Lululemon Athletica Inc. quarterly report, Q4 FY2008

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Lululemon Athletica Inc.
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Quarterly Report)
Period Ended: November 2, 2008 (Thirteen and Thirty-Nine Weeks)
Business Overview: Designer and retailer of technical athletic apparel, primarily sold through corporate-owned and franchised stores in Canada and the United States. As of November 2, 2008, the company operated 98 corporate-owned stores and 9 franchised stores globally. The company discontinued its operations in Japan during the period, classifying them as discontinued operations.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (USD) 13 Weeks Ended Nov 2, 2008 39 Weeks Ended Nov 2, 2008
Net Revenue $87.0 million $249.6 million
Gross Profit $41.9 million $127.4 million
Gross Margin 48.1% 51.1%
Operating Income $13.1 million $40.5 million
Net Income (Continuing Ops) $8.8 million $29.6 million
Net Income (Total) $8.8 million $28.4 million
Diluted EPS (Total) $0.13 $0.40
Cash and Equivalents $52.0 million $52.0 million (Ending Balance)
Working Capital (excl. cash) $8.7 million N/A
Debt Outstanding $1.5 million $1.5 million

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Net revenue increased 34% year-over-year for the quarter ($87.0M vs $64.9M) and 50% for the 39-week period ($249.6M vs $165.9M). Growth was driven by new store openings (34 in the US, 4 in Canada) and comparable store sales growth of 13% for the 39-week period, though comparable sales declined 2% in the most recent quarter.
  • Margin Compression: Gross margin decreased 6.6 percentage points to 48.1% for the quarter (from 54.7% prior year) and 2.2 percentage points to 51.1% for the 39-week period. This was primarily due to increased product costs, higher occupancy costs from new stores, and increased depreciation.
  • Operating Expenses: Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses increased 24% for the quarter and 47% for the 39-week period, largely due to employee compensation for new store openings and corporate expansion.
  • Discontinued Operations: The company recorded a net loss of $1.1 million from discontinued operations (Japan) for the 39-week period, compared to a loss of $0.6 million in the prior year. Operations in Japan were fully wound down by the end of the period.
  • Cash Flow: Net cash provided by operating activities increased significantly to $29.2 million for the 39-week period (from $11.1 million prior year), driven by higher net income and changes in working capital. Cash used in investing activities increased to $35.6 million due to capital expenditures for new stores and software implementation.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Economic Outlook: Management expects the challenging global economic climate and reduced consumer spending to negatively impact sales growth and gross margins in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2008 and fiscal 2009.
  • Currency Impact: The depreciation of the U.S. dollar relative to the Canadian dollar (approx. 7% in the quarter) negatively impacted reported results. A stronger Canadian dollar reduces revenue when translated to USD. The company does not currently hedge foreign currency risk.
  • Seasonality: The business is highly seasonal, with a disproportionate amount of sales occurring in the fourth fiscal quarter (holiday season).
  • Strategic Focus: The company is focusing on growth in the United States (planning to open five stores in Q4) and developing an e-commerce business, while having exited the Japanese market.
  • Risk Factors: Key risks include the ability to manage rapid growth, locate suitable store sites, maintain brand image, and the impact of general economic conditions on consumer spending for non-essential items.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Comparable Store Sales Trend: Verify the shift from 13% growth over 39 weeks to a 2% decline in the most recent quarter to assess demand sustainability.
  • Gross Margin Trajectory: Monitor the 6.6 percentage point drop in gross margin to determine if cost pressures (product, occupancy, depreciation) are structural or temporary.
  • Currency Exposure: Assess the impact of the USD/CAD exchange rate on future earnings, given the lack of hedging and significant Canadian revenue base.
  • Capital Expenditure Run Rate: Review the $30 million in capital expenditures for the 39-week period against cash flow generation to ensure liquidity remains sufficient for expansion plans.
  • Discontinued Operations Closure: Confirm that all costs related to the Japan exit have been fully accrued and no further liabilities remain.