NBT BANCORP INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2011

NBT Bancorp Inc. — Q3 2011 Form 10-Q

Business context and period. Community banking and financial services company operating primarily in upstate New York and neighboring states, with retirement-plan administration and insurance businesses. This unaudited filing covers the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2011; year-to-date comparisons are against the same period in 2010. Dollar amounts below are in millions unless noted.

Financial performance and position

  • Profit: Q3 net income was $15.2 million, up 4.4% from $14.6 million; diluted EPS was $0.45 versus $0.42. Nine-month net income was $44.2 million, up 2.8%, and diluted EPS was $1.29 versus $1.25.
  • Interest income and margin: Q3 net interest income was $50.4 million, down 0.5%; nine-month net interest income was $149.8 million, down 1.5%. Fully taxable-equivalent net interest margin was 4.14% in Q3 versus 4.15%, and 4.13% year to date versus 4.17%.
  • Other income and costs: Nine-month noninterest income declined to $60.2 million from $61.7 million, while noninterest expense rose to $133.3 million from $131.0 million. Deposit service charges fell $2.3 million year to date, partly offset by growth in insurance, trust, and ATM/debit fees.
  • Credit costs and quality: Nine-month loan-loss provision declined to $15.2 million from $23.1 million; net charge-offs were 0.55% of average loans versus 0.65%. Nonperforming assets were $44.9 million, or 0.82% of assets, versus $45.7 million and 0.86% at year-end 2010. Potential problem loans increased to $96.7 million from $82.2 million.
  • Balance sheet and funding: Assets were $5.48 billion, up 2.6% from year-end 2010. Loans grew 2.7% to $3.71 billion; deposits grew 3.2% to $4.27 billion, including a 12.8% increase in noninterest-bearing demand deposits. Short-term borrowings were $158.3 million, long-term debt $370.3 million, and trust preferred debentures $75.4 million.
  • Liquidity and capital: Cash and cash equivalents were $191.9 million at quarter-end. Nine-month operating cash flow was $67.5 million; cash increased $23.2 million during the period. Basic Surplus liquidity was $610 million, or 11.1% of assets, above the company’s 5% policy minimum. Regulatory capital ratios remained “well capitalized”: Tier 1 leverage 9.21%, Tier 1 capital 12.00%, and total risk-based capital 13.25%.
  • Returns and shareholder distributions: Nine-month return on average assets was 1.09%, versus 1.05%. The company repurchased 1.46 million shares for $30.5 million and paid $20.4 million in dividends; the nine-month dividend was $0.60 per share.

Material changes and management commentary

  • Lower yields on loans and securities reduced interest income, while lower deposit and borrowing costs partly offset the pressure. Management noted deposit rates were near their floors, limiting further funding-cost reductions.
  • Loan growth was led by commercial lending; construction and development loans increased 45.4%, including three large originations. Home equity loans declined 4.0%.
  • Management attributed part of the increase in residential mortgage reserves and year-to-date credit provision to September flooding in the company’s footprint. It said the allowance was adequate, while noting that economic deterioration or lower collateral values could require additional provision.
  • On October 21, 2011, the company completed an acquisition of four Berkshire County, Massachusetts branches. On October 25, it announced plans to acquire three branches in Greene County and deposits and loans in Schoharie County, New York; closing was expected in Q1 2012, subject to regulatory approval.

Outlook, risks, and contingencies

  • No specific earnings or full-year financial guidance is provided. Management cautioned that interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year or future results.
  • Interest-rate sensitivity modeling projected net interest income declines over 12 months of 1.73% under a 200-basis-point rate increase and 1.06% under a 100-basis-point decrease, compared with a flat-rate scenario. Management warned that low rates, repricing dynamics, and competitive deposit pricing could further pressure margins.
  • Key stated risks include weaker regional or national economic conditions, deteriorating credit quality or collateral values, competition, interest-rate changes, regulatory or accounting changes, securities-market volatility, litigation, and control failures. Management said it saw no material change in the risk factors previously disclosed.
  • The Bank is defending a September 2011 purported class action concerning overdraft-fee assessment and disclosures. The complaint seeks damages and other relief; the company considers the claims without merit. The filing does not quantify a potential loss.
  • Off-balance-sheet commitments to extend credit and unused lines totaled $749.2 million; standby letters of credit were $26.0 million and commercial letters of credit $15.7 million. These amounts do not necessarily represent future cash outflows.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the increase in potential problem loans, particularly commercial real estate and commercial/agricultural credits, leads to higher nonaccruals, charge-offs, or provisions.
  • How flood-related credit effects and the elevated construction-loan growth develop, and whether the allowance remains adequate.
  • Whether net interest margin stabilizes as asset yields reprice and deposit rates approach their floors.
  • The financial and regulatory terms, integration costs, and expected contribution of the completed and announced branch transactions.
  • Developments in the overdraft-fee litigation and any eventual estimate of exposure; the filing provides no clear loss estimate.
  • The effect of continued repurchases and dividends on capital ratios and liquidity.