Strategic Education, Inc. quarterly report, Q2 FY2020

Business context and reporting period

Strategic Education, Inc. filed this unaudited Form 10-Q for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2020. It operates Strayer University and Capella University, along with related education and skills-training businesses. Results are compared with the same 2019 periods.

Key financial results

MetricQ2 2020Q2 2019Six months 2020Six months 2019
Revenue$255.8m$245.1m$521.1m$491.6m
Operating income$46.4m$27.6m$90.4m$53.3m
Operating margin18.1%11.3%17.3%10.8%
Net income$34.2m$24.4m$69.4m$35.9m
Diluted EPS$1.55$1.10$3.15$1.63

Q2 revenue increased 4.4% year over year, while operating income rose 68% and net income rose 40%. Management attributed operating improvement mainly to enrollment growth, cost efficiencies and lower merger and integration costs. Adjusted operating income, a non-GAAP measure, was $63.0m in Q2 versus $46.0m; adjusted diluted EPS was $2.06 versus $1.59.

Q2 segment revenue was $138.1m at Strayer, up 4.8%, and $117.8m at Capella, up 3.9%. Strayer segment operating income was $35.8m versus $24.4m; Capella’s was $27.2m versus $21.6m. Q2 enrollment increased 6% at Strayer to 53,782 and 1% at Capella to 39,341.

Cash, liquidity and capital

  • At June 30, cash and cash equivalents were $470.3m and marketable securities totaled $55.0m, or $525.3m combined. Total current assets were $553.5m; total current liabilities were $148.9m.
  • Operating cash flow for the first six months was $111.9m, compared with $103.1m in 2019. Capital expenditures were $25.5m, versus $18.9m.
  • The company had no borrowings outstanding under its $250m revolving credit facility and reported compliance with its covenants. The facility matures August 2023.
  • It paid $26.7m in dividends during the first half; the quarterly dividend was $0.60 per share. Repurchases were approximately $0.2m during the half, with $249.8m of authorization remaining at June 30.

Changes, outlook and risks

  • COVID-19 weakened demand and continuation rates after quarter-end. Management estimated Strayer Q3 new-student enrollment would decline about 27%; Capella new-student enrollment was expected to decline 5–10%. Total enrollment was projected to be down about 1% at Strayer and up about 1% at Capella.
  • Management projected Q3 2020 revenue and adjusted operating income to be flat year over year. If enrollment trends persisted for the rest of 2020, it expected full-year revenue to be flat to slightly higher than 2019 and adjusted operating income and income before taxes to rise in the low-to-mid single digits. These are conditional outlook statements, not guarantees.
  • The company offered students payment flexibility, scholarships and other pricing relief; it expected revenue per student to be flat to down 2% versus 2019. It paused planned campus expansion projects not yet started.
  • Credit-loss allowances increased to $43.0m from $30.9m at year-end; the company recorded additional reserves for projected COVID-related collection deterioration. Q2 bad-debt expense was 4.7% of revenue in both years.
  • On July 29, 2020, after quarter-end, the company agreed to acquire Laureate Education’s Australia and New Zealand operations for approximately $642.7m, subject to adjustments, approvals and closing conditions; closing was expected by Q1 2021. Lenders committed to expand the revolving facility to $350m at closing.
  • Other watch items include the ongoing Department of Education review of Capella’s FlexPath program, uncertainty over the Department’s review of Capella’s accreditor, HLC, and ordinary-course litigation. Management said an adverse resolution of legal matters could affect results in a particular period, though it did not expect a material adverse effect overall.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether COVID-related enrollment, persistence, pricing and collection trends match management’s conditional forecasts.
  2. Whether increased credit-loss reserves adequately reflect student receivable risk and whether collections deteriorate further.
  3. Whether the Laureate transaction closes on expected terms, and its financing, integration costs and effect on leverage and liquidity.
  4. Developments in Title IV compliance, Capella’s program review and HLC’s accreditation status, including any resulting liabilities or restrictions.
  5. Underlying performance excluding non-GAAP adjustments, including merger costs, acquired-intangible amortization and investment income.