Medpace Holdings, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2021

Medpace Holdings, Inc. — Q3 2021 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. The filing covers the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2021. Medpace is a global clinical research organization providing Phase I–IV drug and medical-device development services. It reported approximately 4,400 employees across 40 countries.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2021Q3 2020Nine months 2021Nine months 2020
Revenue$295.6m$230.4m$833.8m$666.2m
Operating income$53.7m$46.4m$143.8m$112.1m
Net income$48.6m$41.5m$131.8m$94.5m
Diluted EPS$1.29$1.09$3.49$2.50
Operating cash flowNot provided for quarterNot provided for quarter$192.4m$153.2m
  • Q3 revenue rose 28.3%; operating income rose 15.7% and net income rose 17.2%. Approximate operating margin declined to 18.2% from 20.1%, and net margin to 16.4% from 18.0%.
  • For the first nine months, revenue grew 25.2%, operating income 28.3%, and net income 39.5%. Approximate operating margin increased to 17.2% from 16.8%; net margin increased to 15.8% from 14.2%.
  • Direct costs increased 33.5% in Q3 and 26.2% year to date, driven by reimbursed expenses and higher personnel costs, including severance. Q3 reimbursed out-of-pocket expenses increased $27.3m and personnel costs, including severance, increased $20.1m year over year.
  • Effective tax rate was 11.3% for Q3 and 9.7% for nine months, versus 11.8% and 17.0%, respectively, in 2020; lower rates primarily reflected excess tax benefits from share-based compensation.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $398.4m at September 30, 2021, up from $277.8m at December 31, 2020. Total assets were $1.58b and shareholders’ equity $898.1m.
  • Nine-month operating cash flow was $192.4m; investing cash outflow was $22.2m, primarily capital expenditures of $19.2m; financing cash outflow was $46.9m, chiefly $62.1m of share repurchases, partly offset by stock-option proceeds.
  • No borrowings were outstanding under the $50m unsecured credit facility; $49.8m remained available and $0.2m of letters of credit were outstanding. The facility expires March 31, 2022. Lease liabilities totaled $143.2m.

Changes, outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Net new business awards were $408.0m in Q3 and $1.152b for nine months. Backlog reached $1.850b, up 29.0% from September 2020; management expected $1.005–$1.025b to convert to revenue over the next 12 months. Backlog is not a guaranteed revenue forecast and can change with cancellations, scope, timing and foreign exchange.
  • The company reported approximately $1.9b of remaining performance obligations for active projects. This measure and backlog are separately described in the filing.
  • No specific financial guidance was provided. Management described continued organic growth and possible selective bolt-on acquisitions, funded from cash, operating cash flow and, if needed, credit facilities.
  • Management said COVID-19 continued to disrupt clinical-site access, patient recruitment and trial start-ups, and could lead to cancellations or customer funding constraints. It characterized expected effects as temporary but said future financial impact could not be reasonably estimated.
  • Revenue growth was concentrated in areas including Oncology, Metabolic and Central Nervous System. Foreign-currency movements affected results and backlog; most contracts and transactions are U.S.-dollar denominated, with the Euro the largest foreign-currency exposure.
  • The company repurchased $62.1m of shares in the first nine months, with $190.5m of authorization remaining at quarter end. The CEO and other company personnel have disclosed relationships with certain customers and property or travel-service providers; related-party revenue was $8.7m in Q3 and $23.9m year to date.
  • In Q3, Medpace extended the term of its related-party headquarters lease through November 2032 after determining renewal was reasonably certain. Legal proceedings and purchase commitments were described as immaterial; project-supply purchase commitments totaled $12.2m.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether backlog and new awards convert to revenue at the expected pace, given cancellation rights and COVID-related recruitment, site-access and funding risks.
  • Whether rising personnel and reimbursed project costs can be managed while sustaining operating margins.
  • The composition and ongoing significance of related-party revenue, leases and service expenses, including governance and terms.
  • Cash generation, share repurchase pace, capital spending and credit-facility renewal before its March 2022 expiration.
  • Foreign-exchange exposure and the durability of the unusually low effective tax rate, which benefited from share-based compensation tax benefits.