MERCANTILE BANK CORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2015

Mercantile Bank Corporation — Q3 2015 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. The unaudited filing covers the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2015, with balance-sheet comparisons to December 31, 2014. Mercantile is a Michigan-based bank holding company. Comparisons with 2014 are affected by the June 1, 2014 Firstbank merger; 2014 year-to-date results include only four months of combined-company operations.

Financial performance and condition

MetricQ3 2015 / September 30, 2015Comparable period / prior balance
Net income$7.3 million; diluted EPS $0.45Q3 2014: $5.9 million; $0.35
Nine-month net income and diluted EPS$20.5 million; $1.232014: $11.0 million; $0.89
Net interest incomeQuarter: $25.6 million; nine months: $75.5 million2014: $26.0 million and $52.6 million
Net interest marginQuarter: 3.87%; nine months: 3.84%2014: 3.95% and 3.73%
Noninterest incomeQuarter: $4.3 million; nine months: $12.0 million2014: $2.9 million and $6.7 million
Noninterest expenseQuarter: $19.7 million; nine months: $59.3 million2014: $20.7 million and $46.0 million
Total assets$2.88 billionDecember 31, 2014: $2.89 billion
Total loans$2.22 billionDecember 31, 2014: $2.09 billion
Total deposits$2.25 billionDecember 31, 2014: $2.28 billion
Cash and cash equivalents$103.8 millionDecember 31, 2014: $172.7 million
Shareholders’ equity$328.8 millionDecember 31, 2014: $328.1 million

Credit and liquidity. The company recorded a negative provision (a provision benefit) of $0.5 million in Q3 and $1.5 million for the first nine months, reflecting recoveries, reserve reversals and improved credit indicators. Nonperforming loans were $8.2 million, or 0.37% of loans, versus $29.4 million at year-end; nonperforming assets totaled $10.5 million, or 0.4% of assets, versus $31.4 million. The allowance was $16.1 million, equal to 196.2% of nonperforming loans. Commercial loans were 84.7% of the loan portfolio.

For the first nine months, operating cash flow was $25.6 million, investing cash flow was negative $56.1 million and financing cash flow was negative $38.4 million; cash and cash equivalents declined $68.9 million. Wholesale funding was reported at $190 million, 7.7% of deposits and borrowed funds. Repurchase agreements were $158.1 million; FHLB advances were $68.0 million, with approximately $374 million of additional collateral-based borrowing availability. The bank was categorized as well capitalized: total risk-based capital was 13.7%, against a 10.0% well-capitalized threshold.

Material changes versus comparable periods

  • Q3 net income increased 23% year over year, supported by higher fee income and lower expense, which more than offset slightly lower net interest income. Nine-month net income increased substantially, reflecting a larger post-merger earning-asset base, lower funding costs and higher noninterest income; the comparison is not like-for-like.
  • Loans increased $128 million, or 6.1%, from year-end, led by originated commercial lending. Securities declined $65.7 million and cash equivalents declined $68.9 million as the company funded loan growth and managed its balance sheet.
  • Deposits declined $22.8 million. Noninterest-bearing deposits grew $60.4 million, while local and out-of-area time deposits decreased. Wholesale funding as a share of combined deposits and borrowings fell from 9.2% at year-end to 7.7%.
  • Nonperforming loans fell sharply, principally after a large commercial relationship was resolved in Q2. However, acquired-loan nonperformers increased from $3.4 million at year-end to $5.6 million.
  • Shareholders’ equity rose modestly despite $15.2 million of share repurchases and $7.1 million of cash dividends. The company repurchased about 765,000 shares year to date at an average $19.89 per share.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management said the commercial loan pipeline remained strong: approximately $239 million of new lending commitments were reported, with most expected to be accepted and funded over 12–18 months; nearly $100 million of construction and development commitments were expected to fund over the following year. Management expected further loan growth, funded mainly from cash flows from securities and other interest-earning assets, with deposits relatively stable.
  • Management anticipated the end of purchase-accounting benefits on certain certificates of deposit and FHLB advances would raise interest expense and reduce net interest margin by roughly 8–10 basis points in future periods, partly offset by shifting assets from securities into loans. No specific full-year earnings guidance is provided.
  • Interest-rate simulations indicated estimated 12-month net interest income would decline 3.9% with rates down 100 basis points and rise 1.4% with rates up 100 basis points; a 400-basis-point decline indicated an 8.3% reduction. These are model estimates and depend on assumptions.
  • On October 28, 2015, the company announced five branch closures and staff reductions for Q1 2016. It expected a pre-tax charge of approximately $0.9 million, primarily in Q4 2015, and annual pre-tax savings of about $2.7 million.
  • The company recorded $0.7 million of expense related to employee embezzlement discovered in Q1. Management did not expect further expense but anticipated insurance recoveries in future periods; timing and amounts were not specified. A large commercial relationship resolved in Q2 accounted for most of the $5.0 million in gross loan charge-offs year to date.
  • Risks include interest-rate changes, competitive pressures on lending and funding, borrower repayment capacity, real-estate values, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and realization of merger benefits and cost savings. Management reported no material change in previously disclosed risk factors and no material pending legal proceedings.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether commercial loan growth and the reported pipeline convert to funded, performing loans without weakening underwriting or asset quality.
  • Whether credit costs remain low: assess the allowance, acquired-loan credit performance, troubled debt restructurings, charge-offs and recoveries, including the treatment of the resolved large commercial relationship.
  • Whether the expected margin pressure from expiration of purchase-accounting benefits is offset by asset mix and funding costs, and compare actual results with the interest-rate simulation assumptions.
  • Whether deposit trends, cash balances, wholesale funding and unfunded commitments remain manageable as loan growth continues.
  • Whether branch-closure and staffing actions deliver the projected $2.7 million annual savings and whether the estimated $0.9 million charge and embezzlement-related insurance recoveries are realized as described.
  • Interpret year-over-year earnings, EPS and dividends in light of the Firstbank merger, changing share counts, repurchases and merger-related costs; the filing does not explain in this excerpt the unusually high 2014 nine-month dividend per share of $2.36.