities$7.71 million$9.51 million

Revenue comprised $0.38 million in license fees and $0.16 million in royalties; no revenue from the Janssen collaboration was recognized in the quarter. Geron expects to recognize the collaboration’s $35 million upfront payment as license revenue after completing technology transfer, then expected by September 30, 2015.

At March 31, cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable securities totaled $163.8 million, versus $170.6 million at December 31, 2014. Total assets were $165.8 million, current liabilities $40.6 million, and stockholders’ equity $125.2 million. The balance sheet reports no debt. The current ratio was approximately 3.6x. Accumulated deficit was $937.7 million. Management estimated existing resources and future interest income would fund the current level of operations for at least 12 months; the company expected negative cash flow to continue.

No operating margin is presented as a key performance measure; the company reported an operating loss. Cash and cash equivalents alone fell to $10.2 million from $42.8 million, while marketable securities increased. The quarter’s $26.4 million investing cash outflow largely reflected securities purchases and maturities, rather than operating consumption.

Material changes and business developments

  • Net loss increased about 10% year over year. Higher G&A costs, collaboration development costs and restructuring charges were partly offset by lower imetelstat manufacturing costs.
  • G&A expense rose, primarily from stock compensation, legal fees related to shareholder litigation and business-development consulting. Management expected G&A expense to increase during the rest of 2015.
  • In March, Geron announced a workforce reduction from 39 to 21 positions, about 46%. It estimated total restructuring charges of $1.75 million, cash expenditures of $1.38 million, and annualized personnel-cost savings of approximately $5 million. Most remaining charges were expected in Q2; completion was expected in 2015.
  • Under the Janssen agreement, costs for the initial Phase 2 myelofibrosis and myelodysplastic syndrome studies are shared 50/50. Geron reported $0.63 million accrued for its share of Q1 collaboration costs.
  • Geron described potential Janssen payments of up to $900 million in aggregate development, regulatory and sales milestones, in addition to royalties, subject to contractual conditions and successful development. If Janssen continues the program, Geron may elect U.S. cost-sharing rights, which would involve additional spending.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management expected Janssen to initiate the Phase 2 myelofibrosis study in mid-2015 and the Phase 2 MDS study near year-end 2015. The myelofibrosis study was not yet open for enrollment at the time described. These were plans, not assured outcomes.
  • Geron depends on Janssen to execute development, manufacturing, regulatory and commercialization activities for imetelstat. Janssen may terminate the agreement or decide not to continue; future milestones and royalties are uncertain, and Geron does not expect commercial availability for many years, if at all.
  • Safety is a significant development risk. The filing describes liver-function abnormalities and potential hepatotoxicity, blood-cell toxicities, and deaths in prior or ongoing studies, including a death in the MF Pilot Study assessed by the investigator as possibly related to imetelstat. A renewed clinical hold or unacceptable safety findings could delay or stop development.
  • Geron may need additional capital if operating needs rise, Janssen ends the collaboration, or Geron elects further development, U.S. cost-sharing or acquisitions. Financing may be unavailable or dilutive. The company’s at-the-market sales agreement, unused to date, was set to expire in October 2015 unless extended.
  • Three securities lawsuits and a derivative suit remain a contingency. At an April 10, 2015 hearing, the court granted the motion to dismiss as to some alleged statements and denied it as to others. Geron had not recorded a reserve and could not estimate potential costs or damages; amounts could be material.
  • Other uncertainties include manufacturing scale and cost, regulatory approvals, competition, patent protection, and the ability to acquire or license additional oncology programs. Management reported disclosure controls were effective at a reasonable-assurance level and no material change in internal control over financial reporting.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether technology transfer was completed and the $35 million Janssen upfront payment was recognized as revenue as expected.
  • Whether the planned Phase 2 MF and MDS studies began on schedule, and what subsequent efficacy and safety data—including liver and blood-cell toxicity findings—show.
  • Whether operating cash use, restructuring costs and stated 12-month runway assumptions remain consistent with later filings.
  • Janssen’s continuation decision, any milestone achievement, and whether Geron elects U.S. opt-in or co-promotion rights and the associated funding obligations.
  • Developments in the securities and derivative lawsuits, including potential costs or liabilities not reserved in this filing.