REPUBLIC BANCORP INC annual report, FY2014

Republic Bancorp, Inc. — FY2014 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period. This annual report covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2014; it is not a standalone fourth-quarter filing. Republic is a Louisville-based financial holding company operating through Traditional Banking, Warehouse Lending, Mortgage Banking and Republic Processing Group (RPG). The bank merger completed in Q2 2014 did not materially affect consolidated results. Dollars below are U.S. dollars.

Key financial results and position

MetricFY2014 / year-end 2014FY2013 / year-end 2013
Net income$28.8 million$25.4 million
Diluted EPS, Class A$1.38$1.22
Total interest income$132.4 million$134.6 million
Net interest income$112.8 million$113.2 million
Non-interest income$42.5 million$46.2 million
Provision for loan losses$2.9 million$3.0 million
Non-interest expenses$108.1 million$115.9 million
Net interest margin3.33%3.48%
Return on average assets / equity0.81% / 5.16%0.75% / 4.65%
  • Balance sheet: Total assets were $3.75 billion, gross loans $3.04 billion, deposits $2.06 billion and stockholders’ equity $558.7 million at year-end. Loans grew 17% and deposits 3% from 2013.
  • Cash flow: Operating activities provided $26.7 million; investing activities used $470.9 million; financing activities provided $346.2 million. Cash and cash equivalents fell $98.0 million to $72.9 million, primarily as loan growth absorbed funds.
  • Debt and funding: Year-end FHLB advances were $707.5 million, repurchase agreements and other short-term borrowings $356.1 million, and subordinated debt $41.2 million. The loan-to-deposit ratio excluding brokered deposits was 156%. Additional stated borrowing capacity included $452 million from the FHLB and $166 million in unsecured lines.
  • Credit quality: Non-performing loans were $23.7 million, or 0.78% of loans, versus $21.1 million, or 0.81%, in 2013. Non-performing assets were $34.9 million, or 0.93% of assets, down from $38.2 million, or 1.13%. Allowance was $24.4 million, 0.80% of loans and 103% of non-performing loans. Net charge-offs were 0.05% of average loans.
  • Capital and shareholder returns: Company total risk-based, Tier 1 risk-based and Tier 1 leverage ratios were 22.17%, 21.28% and 15.92%, respectively; the bank was categorized as well-capitalized. Class A dividends declared were $0.737 per share. Basel III rules took effect January 1, 2015; management estimated the company and bank would remain above fully phased-in well-capitalized thresholds, including the conservation buffer.

Material changes versus prior comparable period

  • Net income rose 13% and diluted Class A EPS rose 13%. Lower non-interest expenses, including fewer RPG legal costs, and improved RPG performance supported the increase. Total non-interest expense fell 7%.
  • Net interest income was nearly flat, but margin contracted 15 basis points as loan and investment yields repriced lower; growth in average loans partly offset the pressure. Management said margin compression could continue.
  • Non-interest income declined 8%, mainly reflecting a 61% fall in Mortgage Banking income as secondary-market loan sale proceeds dropped to $82 million from $305 million. Net refund transfer fees increased 16% to $16.1 million.
  • RPG returned to profitability: net income was $4.5 million versus a $1.4 million loss. Tax-refund dollars processed rose 74% year over year. Traditional Banking net income was essentially unchanged at $21.3 million; Warehouse Lending net income increased 28% to $3.4 million.
  • Gross loans grew by $451 million. New Correspondent Lending purchases contributed $230 million, primarily mortgages outside the historical footprint; 86% of that channel’s year-end balances were secured by California properties. Warehouse lines rose to $319 million from $150 million.
  • Cash declined substantially, while repurchase borrowings rose $191 million to $356 million; 57% of that increase related to one client relationship. FHLB advances increased $103 million to $707.5 million.
  • Comparisons with 2012 are atypical: 2012 earnings included $55.4 million of acquisition bargain-purchase gains and substantial RAL revenue. The RAL product was discontinued in 2012.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Outlook: The filing provides no consolidated earnings or revenue guidance. Management expects ongoing asset-yield repricing to pressure net interest margin. It projected approximately $1.5 million of accretion in 2015 from discounts on loans acquired in 2012, subject to possible workout-related changes.
  • RPG contracts: A new two-year Liberty agreement began processing refunds in January 2015; management expected RPG annual net revenue over the contract term to average about 12% above RPG’s 2014 level, with nominal added overhead. Conversely, a new three-year arrangement with a provider representing about 44% of 2014 RPG net refund-transfer revenue was expected to reduce annual revenue from that provider by approximately 18%, absent offsetting volume. Tax preparers increasingly assume program-manager duties, reducing the bank’s revenue share. RPG also remains subject to enhanced FDIC oversight; noncompliance could lead to further restrictions or exit from the business.
  • Credit and concentration risks: The bank’s $40 million 100%-LTV residential loan portfolio has no required private mortgage insurance. Management planned underwriting changes that would make most prospective retail ARM originations non-QM; it expects these loans to meet ability-to-repay requirements, but they lack the QM presumption of compliance. Correspondent and warehouse exposures are geographically concentrated in California. CRE, construction and land-development credit quality, collateral valuations and loan-loss estimates merit monitoring.
  • Liquidity and interest-rate sensitivity: Large uninsured/non-sweep deposit relationships and concentrated repurchase funding create potential funding volatility. In February 2015, one client moved about $100 million into a brokered network; the company received equivalent reciprocal balances but was uncertain whether they would remain. The bank’s simulation showed net interest income up 1.61% for an immediate 100-basis-point rate rise but down 6.11% for a 400-basis-point rise; these are model estimates, not forecasts.
  • Other items: OREO writedowns were $3.1 million versus $1.8 million; net OREO loss was $2.2 million. The bank held a single illiquid private-label mortgage-backed security valued at $5.25 million; further deterioration could produce an impairment charge of up to $4.0 million. BOLI rose to $51.4 million after a $25 million 2014 purchase and generated $1.3 million of income. The $41.2 million subordinated note/TPS is redeemable beginning October 2015; management was considering redemption or a rate swap. The company reported no pending or threatened legal proceeding expected to materially adversely affect its business or consolidated financial position.
  • The independent auditor gave an unqualified opinion on the financial statements and internal controls; management also concluded controls were effective. Forward-looking statements are subject to economic, regulatory, interest-rate, credit, competition, cybersecurity and execution risks.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether margin pressure, funding costs and the 156% loan-to-deposit ratio excluding brokered deposits remain manageable as loans grow and cash declines.
  • Actual performance and credit quality of correspondent mortgage purchases, especially the California concentration, 100%-LTV loans and prospective non-QM originations.
  • RPG refund-transfer volumes, revenue sharing, partner concentration and realized results under the Liberty and other provider contracts.
  • Trends in non-performing loans, construction and CRE exposures, OREO valuations and the adequacy of the $24.4 million allowance.
  • Retention and stability of large deposit and repurchase-funding relationships, available borrowing capacity, and the 2015 decision regarding the subordinated note/TPS.