Ferroglobe PLC current report, Q2 FY2018

Ferroglobe PLC Q1 2018 Financial Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 6-K, filed on May 21, 2018, reports the unaudited financial results for Ferroglobe PLC for the quarter ended March 31, 2018. Ferroglobe is a leading global producer of silicon metal and silicon- and manganese-based specialty alloys. The reporting period includes the impact of the acquisition of two manganese-based alloys production plants (Dunkirk and Mo i Rana) from Glencore AG, which closed on February 1, 2018. However, sales and volumes from these new assets are not reflected in Q1 2018 results as inventory was retained by the seller; financial contribution is expected to begin in Q2 2018.

Key Financial Metrics

MetricQ1 2018Q4 2017Change
Sales (Revenue)$560.7 million$468.2 million+19.8%
Net Profit$35.6 million ($0.21/share)$6.3 million ($0.04/share)Significant Increase
Adjusted Net Profit$33.3 million ($0.19/share)$8.1 million ($0.05/share)Significant Increase
Reported EBITDA$93.5 million$22.2 million+321.2%
Adjusted EBITDA$89.6 million$53.7 million+66.9%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin16.0%11.5%+450 bps
Operating Cash Flow($20.4 million)N/AN/A
Free Cash Flow($43.0 million)$76.2 millionNegative due to acquisition
Net Debt$449.3 million$386.9 million+$62.4 million
Cash and Equivalents$197.7 million$184.5 million+12.0%

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Driven by a 19.8% increase in sales, primarily due to higher average selling prices (ASPs) and increased volumes in silicon metal and silicon-based alloys.
    • Silicon Metal: ASP increased 13.2% to $2,762/MT; volumes up 9.3%.
    • Silicon-based Alloys: ASP increased 12.3% to $1,956/MT; volumes up 8.4%.
    • Manganese-based Alloys: ASP increased 2.2% to $1,375/MT; volumes decreased 1.7% (excluding new assets).
  • Profitability: Net profit and Adjusted EBITDA surged compared to Q4 2017, reflecting strong pricing power and volume growth in core products, offsetting higher raw material costs (electrodes, coal, coke) and one-time ramp-up costs in South Africa.
  • Balance Sheet: Net debt increased by $62.4 million. Approximately $55.5 million of this increase is attributed to the working capital requirements (inventory and receivables) of the newly acquired manganese plants. Excluding the acquisition impact, net debt increased by only $6.6 million.
  • Cash Flow: Operating cash flow was negative ($20.4 million) primarily due to the $55.5 million working capital outflow for the acquisition. Excluding the acquisition, the company generated $35.5 million in operating cash flow.

Guidance, Outlook, and Management Commentary

  • Dividend Reinstatement: The Board declared an interim dividend of $0.06 per share, payable on June 29, 2018, signaling confidence in the business's long-term outlook and cash generation capabilities.
  • Market Outlook: Management expects higher volumes and stable pricing in Q2 2018. The newly acquired manganese assets are expected to contribute to shipments and financials starting in Q2.
    • End Markets: Strong demand is noted in steel, solar, automotive, and construction sectors. Global steel production hit record levels in Q1 2018.
    • Cost Environment: Continued volatility in input costs (raw materials, energy) is expected, though recent declines in manganese ore prices may improve spreads in coming quarters.
  • Strategic Initiatives:
    • Deleveraging: The company achieved a Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.85x in Q1 2018, targeting approximately 1.0x by year-end 2018.
    • Expansion: The new UMG Solar Silicon plant in Puertollano, Spain, is on track for completion by year-end 2018 with an initial capacity of 1,400 mt/y.
  • Risks: Key risks include integration costs of the new assets, volatility in raw material and energy prices, foreign exchange fluctuations, and regulatory changes in key markets (e.g., trade cases regarding silicon metal).

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Acquisition Integration: Verify the timeline and financial contribution of the Dunkirk and Mo i Rana manganese plants in Q2 2018 results.
  • Working Capital Normalization: Monitor if working capital levels stabilize in subsequent quarters after the initial $55.5 million acquisition-related build-up.
  • Raw Material Costs: Track the impact of manganese ore, electrode, and energy price fluctuations on gross margins, particularly for manganese-based alloys.
  • Deleveraging Progress: Confirm the trajectory of Net Debt reduction to meet the management target of ~1.0x leverage by end of 2018.
  • Dividend Sustainability: Assess future cash flow generation to ensure the reinstated dividend remains sustainable amidst potential input cost volatility.